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  • Inspecting the effect of adaptive shrinkage on the SNP effect size estimates
  • Relationship between raw p-values and the local false sign rate
  • Conclusion

Last updated: 2021-03-04

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library(dplyr)
library(readr)
library(ggplot2)
library(gridExtra)
library(tidyr)

db <- DBI::dbConnect(RSQLite::SQLite(), 
                     "data/derived/annotations.sqlite3")

# Results for all 1,613,615 SNPs, even those that are in 100% LD with others (these are grouped up by the SNP_clump column)
all_snps <- tbl(db, "univariate_lmm_results")

# All SNPs and SNP groups that are in <100% LD with one another (n = 1,207,357)
SNP_clumps <- all_snps %>% select(-SNP) %>% distinct() %>% collect(n=Inf)

Inspecting the effect of adaptive shrinkage on the SNP effect size estimates

The plots reveal that the R package mashr, which implements multivariate adaptive shrinkage, was effective at shrinking the effect size estimates towards zero. The amount of shrinkage applied was slightly stronger when applying mashr using data-driven covariance matrices, as opposed to ‘canonical’ covariance matrices that were selected a priori by us.

hex_plot <- function(x, y, xlab, ylab){
  ggplot(SNP_clumps, aes_string(x, y)) + 
    geom_abline(linetype = 2) + 
    geom_vline(xintercept = 0, linetype = 3) +
    geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = 3) +
    stat_binhex(bins = 200, colour = "#FFFFFF00") + 
    scale_fill_distiller(palette = "Purples") + 
    coord_cartesian(xlim = c(-1,1), ylim = c(-0.55, 0.3)) + 
    theme_minimal() + xlab(xlab) + ylab(ylab) +
    theme(legend.position = "none")
}
grid.arrange(
  hex_plot("beta_female_early_raw", 
           "beta_female_early_mashr_canonical", 
           "Raw estimate of SNP effect size from LMM", 
           "Corrected estimate from mashr (canonical)"),
  hex_plot("beta_female_early_raw", 
           "beta_female_early_mashr_ED", 
           "Raw estimate of SNP effect size from LMM", 
           "Corrected estimate from mashr (data-driven)"),
  hex_plot("beta_female_early_mashr_canonical", 
         "beta_female_early_mashr_ED", 
         "Corrected estimate from mashr (canonical)", 
         "Corrected estimate from mashr (data-driven)"),
  ncol = 3)

Version Author Date
836a780 lukeholman 2021-03-04
8d54ea5 Luke Holman 2018-12-23

Relationship between raw p-values and the local false sign rate

The local false sign rate (defined as the probability that a SNP’s true effect is non-zero and has the same sign as the effect size estimate) was positively correlated with the raw p-value, as expected.

Note that the false sign rate is sometimes ‘more significant’ than the p-value; one likely reason for this is that the local false sign rate (LFSR) uses the information provided by the correlations among SNP effects on our four fitness traits, while the p-value ignores this information.

A second reason why the LFSR is often higher is that the LFSR was (noisily) estimated using a Markov chain, in a Bayesian model that incorporates priors, while the p-value is estimated by maximum likelihood (so there is no statistical noise) and comes from a frequentist model lacking priors (or rather, it has a completely flat prior, unlike the mashr analysis).

The LFSR from the canonical and data-driven approaches are pretty much the same, though results from the data-drive mashr analysis are slightly ‘more significant’ on average (shown by the preponderance of points above the line y=x).

hex_plot2 <- function(p, xlab, ylab){
    p + 
    geom_abline(linetype = 2) + 
    stat_binhex(bins = 200, colour = "#FFFFFF00") + 
    scale_fill_distiller(palette = "Blues") + 
    scale_x_continuous(expand = c(0,0)) + scale_y_continuous(expand = c(0,0)) +
    coord_cartesian(xlim = c(0, 8), ylim = c(0, 8)) + 
    theme_minimal() + xlab(xlab) + ylab(ylab) +
    theme(legend.position = "none")
}

grid.arrange(
  SNP_clumps %>% 
    ggplot(aes(-log10(pvalue_female_early_raw), 
               -log10(LFSR_female_early_mashr_canonical))) %>%
    hex_plot2("-log10 p-value from LMM", 
              "-log10 local false sign rate (canonical)"),
  SNP_clumps %>% 
    ggplot(aes(-log10(pvalue_female_early_raw), 
               -log10(LFSR_female_early_mashr_ED))) %>% 
    hex_plot2("-log10 p-value from LMM", 
              "-log10 local false sign rate (data-driven)"),
  SNP_clumps %>% 
    ggplot(aes(-log10(LFSR_female_early_mashr_canonical), 
               -log10(LFSR_female_early_mashr_ED))) %>% 
    hex_plot2("-log10 local false sign\nrate (canonical)", 
              "-log10 local false sign rate (data-driven)"),
  ncol = 3)

Version Author Date
836a780 lukeholman 2021-03-04
8d54ea5 Luke Holman 2018-12-23

Conclusion

Based on these plots, we elected to focus on the results generated by the data-driven mashr analysis, as opposed to the canonical mashr analysis. This is more conservative, because the effect sizes and local false sign rates are more moderate in the data-driven analysis. Also, using the data-driven approach yields estimates that are independent of our prior expectations about the possible covariance structures that might exist in the data, and is therefore more robust if our expectations are wrong.


sessionInfo()
R version 4.0.3 (2020-10-10)
Platform: x86_64-apple-darwin17.0 (64-bit)
Running under: macOS Catalina 10.15.7

Matrix products: default
BLAS:   /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/4.0/Resources/lib/libRblas.dylib
LAPACK: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/4.0/Resources/lib/libRlapack.dylib

locale:
[1] en_GB.UTF-8/en_GB.UTF-8/en_GB.UTF-8/C/en_GB.UTF-8/en_GB.UTF-8

attached base packages:
[1] stats     graphics  grDevices utils     datasets  methods   base     

other attached packages:
[1] tidyr_1.1.0     gridExtra_2.3   ggplot2_3.3.2   readr_1.3.1    
[5] dplyr_1.0.0     workflowr_1.6.2

loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
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[21] yaml_2.2.1         hexbin_1.28.1      xfun_0.19          withr_2.2.0       
[25] stringr_1.4.0      knitr_1.30         generics_0.0.2     fs_1.4.1          
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[45] promises_1.1.0     htmltools_0.5.0    ellipsis_0.3.1     assertthat_0.2.1  
[49] colorspace_1.4-1   httpuv_1.5.3.1     labeling_0.3       stringi_1.5.3     
[53] munsell_0.5.0      crayon_1.3.4