Last updated: 2025-12-02
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In the previous Markdown, we see that the model \[R^{(0)} \sim \mathrm{F}\left(\dfrac{\nu \Psi^{(1)}}{N}, N, \nu + 2\right),\] gives a not-too-small estimate of \(\nu\), where \(R^{(0)}\) is the in-sample covariance matrix, and \(\Psi^{(1)}\) is the out-of-sample population covarance matrix estimated from a Bayesian procedure from the out-of-sample covariance matrix \(R^{(1)}\).
In this Markdown, we will try varying both the degree-of-freedom \(N\) and \(\nu\) to see if we can have a different estimate of \(\nu\). Note that when varying both of them, this distribution still has mean \(\Psi^{(1)}\).
First, load the data:
seed = 10 ## change this to see different experiment
set.seed(seed)
library(susieR)
library(Matrix)
data(N3finemapping)
attach(N3finemapping)
X0 = N3finemapping$X
## getting covariance matrix from the whole sample
## and examine the eigendecomposition to estimate numerical rank
R = cov(X0)
eig <- eigen(R)
plot(eig$values,
main = "Eigenvalues of covariance matrix calculated using all samples",
ylab = "Value",
xlab = "Eigenvalue index")

n0 = dim(X0)[1]
p0 = dim(X0)[2]
snp_total = p0
We proceed to split the data into half and look at the heatmap of the covariance matrices of two sub-samples.
#### randomly split the data into half
#### randomly select p consecutive SNPs where p < n so IW is proper
p = 100
# Start from a random point on the genome
indx_start = sample(1: (snp_total - p), 1)
X = X0[, indx_start:(indx_start + p -1)]
# View(cor(X)[1:10, 1:10])
## sub-sample into two
out_sample_size = n0 / 2
out_sample = sample(1:n0, out_sample_size)
X_out = X[out_sample, ]
X_in = X[setdiff(1:n0, out_sample), ]
rm_p = c(which(diag(cov(X_in))==0), which(diag(cov(X_out))==0))
indx_p = setdiff(1:p, rm_p)
X_in = X_in[, indx_p]
X_out = X_out[, indx_p]
## out-sample LD matrix
p = length(indx_p)
Rp = cov(X_out)
R0 = cov(X_in)
library(ggplot2)
library(reshape2)
df1 <- melt(R0)
df2 <- melt(Rp)
N_in = nrow(X_in)
N_out = nrow(X_out)
p1 <- ggplot(df1, aes(Var1, Var2, fill = value)) +
geom_tile() +
scale_fill_gradient2(low="blue", mid="white", high="red") +
coord_fixed() +
ggtitle(sprintf("In-sample Cov, %d samples", nrow(X_in)))
p2 <- ggplot(df2, aes(Var1, Var2, fill = value)) +
geom_tile() +
scale_fill_gradient2(low="blue", mid="white", high="red") +
coord_fixed() +
ggtitle(sprintf("Out-of-sample Cov, %d samples", nrow(X_out)))
library(gridExtra)
grid.arrange(p1, p2, ncol = 2)

Log-likelihood functions:
## Matrix F-distribution likelihood
#### log F(R0 | nu * Psi1 / N, N, nu + 2)
### vectorize log multivariate Gamma function
log_multigamma_vec <- function(A, p) {
if (!is.matrix(A)) A <- as.matrix(A)
shifts <- (1 - seq_len(p)) / 2
# Check domain: a + (1-k)/2 must be > 0 (or > -Inf for complex) for lgamma defined
min_allowed <- (p - 1) / 2
if (any(A <= min_allowed - 1e-12)) {
stop(sprintf("Entries of A must satisfy Re(a) > (p-1)/2 = %g", min_allowed))
}
# sapply returns an array of dim m x n x p when the FUN returns an m x n matrix
terms_lgamma <- sapply(shifts, function(s) lgamma(A + s), simplify = "array")
S <- apply(terms_lgamma, c(1, 2), sum)
const <- p * (p - 1) / 4 * log(pi)
S + const
}
log_F_matrix <- function(R0, Psi1, N_vec, nu_vec) {
p <- nrow(R0)
jitter = 1e-8
R0 = R0 + jitter * diag(p)
n = length(N_vec)
m = length(nu_vec)
logdet_nu_Rp_over_N <- (determinant(Psi1, logarithm = TRUE)$modulus
+ p * outer(- log(N_vec), log(nu_vec), "+")) ## (n, m)
power_Rp = - .5 * matrix(rep(N_vec, m), nrow=n) ## (n, m)
first_term = power_Rp * logdet_nu_Rp_over_N
logdetR0 <- determinant(R0, logarithm = TRUE)$modulus
power_R0 <- .5 * matrix(rep(N_vec - p - 1, m), nrow=n)
second_term = power_R0 * logdetR0
lambda_vec <- Re(eigen(solve(Psi1, R0))$values) ## (p)
lambda_N_over_nu = N_vec %o% (1 / nu_vec) %o% lambda_vec
logdet_I_plus_RR <- apply(log(1 + lambda_N_over_nu), c(1, 2), sum)
power_RR = - .5 * (outer(N_vec, nu_vec, "+") + p + 1)
third_term = power_RR * logdet_I_plus_RR
constant_term1 = log_multigamma_vec((outer(N_vec, nu_vec, "+") + p + 1) / 2 , p)
constant_term2 = - log_multigamma_vec(matrix(rep(N_vec, m), nrow=n) / 2 , p)
constant_term3 = - log_multigamma_vec(matrix(rep(nu_vec + p + 1, n), nrow=n, byrow=TRUE) / 2 , p)
llhs = (constant_term1 + constant_term2 + constant_term3
+ first_term + second_term + third_term)
return(llhs)
}
log_iw <- function(R0, Rp, nu_vec) {
p <- nrow(R0)
jitter = 1e-12
R0 = R0 + jitter * diag(p)
Rp = Rp + jitter * diag(p)
# Precompute expensive shared quantities
logdet_nu_Rp <- determinant(Rp, logarithm = TRUE)$modulus + p * log(nu_vec)
logdetR0 <- determinant(R0, logarithm = TRUE)$modulus
tr_term <- nu_vec * sum(t(Rp) * solve(R0))
llhs = (.5 * (nu_vec + p + 1) * logdet_nu_Rp
- .5 * (nu_vec + p + 1) * p * log(2)
- log_multigamma_vec((nu_vec + p + 1) / 2, p)
- .5 * (nu_vec + 2 * (p + 1)) * logdetR0
- .5 * tr_term)
as.numeric(llhs)
}
\[\mathcal{IW}(\Psi_{PCA} | \nu \Psi'_{PCA}, \nu + p + 1)\] This is not really a model for \(R_0\), but it gives largest \(\nu\).
N = nrow(X_in)
Np = nrow(X_out)
# N_vec = c((p+1):(N+p))
N_vec = c(p:N)
nu_vec = c(1:100)
delta = 1e-6
Psi1 = (Np * Rp + delta * diag(p)) / (Np + delta)
llhs = log_F_matrix(R0, Psi1, N_vec, nu_vec)
library(ggplot2)
library(reshape2)
df <- melt(llhs, varnames = c("N", "nu"), value.name = "value")
ggplot(df, aes(x = nu, y = N, fill = value)) +
geom_tile() +
scale_fill_gradient2(low = "blue", high = "red", mid = "white") +
theme_minimal() +
labs(x = "nu", y = "N - p + 1", fill = "Log-likelihood")

nu_max_each_N = max.col(llhs, ties.method = "first")
nu_max_each_N
[1] 41 41 41 41 41 41 41 41 41 41 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40
[26] 40 40 40 40 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 38 38 38 38
[51] 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37
[76] 37 37 37 37 37 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 35 35 35
[101] 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34
[126] 34 34 34 34 34 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 32 32 32
[151] 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31
[176] 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 30 30 30 30 30 30
log_multigamma_v <- function(a, p) {
# vectorized multivariate gamma
j <- 1:p
# sum over j, but broadcasting a over j
(p*(p-1)/4)*log(pi) +
rowSums(matrix(lgamma(a), nrow=length(a), ncol=p, byrow=FALSE) +
matrix((1 - j)/2, nrow=length(a), ncol=p, byrow=TRUE))
}
log_F <- function(R0, Rp, N, nu_vec) {
p <- nrow(R0)
jitter = 1e-8
R0 = R0 + jitter * diag(p)
# Precompute expensive shared quantities
logdet_nu_Rp_over_N <- (determinant(Rp, logarithm = TRUE)$modulus
+ p * log(nu_vec)
- p * log(N))
logdetR0 <- determinant(R0, logarithm = TRUE)$modulus
lambda_vec <- eigen(solve(Rp, R0))$values
lambda_over_nu = tcrossprod(lambda_vec, N / nu_vec)
logdet_I_plus_RR <- colSums(log(1 + lambda_over_nu))
llhs = (log_multigamma_v((N + nu_vec + p + 1) / 2, p)
- log_multigamma_v(N / 2, p)
- log_multigamma_v((nu_vec + p + 1) / 2, p)
- .5 * N * logdet_nu_Rp_over_N
+ .5 * (N - p - 1) * logdetR0
- .5 * (N + nu_vec + p + 1) * logdet_I_plus_RR)
# logdet_Rplus_Rp = rep(0, length(nu_vec))
# for (idx in 1:length(nu_vec)){
# nu = nu_vec[idx]
# logdet_Rplus_Rp[idx] <- determinant(R0 + nu * Rp / N, logarithm = TRUE)$modulus
# }
#
# llhs = (log_multigamma_v((N + nu_vec + p + 1) / 2, p)
# - log_multigamma_v(N / 2, p)
# - log_multigamma_v((nu_vec + p + 1) / 2, p)
# + .5 * (nu_vec + p + 1) * logdet_nu_Rp_over_N
# + .5 * (N - p - 1) * logdetR0
# - .5 * (N + nu_vec + p + 1) * logdet_Rplus_Rp)
#
as.numeric(llhs)
}
N = nrow(X_in)
llhs = log_F(R0, Psi1, N, nu_vec)
plot(nu_vec, llhs, xlab = "nu value", ylab = "log-likelihood")

print(nu_vec[which.max(llhs)])
[1] 23
sessionInfo()
R version 4.5.1 (2025-06-13)
Platform: aarch64-apple-darwin20
Running under: macOS Sequoia 15.6.1
Matrix products: default
BLAS: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/4.5-arm64/Resources/lib/libRblas.0.dylib
LAPACK: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/4.5-arm64/Resources/lib/libRlapack.dylib; LAPACK version 3.12.1
locale:
[1] en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8/C/en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8
time zone: America/Chicago
tzcode source: internal
attached base packages:
[1] stats graphics grDevices utils datasets methods base
other attached packages:
[1] gridExtra_2.3 reshape2_1.4.4 ggplot2_3.5.2 Matrix_1.7-3
[5] susieR_0.14.2 workflowr_1.7.1
loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
[1] sass_0.4.10 generics_0.1.4 stringi_1.8.7 lattice_0.22-7
[5] digest_0.6.37 magrittr_2.0.3 evaluate_1.0.4 grid_4.5.1
[9] RColorBrewer_1.1-3 fastmap_1.2.0 plyr_1.8.9 rprojroot_2.1.0
[13] jsonlite_2.0.0 processx_3.8.6 whisker_0.4.1 reshape_0.8.10
[17] ps_1.9.1 mixsqp_0.3-54 promises_1.3.3 httr_1.4.7
[21] scales_1.4.0 jquerylib_0.1.4 cli_3.6.5 rlang_1.1.6
[25] crayon_1.5.3 withr_3.0.2 cachem_1.1.0 yaml_2.3.10
[29] tools_4.5.1 dplyr_1.1.4 httpuv_1.6.16 vctrs_0.6.5
[33] R6_2.6.1 matrixStats_1.5.0 lifecycle_1.0.4 git2r_0.36.2
[37] stringr_1.5.1 fs_1.6.6 irlba_2.3.5.1 pkgconfig_2.0.3
[41] callr_3.7.6 pillar_1.11.0 bslib_0.9.0 later_1.4.2
[45] gtable_0.3.6 glue_1.8.0 Rcpp_1.1.0 xfun_0.52
[49] tibble_3.3.0 tidyselect_1.2.1 rstudioapi_0.17.1 knitr_1.50
[53] farver_2.1.2 htmltools_0.5.8.1 labeling_0.4.3 rmarkdown_2.29
[57] compiler_4.5.1 getPass_0.2-4