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Here we perform a small experiment with simulated data to illustrate the behaviour of the EM and SCD algorithms for fitting Poisson NMF models. This example suggests that the EM updates have difficulty with correlations between topics, even when they are quite modest. The results also suggest that the basic variational EM for LDA also experiences similar difficulties.

Load the packages used in the analysis below, as well as additional functions that we will use to simulate the data.

library(tm)
library(topicmodels)
library(fastTopics)
library(mvtnorm)
library(ggplot2)
library(cowplot)
source("../code/smallsim_functions.R")

Set the seed so that the results can be reproduced.

set.seed(1)

Independent topics scenario

In this first example, we simulate a \(100 \times 400\) counts matrix from a multinomial topic model with \(K = 6\) topics.

n <- 100
m <- 400
k <- 6
S <- 13*diag(k) - 2
F <- simulate_factors(m,k)
L <- simulate_loadings(n,k,S)
s <- simulate_sizes(n)
X <- simulate_multinom_counts(L,F,s)
X <- X[,colSums(X > 0) > 0]

The topic proportions for each of the 100 samples—that is, a row of the counts matrix—are randomly drawn according to the correlated topic model: \(\eta_i\) for row \(i\) is drawn from the multivariate normal with mean zero and covariance matrix \(S\), such that \(s_{kk} = 11\), \(s_{jk} = -2\) for all \(j \neq k\). Generated in this way, the topic proportions tend to be roughly orthogonal:

topic_colors <- c("dodgerblue","darkorange","forestgreen","darkblue",
                  "gold","skyblue")
p1 <- simdata_structure_plot(L,topic_colors)
print(p1)

Version Author Date
907addd Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-08
913316c Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-07

Here we compare two different updates for fitting a Poisson NMF model to the simulated counts: EM updates, and sequential coordinate descent (SCD). We perform 100 iterations of each. The model fitting is initialized by first running 50 EM updates, with the aim of better ensuring that the same local maximum is recovered by both runs.

control <- list(extrapolate = FALSE,numiter = 4)
fit0 <- fit_poisson_nmf(X,k,numiter = 50,method = "em",control = control)
fit1 <- fit_poisson_nmf(X,fit0=fit0,numiter=100,method="em",control=control)
fit2 <- fit_poisson_nmf(X,fit0=fit0,numiter=100,method="scd",control=control)
fit0 <- poisson2multinom(fit0)
fit1 <- poisson2multinom(fit1)
fit2 <- poisson2multinom(fit2)

This next plot shows the improvement in the solution over time for the EM and SCD updates. The Y axis shows the difference between the current log-likelihood and the best log-likelihood achieved by the two methods.

pdat <- rbind(data.frame(iter   = 1:150,
                         loglik = fit1$progress$loglik.multinom,
                         res    = fit1$progress$res,
                         method = "em"),
              data.frame(iter   = 1:150,
                         loglik = fit2$progress$loglik.multinom,
                         res    = fit2$progress$res,
                         method = "scd"))
pdat <- subset(pdat,iter >= 50)
pdat <- transform(pdat,
                  iter   = iter - 50,
                  loglik = max(loglik) - loglik + 0.1)
p2 <- ggplot(pdat,aes(x = iter,y = loglik,color = method)) +
  geom_line(size = 0.75) +
  scale_y_continuous(trans = "log10") +
  scale_color_manual(values = c("dodgerblue","darkorange")) +
  labs(x = "iteration",y = "loglik difference") +
  theme_cowplot(font_size = 10)
p3 <- ggplot(pdat,aes(x = iter,y = res,color = method)) +
  geom_line(size = 0.75) +
  scale_color_manual(values = c("dodgerblue","darkorange")) +
  labs(x = "iteration",y = "max KKT residual") +
  theme_cowplot(font_size = 10)
plot_grid(p2,p3)

Version Author Date
be1f9a4 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-11
daf189c Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-09
47ed425 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-09
907addd Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-08
1838ec8 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-08
50f34a9 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-07
1185ab4 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-07
913316c Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-07
51c5321 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-06
59a8594 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-05
ffad471 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-05

Among the two methods compared, the SCD updates progress more rapidly toward a solution. Still, the EM updates recover the same solution after a reasonable number of iterations. Indeed, the EM and SCD estimates of the topic proportions are almost the same:

p4 <- loadings_scatterplot(fit1,fit2,topic_colors,"em","scd")
print(p4)

Version Author Date
be1f9a4 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-11
47ed425 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-09
907addd Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-08
300faac Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-08
87ef32e Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-08

Add text here.

maptpx0 <- maptpx::topics(X,k,shape = 1,initopics = fit0$F,omega = fit0$L,
                          tol = 0.001,tmax = 1000,ord = FALSE,verb = 0)
maptpx1 <- maptpx::topics(X,k,shape = 1,initopics = fit1$F,omega = fit1$L,
                          tol = 0.001,tmax = 1000,ord = FALSE,verb = 0)
maptpx2 <- maptpx::topics(X,k,shape = 1,initopics = fit2$F,omega = fit2$L,
                          tol = 0.001,tmax = 1000,ord = FALSE,verb = 0)

Add text here.

pdat <- rbind(data.frame(iter = 1:length(maptpx0$progress),
                         y    = maptpx0$progress,
                         init = "em-50"),
              data.frame(iter = 1:length(maptpx1$progress),
                         y    = maptpx1$progress,
                         init = "em-150"),
              data.frame(iter = 1:length(maptpx2$progress),
                         y    = maptpx2$progress,
                         init = "scd"))
pdat <- transform(pdat,y = max(y) - y + 0.1)
ggplot(pdat,aes(x = iter,y = y,color = init)) +
  geom_line(size = 0.75) +
  scale_y_continuous(trans = "log10") +
  scale_color_manual(values = c("dodgerblue","darkblue","darkorange")) +
  labs(x = "iteration",y = "log-posterior difference") +
  theme_cowplot(font_size = 10)

Next, we turn to the problem of fitting an LDA model to the same data.

We perform 400 iterations of variational EM, initializing the LDA model fits using the MLEs computed above.

lda0 <- run_lda(X,fit0,numiter = 400)
lda1 <- run_lda(X,fit1,numiter = 400)
lda2 <- run_lda(X,fit2,numiter = 400)

Warning: The above code chunk cached its results, but it won’t be re-run if previous chunks it depends on are updated. If you need to use caching, it is highly recommended to also set knitr::opts_chunk$set(autodep = TRUE) at the top of the file (in a chunk that is not cached). Alternatively, you can customize the option dependson for each individual chunk that is cached. Using either autodep or dependson will remove this warning. See the knitr cache options for more details.

Although the LDA fitting problem is different—we are now fitting a (approximate) posterior distribution, and so the estimates are approximate posterior means rather than MLE—initializing the LDA fit using the MLEs greatly improves the LDA model fitting, as we will see from this next plot: even after 400 iterations, variational EM without a good initialization does not approach the quality of the LDA model fits initialized using the EM and SCD estimates.

pdat <- rbind(data.frame(iter = 1:400,elbo = lda0@logLiks,init = "none"),
              data.frame(iter = 1:400,elbo = lda1@logLiks,init = "em"),
              data.frame(iter = 1:400,elbo = lda2@logLiks,init = "scd"))
pdat <- transform(pdat,elbo = max(elbo) - elbo + 0.1)
p5<-ggplot(pdat,aes(x = iter,y = elbo,color = init)) +
           geom_line(size = 0.75) +
           scale_y_continuous(trans = "log10") +
           scale_color_manual(values=c("darkblue","dodgerblue","darkorange")) +
           labs(x = "iteration",y = "ELBO difference") +
           theme_cowplot(font_size = 10)
print(p5)

Version Author Date
311659c Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-12
be1f9a4 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-11

Next we will see an example in which EM updates fail to make reasonable progress.

Correlated topics scenario

The count data in this second example are simulated as before, with one difference: by setting \(s_{56} = s_{65} = 8\), the mixture proportions for topics 5 and 6 are no longer close to orthogonal.

set.seed(1)
S[5,6] <- 8
S[6,5] <- 8
L <- simulate_loadings(n,k,S)
X <- simulate_multinom_counts(L,F,s)
X <- X[,colSums(X > 0) > 0]

Compare this Structure plot to the one above—there is more mixing of topics 5 and 6:

p6 <- simdata_structure_plot(L,topic_colors)
print(p6)

Version Author Date
907addd Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-08
7e3d55b Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-07
913316c Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-07

As before, we run the EM and SCD updates to fit the multinomial topic model, with a twist that we perform another round of SCD updates after running the EM updates. This will be explained shortly.

fit0 <- fit_poisson_nmf(X,k,numiter = 50,method = "em",control = control)
fit1 <- fit_poisson_nmf(X,fit0=fit0,numiter=750,method="em",control=control)
fit2 <- fit_poisson_nmf(X,fit0=fit0,numiter=950,method="scd",control=control)
fit3 <- fit_poisson_nmf(X,fit0=fit1,numiter=200,method="scd",control=control)
fit1 <- fit_poisson_nmf(X,fit0=fit1,numiter=200,method="em",control=control)
fit0 <- poisson2multinom(fit0)
fit1 <- poisson2multinom(fit1)
fit2 <- poisson2multinom(fit2)
fit3 <- poisson2multinom(fit3)

In this second example, after initially making good progress, the EM estimates remain far from the solution achieved by SCD even after hundreds of EM updates. This isn’t a case where the EM updates have settled on a different local solution—the SCD updates quickly “rescue” the EM estimates.

pdat <- rbind(data.frame(iter   = 1:1000,
                         loglik = fit1$progress$loglik.multinom,
                         res    = fit1$progress$res,
                         method = "em"),
              data.frame(iter   = 1:1000,
                         loglik = fit2$progress$loglik.multinom,
                         res    = fit2$progress$res,
                         method = "scd"),
              data.frame(iter   = 800:1000,
                         loglik = fit3$progress[800:1000,"loglik.multinom"],
                         res    = fit3$progress[800:1000,"res"],
                         method = "em+scd"))
pdat <- subset(pdat,iter >= 50)
pdat <- transform(pdat,
                  iter   = iter - 50,
                  loglik = max(loglik) - loglik + 0.1)
p7 <- ggplot(pdat,aes(x = iter,y = loglik,color = method)) +
  geom_line(size = 0.75) +
  scale_y_continuous(trans = "log10") +
  scale_color_manual(values = c("dodgerblue","darkorange","magenta")) +
  labs(x = "iteration",y = "loglik difference") +
  theme_cowplot(font_size = 10)
p8 <- ggplot(pdat,aes(x = iter,y = res,color = method)) +
  geom_line(size = 0.75) +
  scale_color_manual(values = c("dodgerblue","darkorange","magenta")) +
  ylim(0,10) +
  labs(x = "iteration",y = "max KKT residual") +
  theme_cowplot(font_size = 10)
plot_grid(p7,p8)

Version Author Date
311659c Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-12
daf189c Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-09
47ed425 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-09
a967f97 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-08
1838ec8 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-08
50f34a9 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-07
1185ab4 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-07
7e3d55b Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-07
913316c Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-07
59a8594 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-05
ffad471 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-05

This large difference in likelihood is not due to a trivial difference in solution—for example, there are many large differences in the topic proportion estimates:

p9 <- loadings_scatterplot(fit1,fit2,topic_colors,"em","scd")
print(p9)

Version Author Date
311659c Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-12
47ed425 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-09
907addd Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-08
300faac Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-08
87ef32e Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-08

Most of the samples contributing to the large difference in likehood are samples generated from combinations of topics 5 and 6 (the X and Y axes in this scatterplot show the per-sample log-likelihoods):

pdat <- data.frame(x = loglik_multinom_topic_model(X,fit1),
                   y = loglik_multinom_topic_model(X,fit2))
ggplot(pdat,aes(x = x,y = y,fill = L[,5] + L[,6])) +
  geom_point(color = "white",shape = 21,size = 1.75) +
  geom_abline(intercept = 0,slope = 1,color = "black",linetype = "dotted") +
  scale_fill_gradient(low = "skyblue",high = "orangered") +
  xlim(-700,-100) +
  ylim(-700,-100) +
  labs(x = "em",y = "scd",fill = "topic 5 + 6") +
  theme_cowplot(font_size = 10)

Version Author Date
47ed425 Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-09
300faac Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-08
87ef32e Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-08

These results suggest that the EM algorithm may perform poorly in settings where the topics are correlated, even if the correlations are modest.

Let’s see how this relates to fitting an LDA model:

lda0 <- run_lda(X,fit0,numiter = 400)
lda1 <- run_lda(X,fit1,numiter = 400)
lda2 <- run_lda(X,fit2,numiter = 400)

Warning: The above code chunk cached its results, but it won’t be re-run if previous chunks it depends on are updated. If you need to use caching, it is highly recommended to also set knitr::opts_chunk$set(autodep = TRUE) at the top of the file (in a chunk that is not cached). Alternatively, you can customize the option dependson for each individual chunk that is cached. Using either autodep or dependson will remove this warning. See the knitr cache options for more details.

This plot shows the improvement in the objective (the ELBO) over time:

pdat <- rbind(data.frame(iter = 1:400,elbo = lda0@logLiks,init = "none"),
              data.frame(iter = 1:400,elbo = lda1@logLiks,init = "em"),
              data.frame(iter = 1:400,elbo = lda2@logLiks,init = "scd"))
pdat <- transform(pdat,elbo = max(elbo) - elbo + 0.1)
p10<-ggplot(pdat,aes(x = iter,y = elbo,color = init)) +
            geom_line(size = 0.75) +
            scale_y_continuous(trans = "log10") +
            scale_color_manual(values=c("darkblue","dodgerblue","darkorange"))+
            labs(x = "iteration",y = "ELBO difference") +
            theme_cowplot(font_size = 10)
print(p10)

Version Author Date
311659c Peter Carbonetto 2021-03-12

In this second example, the SCD estimates provide by far the best initialization of the LDA model fit.


sessionInfo()
# R version 3.6.2 (2019-12-12)
# Platform: x86_64-apple-darwin15.6.0 (64-bit)
# Running under: macOS Catalina 10.15.7
# 
# Matrix products: default
# BLAS:   /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/3.6/Resources/lib/libRblas.0.dylib
# LAPACK: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/3.6/Resources/lib/libRlapack.dylib
# 
# locale:
# [1] en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8/C/en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8
# 
# attached base packages:
# [1] stats     graphics  grDevices utils     datasets  methods   base     
# 
# other attached packages:
# [1] cowplot_1.0.0     ggplot2_3.3.0     mvtnorm_1.0-11    fastTopics_0.5-24
# [5] topicmodels_0.2-9 tm_0.7-7          NLP_0.2-0        
# 
# loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
#  [1] httr_1.4.2           tidyr_1.0.0          jsonlite_1.6        
#  [4] viridisLite_0.3.0    RcppParallel_4.4.2   assertthat_0.2.1    
#  [7] mixsqp_0.3-44        stats4_3.6.2         progress_1.2.2      
# [10] yaml_2.2.0           slam_0.1-47          ggrepel_0.9.0       
# [13] pillar_1.4.3         backports_1.1.5      lattice_0.20-38     
# [16] quadprog_1.5-8       quantreg_5.54        glue_1.3.1          
# [19] digest_0.6.23        promises_1.1.0       colorspace_1.4-1    
# [22] htmltools_0.4.0      httpuv_1.5.2         Matrix_1.3-3        
# [25] pkgconfig_2.0.3      invgamma_1.1         SparseM_1.78        
# [28] purrr_0.3.3          scales_1.1.0         whisker_0.4         
# [31] later_1.0.0          Rtsne_0.15           MatrixModels_0.4-1  
# [34] git2r_0.26.1         tibble_2.1.3         farver_2.0.1        
# [37] withr_2.1.2          ashr_2.2-51          lazyeval_0.2.2      
# [40] magrittr_1.5         crayon_1.3.4         mcmc_0.9-6          
# [43] evaluate_0.14        fs_1.3.1             MASS_7.3-51.4       
# [46] xml2_1.3.2           truncnorm_1.0-8      prettyunits_1.1.1   
# [49] tools_3.6.2          data.table_1.12.8    hms_0.5.2           
# [52] lifecycle_0.1.0      stringr_1.4.0        MCMCpack_1.4-5      
# [55] plotly_4.9.2         munsell_0.5.0        irlba_2.3.3         
# [58] compiler_3.6.2       rlang_0.4.5          grid_3.6.2          
# [61] htmlwidgets_1.5.1    labeling_0.3         rmarkdown_2.3       
# [64] codetools_0.2-16     gtable_0.3.0         R6_2.4.1            
# [67] knitr_1.26           dplyr_0.8.3          zeallot_0.1.0       
# [70] workflowr_1.6.2.9000 rprojroot_1.3-2      maptpx_1.9-8        
# [73] modeltools_0.2-22    stringi_1.4.3        parallel_3.6.2      
# [76] SQUAREM_2017.10-1    Rcpp_1.0.5           vctrs_0.2.1         
# [79] tidyselect_0.2.5     xfun_0.11            coda_0.19-3