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Rmd 47f2160 Dave Tang 2025-10-06 Manually calculate Fleiss’ Kappa
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Rmd 59c9392 Dave Tang 2025-10-06 Inter-rater reliability

Introduction

Measures of inter-rater reliability (IRR) provide an index indicating how much agreement there is between raters/observers, correcting for agreement that would happen just by chance.

Packages

Install {irr}.

install.packages("irr")

Cohen’s Kappa

Measures agreement between two raters who classify items into categories.

  • \(\kappa\) = 1 means a perfect agreement.
  • \(\kappa\) = 0 means agreement no better than chance.
  • \(\kappa\) < 0 means worse than chance, i.e., systematic disagreement.

\[ \kappa = \frac{P_o - P_e}{1 - P_e} \]

where

  • \(P_o\) = observed agreement (proportion of times both raters agree).
  • \(P_e\) = expected agreement by chance.
cohen_kappa <- function(x, y) {
  stopifnot(length(x) == length(y))
  
  confusion_matrix <- table(x, y)
  n <- sum(confusion_matrix)
  
  P_o <- sum(diag(confusion_matrix)) / n
  
  row_marginals <- rowSums(confusion_matrix) / n
  col_marginals <- colSums(confusion_matrix) / n
  P_e <- sum(row_marginals * col_marginals)
  
  kappa <- (P_o - P_e) / (1 - P_e)
  return(list(
    kappa = kappa,
    observed = P_o,
    expected = P_e,
    confusion_matrix = confusion_matrix
  ))
}

Agreement between two doctors on 50 patients.

Doctor 2: Disease Doctor 2: No Disease Row Total
Doctor 1: Disease 15 5 20
Doctor 1: No Disease 10 20 30
Column Total 25 25 50

Total agreement = 15 + 20 = 35.

\[ P_o = \frac{35}{50} = 0.70 \quad \text{(70% agreement observed)} \]

How much agreement would we expect just by chance, given how often each doctor says “Disease” versus “No Disease”?

  • Doctor 1 says “Disease” 20/50 = 0.40
  • Doctor 1 says “No Disease” 30/50 = 0.60
  • Doctor 2 says “Disease” 25/50 = 0.50
  • Doctor 2 says “No Disease” 25/50 = 0.50

Now multiply matching probabilities:

  • Chance both say “Disease” = 0.40 × 0.50 = 0.20
  • Chance both say “No Disease” = 0.60 × 0.50 = 0.30

Expected agreement = 0.20 + 0.30 = 0.50 (50%)

Now calculate Cohen’s Kappa manually:

\[ \kappa = \frac{Po - Pe}{1 - Pe} = \frac{0.70 - 0.50}{1 - 0.50} = \frac{0.20}{0.50} = 0.40 \]

Using our function and irr::kappa2().

doc1 <- c(rep('D', 15), rep('N', 20), rep('N', 10), rep('D', 5))
doc2 <- c(rep('D', 15), rep('N', 20), rep('D', 10), rep('N', 5))

cohen_kappa(doc1, doc2)$kappa
[1] 0.4
irr::kappa2(data.frame(x = doc1, y = doc2))
 Cohen's Kappa for 2 Raters (Weights: unweighted)

 Subjects = 50 
   Raters = 2 
    Kappa = 0.4 

        z = 2.89 
  p-value = 0.00389 

Fleiss’ Kappa

Generalises Cohen’s Kappa to more than two raters. Each item is rated by k raters (not necessarily the same raters for every item). Compute the agreement per item, then average across items, correcting for chance.

\[ \kappa = \frac{\bar{P} - \bar{P_e}}{1 - \bar{P_e}} \]

where

  • \(\bar{P}\) = mean observed agreement across items.
  • \(\bar{P_e}\) = mean expected agreement by chance.

Data:

Psychiatric diagnoses of n=30 patients provided by different sets of m=6 raters. Data were used by Fleiss (1971) to illustrate the computation of Kappa for m raters.

data(diagnoses)
dim(diagnoses)
[1] 30  6

Fleiss’ Kappa.

kappam.fleiss(diagnoses)
 Fleiss' Kappa for m Raters

 Subjects = 30 
   Raters = 6 
    Kappa = 0.43 

        z = 17.7 
  p-value = 0 

Manually calculate.

lapply(diagnoses, \(x) as.integer(sub("\\. .*", "", x))) |>
  as.data.frame() |>
  as.matrix() -> ratings

# patients
N <- nrow(ratings)
# doctors
n <- ncol(ratings)

cats <- sort(unique(as.numeric(ratings)))

# build item × category counts
counts <- t(apply(ratings, 1, function(row) {
  tab <- table(factor(row, levels = cats))
  as.integer(tab)
}))
colnames(counts) <- cats
  
# category proportions across all items
p_j <- colSums(counts) / (N * n)

# agreement per item
P_i <- (rowSums(counts^2) - n) / (n * (n - 1))

# observed and expected agreement
P_bar <- mean(P_i)
P_e <- sum(p_j^2)

fkappa <- (P_bar - P_e) / (1 - P_e)
fkappa
[1] 0.4302445

sessionInfo()
R version 4.5.0 (2025-04-11)
Platform: x86_64-pc-linux-gnu
Running under: Ubuntu 24.04.2 LTS

Matrix products: default
BLAS:   /usr/lib/x86_64-linux-gnu/openblas-pthread/libblas.so.3 
LAPACK: /usr/lib/x86_64-linux-gnu/openblas-pthread/libopenblasp-r0.3.26.so;  LAPACK version 3.12.0

locale:
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[11] LC_MEASUREMENT=en_US.UTF-8 LC_IDENTIFICATION=C       

time zone: Etc/UTC
tzcode source: system (glibc)

attached base packages:
[1] stats     graphics  grDevices utils     datasets  methods   base     

other attached packages:
 [1] irr_0.84.1      lpSolve_5.6.23  lubridate_1.9.4 forcats_1.0.0  
 [5] stringr_1.5.1   dplyr_1.1.4     purrr_1.0.4     readr_2.1.5    
 [9] tidyr_1.3.1     tibble_3.2.1    ggplot2_3.5.2   tidyverse_2.0.0
[13] workflowr_1.7.1

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