Last updated: 2020-09-16
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As we saw in the part about Model Tuning there is no significant impact by haperparameter settings or the predictor variables. However, the performance varies between species. As we can see in the following table douglas fir, pine and larch have much lower prediction accuracies than beech or spruce. This might be related to a lower number of reference data but it might also come from correlated reflectancies.
| Balanced Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Class: BU | 0.9502580 |
| Class: DGL | 0.8910167 |
| Class: FI | 0.9721655 |
| Class: KI | 0.9166467 |
| Class: LAE | 0.9034690 |
| Class: TEI | 0.9454064 |
What happens to prediction accuracies if the number of predicted tree species is reduced?
To test this a model was trained on just four species (beech, spruce, pine, oak) excluding larch and douglas fir, since the 6-class model performs bad for them and additionally they have a low abundance.
The effect of less prediction classes in the RF model can be seen below. Because the model is trained on 4 classes excluding larch and douglas fir, none of the reference pixels is classified as one of those. Including all 6 tree species in the validation dataset we can see, that Douglas fir is mainly classified as Spruce, while Larch is classified as either Beech, Pine or Oak!
Error Matrix| Baumart | BU | DGL | FI | KI | LAE | TEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BU | 2308 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 356 | 148 |
| DGL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FI | 0 | 394 | 2786 | 22 | 55 | 1 |
| KI | 16 | 97 | 49 | 538 | 307 | 2 |
| LAE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TEI | 83 | 35 | 5 | 4 | 251 | 1673 |
| Accuracy | Kappa | AccuracyLower | AccuracyUpper |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7988845 | 0.7340012 | 0.7905195 | 0.8070587 |
| Accuracy | Kappa | AccuracyLower | AccuracyUpper |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9552766 | 0.936171 | 0.9504019 | 0.9598003 |
| Balanced Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Class: BU | 0.9641678 |
| Class: DGL | NA |
| Class: FI | 0.9867188 |
| Class: KI | 0.9688592 |
| Class: LAE | NA |
| Class: TEI | 0.9507077 |
Compared to the 6-class model accuracies for all four species increased. Especially the accuracy for pine increased a lot.
The classification probabilities for each class and the final predictions were calculated for study sites to compare the 6-class and the 4-class model visually.
Tree species probabilities and final classification in the Harz area.
Classification probabilities for beech, based on 6-class model
Classification probabilities for beech, based on 4-class model
Classification probabilities for spruce, based on 6-class model
Classification probabilities for spruce, based on 4-class model
Classification probabilities for pine, based on 6-class model
Classification probabilities for pine, based on 4-class model
Classification probabilities for oak, based on 6-class model
Classification probabilities for oak, based on 4-class model
Maximum classification probabilitiy, based on 6-class model
Maximum classification probability, based on 4-class model
Tree species predition, based on 6-class model
Tree species predition, based on 4-class model
Tree species probabilities and final classification in the Solling area.
Classification probabilities for beech, based on 6-class model
Classification probabilities for beech, based on 4-class model
Classification probabilities for spruce, based on 6-class model
Classification probabilities for spruce, based on 4-class model
Classification probabilities for pine, based on 6-class model
Classification probabilities for pine, based on 4-class model
Classification probabilities for oak, based on 6-class model
Classification probabilities for oak, based on 4-class model
Maximum classification probabilitiy, based on 6-class model
Maximum classification probability, based on 4-class model
Tree species predition, based on 6-class model
Tree species predition, based on 4-class model
The average prediction certainty is higher with the 4-class model than with the 6-class model in the Solling area (0.78 vs. 0.74) and in the Harz area (0.82 vs. 0.74).
Relative distributions of prediction probabilities by tree species, using the 6-class model
Relative distributions of prediction probabilities by tree species, using the 6-class model
Relative distributions of prediction probabilities by tree species, using the 6-class model
It is obvious that the model is not good at predicting douglas fir, larch and pine. Forest stands of these species are classified correctly with a prediction probability which is on average much lower than these of beech, spruce or oak.
Relative distributions of prediction probabilities by tree species, using the 4-class model
Training the model on just 4 classes results in better performances for all four species. But especially pine stands are predicted with higher probabilities if we exclude douglas fir and larch.
Prediction probabilities of incorrectly classified forest stands increase slightly when using the 4-class model. This is mainly due to the fact that probabilities (always summing up to 1) are distributed among four instead of six classes.
R version 4.0.2 (2020-06-22)
Platform: x86_64-w64-mingw32/x64 (64-bit)
Running under: Windows 10 x64 (build 18362)
Matrix products: default
locale:
[1] LC_COLLATE=German_Germany.1252 LC_CTYPE=German_Germany.1252
[3] LC_MONETARY=German_Germany.1252 LC_NUMERIC=C
[5] LC_TIME=German_Germany.1252
attached base packages:
[1] stats graphics grDevices utils datasets methods base
other attached packages:
[1] rasterVis_0.48 latticeExtra_0.6-29 ranger_0.12.1
[4] caret_6.0-86 lattice_0.20-41 recipes_0.1.13
[7] dplyr_1.0.0 here_0.1 plotly_4.9.2.1
[10] ggplot2_3.3.2 readr_1.3.1 rgdal_1.5-12
[13] kableExtra_1.1.0 viridis_0.5.1 viridisLite_0.3.0
[16] raster_3.3-13 sp_1.4-2 workflowr_1.6.2
loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
[1] nlme_3.1-148 fs_1.4.2 lubridate_1.7.9
[4] webshot_0.5.2 RColorBrewer_1.1-2 httr_1.4.2
[7] rprojroot_1.3-2 tools_4.0.2 backports_1.1.7
[10] R6_2.4.1 rpart_4.1-15 lazyeval_0.2.2
[13] colorspace_1.4-1 nnet_7.3-14 withr_2.2.0
[16] tidyselect_1.1.0 gridExtra_2.3 compiler_4.0.2
[19] git2r_0.27.1 rvest_0.3.6 xml2_1.3.2
[22] labeling_0.3 scales_1.1.1 hexbin_1.28.1
[25] randomForest_4.6-14 stringr_1.4.0 digest_0.6.25
[28] rmarkdown_2.3 jpeg_0.1-8.1 pkgconfig_2.0.3
[31] htmltools_0.5.0 highr_0.8 htmlwidgets_1.5.1
[34] rlang_0.4.7 rstudioapi_0.11 farver_2.0.3
[37] generics_0.0.2 zoo_1.8-8 jsonlite_1.7.0
[40] ModelMetrics_1.2.2.2 magrittr_1.5 Matrix_1.2-18
[43] Rcpp_1.0.5 munsell_0.5.0 lifecycle_0.2.0
[46] stringi_1.4.6 whisker_0.4 pROC_1.16.2
[49] yaml_2.2.1 MASS_7.3-51.6 plyr_1.8.6
[52] grid_4.0.2 parallel_4.0.2 promises_1.1.1
[55] crayon_1.3.4 splines_4.0.2 hms_0.5.3
[58] knitr_1.29 pillar_1.4.6 reshape2_1.4.4
[61] codetools_0.2-16 stats4_4.0.2 glue_1.4.1
[64] evaluate_0.14 data.table_1.12.8 vctrs_0.3.2
[67] png_0.1-7 httpuv_1.5.4 foreach_1.5.0
[70] gtable_0.3.0 purrr_0.3.4 tidyr_1.1.0
[73] xfun_0.15 gower_0.2.2 prodlim_2019.11.13
[76] e1071_1.7-3 later_1.1.0.1 class_7.3-17
[79] survival_3.2-3 timeDate_3043.102 tibble_3.0.3
[82] iterators_1.0.12 lava_1.6.7 ellipsis_0.3.1
[85] ipred_0.9-9