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knitr::opts_chunk$set(fig.width = 8, fig.height = 6)
library(fashr)
result_dir <- paste0(getwd(), "/output/dynamic_eQTL_real")
data_dir <- paste0(getwd(), "/data/dynamic_eQTL_real")
code_dir <- paste0(getwd(), "/code/dynamic_eQTL_real")
log_prec <- seq(0,10, by = 0.2)
fine_grid <- sort(c(0, exp(-0.5*log_prec)))

Obtain the effect size of eQTLs

We use the processed (expression & genotype) data of Strober et.al, 2019 to perform the eQTL analysis.

For the association testing, we use a linear regression model for each gene-variant pair at each time point. Following the practice in Strober et.al, we adjust for the first five PCs.

The code to perform this step can be found in the script dynamic_eQTL_real/00_eQTLs.R from the code directory.

After this step, we have the effect size of eQTLs for each gene-variant pair at each time point, as well as its standard error.

Fitting FASH

To fit the FASH model on \(\{\beta_i(t_j), s_{ij}\}_{i\in N,j \in [16]}\), we consider fitting two FASH models:

  • A FASH model based on first order IWP (testing for dynamic eQTLs: \(H_0: \beta_i(t)=c\)).

  • A FASH model based on second order IWP (testing for nonlinear-dynamic eQTLs: \(H_0: \beta_i(t)=c_1+c_2t\)).

The code to perform this step can be found in the script dynamic_eQTL_real/01_fash.R from the code directory.

We will directly load the fitted FASH models from the output directory.

load(paste0(result_dir, "/fash_fit2_all.RData"))

We will load the datasets from the fitted FASH object:

datasets <- fash_fit2$fash_data$data_list
for (i in 1:length(datasets)) {
  datasets[[i]]$SE <- fash_fit2$fash_data$S[[i]]
}
all_genes <- unique(sapply(strsplit(names(datasets), "_"), "[[", 1))

In this analysis, we will focus on the FASH(2) model that assumes a second order IWP and tests for nonlinear dynamic eQTLs.

Let’s take a quick overview of the fitted FASH model:

log_prec <- seq(0,10, by = 0.2)
fine_grid <- sort(c(0, exp(-0.5*log_prec)))

fash_fit2 <- fash(Y = "beta", smooth_var = "time", S = "SE", data_list = datasets,
                  num_basis = 20, order = 2, betaprec = 0,
                  pred_step = 1, penalty = 10, grid = fine_grid,
                  num_cores = num_cores, verbose = TRUE)
save(fash_fit2, file = "./results/fash_fit2_all.RData")
fash_fit2
Fitted fash Object
-------------------
Number of datasets: 1009173
Likelihood: gaussian
Number of PSD grid values: 52 (initial), 9 (non-trivial)
Order of Integrated Wiener Process (IWP): 2

As well as the estimated priors:

fash_fit2$prior_weights
          psd prior_weight
1 0.000000000 9.872378e-01
2 0.006737947 1.209985e-04
3 0.020241911 5.257484e-03
4 0.022370772 2.211188e-03
5 0.055023220 1.113735e-03
6 0.060810063 3.628552e-03
7 0.246596964 3.827515e-04
8 0.449328964 1.965219e-05
9 1.000000000 2.786579e-05

Problem with \(\pi_0\) estimation

The original MLE estimated \(\pi_0\) is 0.9872378. This could be under-estimated due to model-misspecification under the alternative hypothesis. To account for this, we will consider the following approaches:

(i): A conservative estimate of \(\pi_0\) based on the BF procedure:

fash_fit2_update <- BF_update(fash_fit2, plot = FALSE)
fash_fit2_update$prior_weights
save(fash_fit2_update, file = paste0(result_dir, "/fash_fit2_update.RData"))

The conservative estimate is 0.9992301, which is much more conservative.

(ii): Instead of looking at the FDR which is based on the estimated \(\pi_0\), we can use the minimum local false sign rate (\(\text{min-lfsr}_i\)) to measure significance: \[ \text{min-lfsr}_i = \min_{t} \left\{ \text{lfsr}(W_i(t)) \right\}, \] where \(W_i(t) = \beta_i(t) - \beta_i(0)\).

Detecting Nonlinear dynamic eQTLs

We will use the updated FASH model (2) to detect nonlinear dynamic eQTLs.

alpha <- 0.05
test2 <- fdr_control(fash_fit2_update, alpha = alpha, plot = F)
96 datasets are significant at alpha level 0.05. Total datasets tested: 1009173. 
fash_highlighted2 <- test2$fdr_results$index[test2$fdr_results$FDR <= alpha]

How many pairs are detected?

pairs_highlighted2 <- names(datasets)[fash_highlighted2]
length(pairs_highlighted2)
[1] 96
length(pairs_highlighted2)/length(datasets)
[1] 9.51274e-05

How many unique genes are detected?

genes_highlighted2 <- unique(sapply(strsplit(pairs_highlighted2, "_"), "[[", 1))
length(genes_highlighted2)
[1] 27
length(genes_highlighted2)/length(all_genes)
[1] 0.004243948

Visualize top-ranked pairs:

Some examples of null pairs:

genes_not_highlighted2 <- setdiff(all_genes, genes_highlighted2)
pairs_not_highlighted2 <- setdiff(names(datasets), pairs_highlighted2)
par(mfrow = c(2,2))
for (i in 10:13) {
  selected_gene <- (genes_not_highlighted2)[i] #sample(genes_highlighted2, 1)
  pairs_of_selected_gene <- grep(selected_gene, pairs_not_highlighted2, value = T)
  selected_indices <- which(names(datasets) %in% pairs_of_selected_gene)
  selected_index <- selected_indices[which(fash_fit2_update$lfdr[selected_indices] == max(fash_fit2_update$lfdr[selected_indices]))][1]
  fitted_result <- predict(fash_fit2_update,
                           index = selected_index,
                           smooth_var = seq(0, 15, by = 0.1))
  plot(
    datasets[[selected_index]]$x,
    datasets[[selected_index]]$y,
    pch = 20,
    col = "black",
    xlab = "Time",
    ylab = "Effect Est",
    main = paste0(names(datasets)[selected_index]),
    ylim = c(
      min(datasets[[selected_index]]$y - 2 * datasets[[selected_index]]$SE),
      max(datasets[[selected_index]]$y + 2 * datasets[[selected_index]]$SE)
    )
  )
  arrows(
    datasets[[selected_index]]$x,
    datasets[[selected_index]]$y - 2 * datasets[[selected_index]]$SE,
    datasets[[selected_index]]$x,
    datasets[[selected_index]]$y + 2 * datasets[[selected_index]]$SE,
    length = 0.05,
    angle = 90,
    code = 3,
    col = "black"
  )
  lines(fitted_result$x,
        fitted_result$mean,
        col = "red",
        lwd = 2)
  abline(h = mean(datasets[[selected_index]]$y), col = "blue", lty = 2)
  polygon(
    c(fitted_result$x, rev(fitted_result$x)),
    c(fitted_result$lower, rev(fitted_result$upper)),
    col = rgb(1, 0, 0, 0.3),
    border = NA
  )
}

par(mfrow = c(1,1))

Comparing with Strober et.al

We will compare the detected dynamic eQTLs with the results from Strober et.al.

── Attaching core tidyverse packages ──────────────────────── tidyverse 2.0.0 ──
✔ dplyr     1.1.4     ✔ readr     2.1.5
✔ forcats   1.0.1     ✔ stringr   1.5.2
✔ ggplot2   4.0.0     ✔ tibble    3.3.0
✔ lubridate 1.9.4     ✔ tidyr     1.3.1
✔ purrr     1.1.0     
── Conflicts ────────────────────────────────────────── tidyverse_conflicts() ──
✖ dplyr::filter() masks stats::filter()
✖ dplyr::lag()    masks stats::lag()
✖ tidyr::unite()  masks ggVennDiagram::unite()
ℹ Use the conflicted package (<http://conflicted.r-lib.org/>) to force all conflicts to become errors

Let’s take a look at the overlap between the two methods used in Strober et.al and FASH (order 2):

gene_sets <- list(
  "Strober (Nonlinear)" = genes_highlighted_strober_nonlinear,
  "Strober (Linear)" = genes_highlighted_strober_linear,
  "FASH (2)" = genes_highlighted2
)
ggVennDiagram(gene_sets, label = "both") +
  scale_fill_gradient(low="grey90",high = "red") +
  theme(legend.position = "right")  # Move legend to the right

There is a large number of genes only detected by FASH (order 2). Let’s take a look at the 4 pairs that are least significant from FASH:

Let’s also look at the genes that were missed by FASH, but detected by Strober et.al. In this case, we will pick the most significant pair for each gene in FASH:

Classifying nonlinear dynamic eQTLs

Following the definition in Strober et.al, we will classify the detected eQTLs into different categories:

  • Early: eQTLs with strongest effect during the first three days: \(\max_{t\leq3} |\beta(t)| - \max_{t> 3} |\beta(t)| > 0\).

  • Late: eQTLs with strongest effect during the last four days: \(\max_{t\geq 12} |\beta(t)| - \max_{t< 12} |\beta(t)| > 0\).

  • Middle: eQTLs with strongest effect during days 4-11: \(\max_{4\leq t\leq 11} |\beta(t)| - \max_{t> 11 | t< 4} |\beta(t)| > 0\).

  • Switch: eQTLs with effect sign switch during the time course: ${(t)+,(t)-}-c $ where \(c\) is a threshold that we set to 0.25 (which means with two alleles, the maximal difference of effect size is at least \(\geq 2\times\min\{\max\beta(t)^+,\max\beta(t)^-\}\times2 \geq 2 \times 0.25 \times 2 = 1\)).

We first take a look at the significant pairs detected by FASH (order 2), and classify them based on the false sign rate (lfsr):

smooth_var_refined = seq(0,15, by = 0.1)
functional_early <- function(x){
  max(abs(x[smooth_var_refined <= 3])) - max(abs(x[smooth_var_refined > 3]))
}
testing_early_nonlin_dyn <- testing_functional(functional_early,
                                              lfsr_cal = function(x){mean(x <= 0)},
                                              fash = fash_fit2,
                                              indices = fash_highlighted2,
                                              smooth_var = smooth_var_refined)

How many pairs and how many unique genes are classified as early dynamic eQTLs?

load(paste0(result_dir, "/classify_nonlin_dyn_eQTLs_early.RData"))
early_indices <- testing_early_nonlin_dyn$indices[testing_early_nonlin_dyn$cfsr <= alpha]
length(early_indices)
[1] 0
early_genes <- unique(sapply(strsplit(names(datasets)[early_indices], "_"), "[[", 1))
length(early_genes)
[1] 0

How many pairs are classified as middle dynamic eQTLs?

functional_middle <- function(x){
  max(abs(x[smooth_var_refined <= 11 & smooth_var_refined >= 4])) - max(abs(x[smooth_var_refined > 11]), abs(x[smooth_var_refined < 4]))
}
testing_middle_nonlin_dyn <- testing_functional(functional_middle, 
                                               lfsr_cal = function(x){mean(x <= 0)},
                                               fash = fash_fit2, 
                                               indices = fash_highlighted2, 
                                               num_cores = num_cores,
                                               smooth_var = smooth_var_refined)
load(paste0(result_dir, "/classify_nonlin_dyn_eQTLs_middle.RData"))
middle_indices <- testing_middle_nonlin_dyn$indices[testing_middle_nonlin_dyn$cfsr <= alpha]
length(middle_indices)
[1] 32
middle_genes <- unique(sapply(strsplit(names(datasets)[middle_indices], "_"), "[[", 1))
length(middle_genes)
[1] 7

Take a look at their results:

par(mfrow = c(2,2))
for (i in 1:4) {
  selected_index <- sample(middle_indices, 1)
  fitted_result <- predict(fash_fit2,
                           index = selected_index,
                           smooth_var = seq(0, 15, by = 0.1))
  plot(
    datasets[[selected_index]]$x,
    datasets[[selected_index]]$y,
    pch = 20,
    col = "black",
    xlab = "Time",
    ylab = "Effect Est",
    main = paste0(names(datasets)[selected_index]),
    ylim = c(
      min(datasets[[selected_index]]$y - 2 * datasets[[selected_index]]$SE),
      max(datasets[[selected_index]]$y + 2 * datasets[[selected_index]]$SE)
    )
  )
  arrows(
    datasets[[selected_index]]$x,
    datasets[[selected_index]]$y - 2 * datasets[[selected_index]]$SE,
    datasets[[selected_index]]$x,
    datasets[[selected_index]]$y + 2 * datasets[[selected_index]]$SE,
    length = 0.05,
    angle = 90,
    code = 3,
    col = "black"
  )
  lines(fitted_result$x,
        fitted_result$mean,
        col = "red",
        lwd = 2)
  abline(h = 0, lty = 2, col = "blue")
  polygon(
    c(fitted_result$x, rev(fitted_result$x)),
    c(fitted_result$lower, rev(fitted_result$upper)),
    col = rgb(1, 0, 0, 0.3),
    border = NA
  )
}

par(mfrow = c(1,1))

How many pairs are classified as late dynamic eQTLs?

functional_late <- function(x){
  max(abs(x[smooth_var_refined >= 12])) - max(abs(x[smooth_var_refined < 12]))
}
testing_late_nonlin_dyn <- testing_functional(functional_late, 
                                             lfsr_cal = function(x){mean(x <= 0)},
                                             fash = fash_fit2, 
                                             indices = fash_highlighted2, 
                                             num_cores = num_cores,
                                             smooth_var = smooth_var_refined)
load(paste0(result_dir, "/classify_nonlin_dyn_eQTLs_late.RData"))
late_indices <- testing_late_nonlin_dyn$indices[testing_late_nonlin_dyn$cfsr <= alpha]
length(late_indices)
[1] 45
late_genes <- unique(sapply(strsplit(names(datasets)[late_indices], "_"), "[[", 1))
length(late_genes)
[1] 14

Let’s take a look at the top-ranked late dynamic eQTLs:

How many pairs and how many unique genes are classified as switch dynamic eQTLs?

switch_threshold <- 0.25
functional_switch <- function(x){
  # compute the radius of x, measured by deviation from 0 from below and from above
  x_pos <- x[x > 0]
  x_neg <- x[x < 0]
  if(length(x_pos) == 0 || length(x_neg) == 0){
    return(0)
  }
  min(max(abs(x_pos)), max(abs(x_neg))) - switch_threshold
}
testing_switch_nonlin_dyn <- testing_functional(functional_switch, 
                                               lfsr_cal = function(x){mean(x <= 0)},
                                               fash = fash_fit2, 
                                               indices = fash_highlighted2, 
                                               num_cores = num_cores,
                                               smooth_var = smooth_var_refined)
load(paste0(result_dir, "/classify_nonlin_dyn_eQTLs_switch.RData"))
switch_indices <- testing_switch_nonlin_dyn$indices[testing_switch_nonlin_dyn$cfsr <= alpha]
length(switch_indices)
[1] 9
switch_genes <- unique(sapply(strsplit(names(datasets)[switch_indices], "_"), "[[", 1))
length(switch_genes)
[1] 9

Let’s take a look at the top-ranked switch dynamic eQTLs:

Gene Set Enrichment Analysis

library(clusterProfiler)
library(tidyverse)
library(msigdbr)
library(org.Hs.eg.db)  # Assuming human genes
library(biomaRt)
library(cowplot)
# Retrieve Hallmark gene sets for Homo sapiens
m_t2g <- msigdbr(species = "Homo sapiens", category = "H") %>% 
  dplyr::select(gs_name, entrez_gene)
mart <- useMart("ensembl", dataset = "hsapiens_gene_ensembl")

## A function to check gene-enrichment
enrich_set <- function(genes_selected, background_gene, q_val_cutoff = 0.05, pvalueCutoff = 0.05) {
  
  genes_converted <- getBM(
    filters = "ensembl_gene_id", 
    attributes = c("ensembl_gene_id", "entrezgene_id"), 
    values = genes_selected, 
    mart = mart
  )
  
  # Extract Entrez IDs from the converted data
  entrez_gene_list <- genes_converted$entrezgene_id
  
  genes_converted_all <- getBM(
    filters = "ensembl_gene_id", 
    attributes = c("ensembl_gene_id", "entrezgene_id"), 
    values = background_gene, 
    mart = mart
  )
  entrez_universe <- as.character(genes_converted_all$entrezgene_id)
  entrez_universe <- entrez_universe[!is.na(entrez_universe)]
  
  # Perform enrichment analysis using Hallmark gene sets
  enrich_res <- enricher(pAdjustMethod = "BH", 
                         entrez_gene_list, 
                         TERM2GENE = m_t2g, 
                         qvalueCutoff = q_val_cutoff, 
                         pvalueCutoff = pvalueCutoff, 
                         universe = entrez_universe)
  enrich_res
}

Among all the genes highlighted by FASH:

result <- enrich_set(genes_selected = genes_highlighted2, background_gene = all_genes)
result@result %>% 
  filter(pvalue < 0.05) %>%
  dplyr::select(GeneRatio, BgRatio, pvalue, qvalue)
[1] GeneRatio BgRatio   pvalue    qvalue   
<0 rows> (or 0-length row.names)

Among the genes highlighted by FASH that are classified as middle dynamic eQTLs:

result <- enrich_set(genes_selected = middle_genes, background_gene = all_genes)
result@result %>% 
  filter(pvalue < 0.05) %>%
  dplyr::select(GeneRatio, BgRatio, pvalue, qvalue)
[1] GeneRatio BgRatio   pvalue    qvalue   
<0 rows> (or 0-length row.names)

Among the genes highlighted by FASH that are classified as late dynamic eQTLs:

result <- enrich_set(genes_selected = late_genes, background_gene = all_genes)
result@result %>% 
  filter(pvalue < 0.05) %>%
  dplyr::select(GeneRatio, BgRatio, pvalue, qvalue)
                    GeneRatio BgRatio     pvalue    qvalue
HALLMARK_MYOGENESIS       2/6 67/1837 0.01788046 0.1129292

Among the genes highlighted by FASH that are classified as switch dynamic eQTLs:

result <- enrich_set(genes_selected = switch_genes, background_gene = all_genes)
result@result %>% 
  filter(pvalue < 0.05) %>%
  dplyr::select(GeneRatio, BgRatio, pvalue, qvalue)
                    GeneRatio BgRatio     pvalue    qvalue
HALLMARK_MYOGENESIS       2/6 67/1837 0.01788046 0.1882153

sessionInfo()
R version 4.5.1 (2025-06-13)
Platform: aarch64-apple-darwin20
Running under: macOS Sequoia 15.6.1

Matrix products: default
BLAS:   /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/4.5-arm64/Resources/lib/libRblas.0.dylib 
LAPACK: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/4.5-arm64/Resources/lib/libRlapack.dylib;  LAPACK version 3.12.1

locale:
[1] en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8/C/en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8

time zone: America/Chicago
tzcode source: internal

attached base packages:
[1] stats4    stats     graphics  grDevices utils     datasets  methods  
[8] base     

other attached packages:
 [1] cowplot_1.2.0          biomaRt_2.64.0         org.Hs.eg.db_3.21.0   
 [4] AnnotationDbi_1.70.0   IRanges_2.42.0         S4Vectors_0.46.0      
 [7] Biobase_2.68.0         BiocGenerics_0.54.1    generics_0.1.4        
[10] msigdbr_25.1.1         clusterProfiler_4.16.0 lubridate_1.9.4       
[13] forcats_1.0.1          stringr_1.5.2          dplyr_1.1.4           
[16] purrr_1.1.0            readr_2.1.5            tidyr_1.3.1           
[19] tibble_3.3.0           ggplot2_4.0.0          tidyverse_2.0.0       
[22] ggVennDiagram_1.5.4    fashr_0.1.30           workflowr_1.7.2       

loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
  [1] RColorBrewer_1.1-3      rstudioapi_0.17.1       jsonlite_2.0.0         
  [4] magrittr_2.0.4          ggtangle_0.0.8          farver_2.1.2           
  [7] rmarkdown_2.30          fs_1.6.6                vctrs_0.6.5            
 [10] memoise_2.0.1           ggtree_3.16.3           mixsqp_0.3-54          
 [13] progress_1.2.3          htmltools_0.5.8.1       curl_7.0.0             
 [16] gridGraphics_0.5-1      sass_0.4.10             bslib_0.9.0            
 [19] httr2_1.2.1             plyr_1.8.9              cachem_1.1.0           
 [22] TMB_1.9.18              whisker_0.4.1           igraph_2.2.0           
 [25] lifecycle_1.0.4         pkgconfig_2.0.3         gson_0.1.0             
 [28] Matrix_1.7-3            R6_2.6.1                fastmap_1.2.0          
 [31] GenomeInfoDbData_1.2.14 digest_0.6.37           numDeriv_2016.8-1.1    
 [34] aplot_0.2.9             enrichplot_1.28.4       colorspace_2.1-2       
 [37] patchwork_1.3.2         ps_1.9.1                rprojroot_2.1.1        
 [40] irlba_2.3.5.1           RSQLite_2.4.3           filelock_1.0.3         
 [43] labeling_0.4.3          timechange_0.3.0        httr_1.4.7             
 [46] compiler_4.5.1          bit64_4.6.0-1           withr_3.0.2            
 [49] S7_0.2.0                BiocParallel_1.42.2     DBI_1.2.3              
 [52] R.utils_2.13.0          rappdirs_0.3.3          tools_4.5.1            
 [55] ape_5.8-1               httpuv_1.6.16           R.oo_1.27.1            
 [58] glue_1.8.0              callr_3.7.6             nlme_3.1-168           
 [61] GOSemSim_2.34.0         promises_1.3.3          grid_4.5.1             
 [64] getPass_0.2-4           reshape2_1.4.4          fgsea_1.34.2           
 [67] gtable_0.3.6            tzdb_0.5.0              R.methodsS3_1.8.2      
 [70] data.table_1.17.8       hms_1.1.3               xml2_1.4.0             
 [73] XVector_0.48.0          ggrepel_0.9.6           pillar_1.11.1          
 [76] babelgene_22.9          yulab.utils_0.2.1       later_1.4.4            
 [79] splines_4.5.1           BiocFileCache_2.16.2    treeio_1.32.0          
 [82] lattice_0.22-7          bit_4.6.0               tidyselect_1.2.1       
 [85] GO.db_3.21.0            Biostrings_2.76.0       knitr_1.50             
 [88] git2r_0.36.2            xfun_0.53               LaplacesDemon_16.1.6   
 [91] stringi_1.8.7           UCSC.utils_1.4.0        lazyeval_0.2.2         
 [94] ggfun_0.2.0             yaml_2.3.10             evaluate_1.0.5         
 [97] codetools_0.2-20        qvalue_2.40.0           ggplotify_0.1.3        
[100] cli_3.6.5               processx_3.8.6          jquerylib_0.1.4        
[103] dichromat_2.0-0.1       Rcpp_1.1.0              GenomeInfoDb_1.44.3    
[106] dbplyr_2.5.1            png_0.1-8               parallel_4.5.1         
[109] assertthat_0.2.1        blob_1.2.4              prettyunits_1.2.0      
[112] DOSE_4.2.0              tidytree_0.4.6          scales_1.4.0           
[115] crayon_1.5.3            rlang_1.1.6             fastmatch_1.1-6        
[118] KEGGREST_1.48.1