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library(tidyverse)
library(ncdf4)
library(vroom)
library(lubridate)
library(here)
library(seacarb)
library(oce)
library(patchwork)
library(zoo)
library(metR)
# route
select_route <- "E"

# latitude limits
low_lat <- 57.3
high_lat <- 57.5

#depth range to subset GETM 3d files
d1_shallow <- 0
d1_deep <- 25

# date limits
start_date <- "2018-06-20"
end_date <- "2018-08-25"

fixed_values <- 
  read_csv(here::here("Data/_summarized_data_files", "tb_fix.csv"))

1 Approach

In order to test how (and how well) the depth-integrated CT estimates can be reproduced if only surface CO2 data from VOS Finnamaid and hydrographical GETM model date were available, two reconstruction approaches were tested:

  1. MLD: Integration of surface observation across the MLD, assuming homogenious vertical patterns
  2. Temperature: Vertical reconstruction of incremental CT changes based on profiles of incremental changes in temperature

2 GETM

The following information refer to regional mean values modeled along the Finnmaid track east and within the BloomSail field work area (57.3 - 57.5 N).

2.1 STD Profiles

Mean daily salinity and temperature profiles were extracted from 3d GETM data (vertically resolved transects).

nc <- nc_open(here::here("data/GETM", "Finnmaid.E.3d.2018.nc"))
#print(nc$var)

lat <- ncvar_get(nc, "latc")

time_units <- nc$dim$time$units %>%     #we read the time unit from the netcdf file to calibrate the time 
    substr(start = 15, stop = 33) %>%   #calculation, we take the relevant information from the string
    ymd_hms()                           # and transform it to the right format
t <- time_units + ncvar_get(nc, "time") # read time vector
rm(time_units)

d <- ncvar_get(nc, "zax") # read depths vector

for (var_3d in c("salt", "temp", "SurfaceAge")) {
  
array <- ncvar_get(nc, var_3d) # store the data in a 3-dimensional array
#dim(array) # should be 3d with dimensions: 544 coordinates, 51 depths, and number of days of month

fillvalue <- ncatt_get(nc, var_3d, "_FillValue")

# Working with the data
array[array == fillvalue$value] <- NA

    for (i in seq(1,length(t),1)){
      
      # i <- 3
      array_slice <- array[, , i] # slices data from one day
      
      array_slice_df <- as.data.frame(t(array_slice))
      array_slice_df <- as_tibble(array_slice_df)
      
      gt_3d_part <- array_slice_df %>%
        set_names(as.character(lat)) %>%
        mutate(dep = -d) %>%
        gather("lat", "value", 1:length(lat)) %>%
        mutate(lat = as.numeric(lat)) %>%
        filter(lat > low_lat, lat < high_lat,
               dep >= d1_shallow, dep <= d1_deep) %>%
        #summarise_all("value") %>%
        mutate(var = var_3d,
               date_time=t[i]) %>% 
        dplyr::select(date_time, dep, value, var) #%>% 
        #filter(date_time >= start_date, date_time <= end_date)

      
      if (exists("gt_3d")) {
        gt_3d <- bind_rows(gt_3d, gt_3d_part)
        } else {gt_3d <- gt_3d_part}
      
  rm(array_slice, array_slice_df, gt_3d_part)
      
    }
rm(array, fillvalue)

}

nc_close(nc)
rm(nc)

gt_3d <- gt_3d %>% 
  filter(date_time >= start_date & date_time <= end_date) %>% 
  group_by(dep,var,date_time ) %>% 
  summarise_all(list(value=~mean(.,na.rm=TRUE))) %>%
  ungroup()

gt_3d %>% 
  vroom_write((here::here("data/_summarized_data_files", file = "gt_3d_long.csv")))


rm(gt_3d, d1_deep, d1_shallow, i, lat, d, t, var_3d)

Seawater density was calculated according to TEOS-10.

gt_3d_long <- 
  read_tsv((here::here("data/_summarized_data_files", file = "gt_3d_long.csv")))

gt_3d <- gt_3d_long %>% 
  pivot_wider(values_from = value, names_from = var) %>% 
  mutate(rho = swSigma(salinity = salt, temperature = temp, pressure = dep/10))
gt_3d_long <- gt_3d %>% 
  pivot_longer(c(salt, SurfaceAge, temp, rho), values_to = "value", names_to = "var")

gt_3d_long %>% 
  ggplot(aes(value, dep,
             col=date_time,
             group=date_time))+
  geom_path()+
  scale_y_reverse(expand = c(0,0))+
  scale_color_viridis_c(name="Date", trans = "time")+
  facet_wrap(~var, scales = "free_x", ncol = 2)

2.1.1 Comparison BloomSail

Vertical, 1m-gridded BloomSail CTD profiles were used for comparison with GETM results. Merging both data sets required the BloomSail profiles to be shifted upward by 0.5m. Note that neither sampling location nor time match exactly.

ts_profiles_ID <-
  read_csv(here::here("Data/_merged_data_files", "ts_profiles_ID.csv"))

ts_profiles_ID <- ts_profiles_ID %>% 
  mutate(rho = swSigma(salinity = sal, temperature = tem, pressure = dep/10),
         dep = dep - 0.5)

GETM results were linearly interpolated to the mean BloomSail time stamp.

ts_gt_3d <- full_join(gt_3d %>% select(date_time, dep, sal = salt, tem = temp, rho),
                      ts_profiles_ID %>% select(date_time = date_time_ID,
                                                dep, sal, tem, rho),
                      by = c("date_time", "dep"), suffix=c("_gt", "_ts"))

ts_gt_3d <- ts_gt_3d %>% 
  arrange(date_time) %>% 
  group_by(dep) %>% 
  mutate(tem_gt = approxfun(date_time, tem_gt)(date_time),
         sal_gt = approxfun(date_time, sal_gt)(date_time),
         rho_gt = approxfun(date_time, rho_gt)(date_time)) %>% 
  ungroup() %>% 
  drop_na()
ts_gt_3d_long <- ts_gt_3d %>% 
  pivot_longer(3:8, values_to = "value", names_to = c("var", "source"), names_sep = "_")

ts_gt_3d_long %>% 
  ggplot(aes(value, dep,
             col=date_time,
             group=date_time))+
  geom_path()+
  scale_y_reverse(expand = c(0,0), name="Depth (m)")+
  scale_color_viridis_c(name="Date", trans = "time")+
  facet_grid(source~var, scales = "free_x")
STD profiles modeled with GETM (upper panels, gt) and measured during BloomSail campaign (lower panels, ts)

STD profiles modeled with GETM (upper panels, gt) and measured during BloomSail campaign (lower panels, ts)

ts_gt_3d <- ts_gt_3d_long %>% 
  pivot_wider(values_from = "value", names_from = "source") %>% 
  mutate(value_diff = gt - ts)

ts_gt_3d %>% 
  ggplot(aes(value_diff, dep,
             col=date_time,
             group=date_time))+
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0, col="red")+
  geom_path()+
  scale_y_reverse(expand = c(0,0), name="Depth (m)")+
  scale_color_viridis_c(name="Date", trans = "time")+
  facet_grid(.~var, scales = "free_x")+
  labs(x="Difference GETM (gt) - Bloomsail (ts)")

2.1.2 Heat penetration depth

As an alternative approach to the integration over the MLD or the reconstruction of CT profiles, we can estimate the mean penetration depth of the warming signal, which was defined the surface change in temperature devided by the integrated change in seawater temperature across depth.

tem_diff_surface <- ts_gt_3d_long %>% 
  filter(dep < 6,
         var=="tem") %>% 
  select(date_time_ID = date_time, source, tem=value) %>% 
  group_by(date_time_ID, source) %>% 
  summarise_all(mean, na.rm=TRUE) %>% 
  ungroup() 

tem_diff_surface <- tem_diff_surface %>% 
  group_by(source) %>% 
  arrange(date_time_ID) %>% 
  mutate(tem_diff_surface = tem - lag(tem)) %>% 
  ungroup() %>% 
  select(-tem)

ts_gt_3d_long <- ts_gt_3d_long %>% 
  filter(var=="tem") %>% 
  select(date_time_ID = date_time, source, dep, tem=value) %>% 
  group_by(source, dep) %>% 
  arrange(date_time_ID) %>% 
  mutate(tem_diff = tem - lag(tem)) %>% 
  ungroup() %>% 
  select(-tem)

ts_gt_3d_long <- full_join(ts_gt_3d_long, tem_diff_surface) 
rm(tem_diff_surface)

tem_depth <- ts_gt_3d_long %>%
  filter(dep < 18) %>% 
  group_by(date_time_ID, source) %>% 
  summarise(tem_diff_int = sum(tem_diff),
            tem_diff_surface = mean(tem_diff_surface),
            tem_depth = tem_diff_int/tem_diff_surface) %>% 
  ungroup()

tem_depth %>% 
  ggplot(aes(date_time_ID, tem_diff_surface, col=source))+
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0)+
  geom_line()+
  geom_point()

tem_depth %>% 
  ggplot(aes(date_time_ID, tem_diff_int, col=source))+
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0)+
  geom_line()+
  geom_point()

tem_depth %>% 
  ggplot(aes(date_time_ID, tem_depth, col=source))+
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0)+
  geom_line()+
  geom_point()+
  scale_y_reverse()

rm(ts_gt_3d, ts_gt_3d_long, ts_profiles_ID)

2.2 Mixed layer depth

Mean mixed/mixing layer depth estimates based on sewater density and windspeed were extracted from 3h GETM surface data.

nc_2d <- nc_open(here("data/GETM", "Finnmaid.E.2d.2018.nc"))
#print(nc_2d)

lat <- ncvar_get(nc_2d, "latc")

time_units <- nc_2d$dim$time$units %>%     #we read the time unit from the netcdf file to calibrate the time 
    substr(start = 15, stop = 33) %>%   #calculation, we take the relevant information from the string
    ymd_hms()                           # and transform it to the right format
t <- time_units + ncvar_get(nc_2d, "time") # read time vector
rm(time_units)

for (var in names(nc_2d$var)[c(3,4,6:12)]) {
  
#var <- "mld_rho"

array <- ncvar_get(nc_2d, var) # store the data in a 3-dimensional array
fillvalue <- ncatt_get(nc_2d, var, "_FillValue")
array[array == fillvalue$value] <- NA

array <- as.data.frame(t(array), xy=TRUE)
array <- as_tibble(array)
      
  gt_2d_part <- array %>%
  set_names(as.character(lat)) %>%
  mutate(date_time = t) %>%
  filter(date_time >= start_date & date_time <= end_date) %>% 
  gather("lat", "value", 1:length(lat)) %>%
  mutate(lat = as.numeric(lat)) %>%
  filter(lat > low_lat, lat<high_lat) %>%
  select(-lat) %>% 
  group_by(date_time) %>% 
  summarise_all(list(value=~mean(.,na.rm=TRUE))) %>%
  ungroup() %>% 
  mutate(var = var)
     
  if (exists("gt_2d")) {
    gt_2d <- bind_rows(gt_2d, gt_2d_part)
    } else {gt_2d <- gt_2d_part} 

rm(array, fillvalue, gt_2d_part)

}

nc_close(nc_2d)
rm(nc_2d)

gt_2d <- gt_2d %>% 
  mutate(value = round(value, 3)) %>% 
  pivot_wider(values_from = value, names_from = var) %>% 
  mutate(U_10 = round(sqrt(u10^2 + v10^2), 3)) %>% 
  select(-c(u10, v10))


gt_2d %>% 
  vroom_write((here::here("data/_summarized_data_files", file = "gt_2d.csv")))

rm(t, var, gt_2d, lat)

2.2.1 Hovmoeller Plots

gt_2d <- 
  read_tsv((here::here("data/_summarized_data_files", file = "gt_2d.csv")))

gt_2d_daily <- gt_2d %>% 
  mutate(day = yday(date_time)) %>% 
  group_by(day) %>% 
  summarise_all(list(~mean(.,na.rm=TRUE))) %>%
  ungroup() %>% 
  select(-day)

p_sal <- gt_3d %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_raster(aes(date_time, dep, fill=salt))+
  geom_vline(data=fixed_values, aes(xintercept = start))+
  geom_vline(data=fixed_values, aes(xintercept = end))+
  scale_fill_viridis_c(name="Salinity ", direction = -1)+
  scale_y_reverse()+
  coord_cartesian(expand = 0)+
  labs(y="Depth [m]")+
  theme(axis.title.x = element_blank(),
        axis.text.x = element_blank())+
  geom_line(data= gt_2d_daily,
            aes(x = date_time, y = mld_rho), color = "white")


p_tem <- gt_3d %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_raster(aes(date_time, dep, fill=temp))+
  geom_vline(data=fixed_values, aes(xintercept = start))+
  geom_vline(data=fixed_values, aes(xintercept = end))+
  scale_fill_viridis_c(name="Temperature (°C)", option = "B")+
  scale_y_reverse()+
  coord_cartesian(expand = 0)+
  labs(y="Depth [m]", x="")+
  theme(axis.title.x = element_blank(),
        axis.text.x = element_blank())+
  geom_line(data= gt_2d_daily,
            aes(x = date_time, y = mld_rho), color = "white")

p_rho <- gt_3d %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_raster(aes(date_time, dep, fill=rho))+
  geom_vline(data=fixed_values, aes(xintercept = start))+
  geom_vline(data=fixed_values, aes(xintercept = end))+
  scale_fill_viridis_c(name="d Rho (kg/m^3)", direction = -1)+
  scale_y_reverse()+
  coord_cartesian(expand = 0)+
  labs(y="Depth [m]", x="")+
  theme(axis.title.x = element_blank())+
  geom_line(data= gt_2d_daily,
            aes(x = date_time, y = mld_rho), color = "white")

p_age <- gt_3d %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_raster(aes(date_time, dep, fill=SurfaceAge))+
  geom_vline(data=fixed_values, aes(xintercept = start))+
  geom_vline(data=fixed_values, aes(xintercept = end))+
  scale_fill_viridis_c(name="SurfaceAge (d)", direction = -1, trans = "sqrt")+
  scale_y_reverse()+
  coord_cartesian(expand = 0)+
  labs(y="Depth [m]", x="")+
  theme(axis.title.x = element_blank())+
  geom_line(data= gt_2d_daily,
            aes(x = date_time, y = mld_rho), color = "white")

p_sal / p_tem / p_rho / p_age

rm(p_sal, p_tem, p_rho)

2.2.2 Test calculation

Mean mixed layer depth estimates were also calculated for a range of density threshold criteria, Rho lim, from sewater density based on daily mean GETM STD profiles.

gt_3d_MLD <- expand_grid(gt_3d, rho_lim = seq(0.1,0.5,0.1))

gt_3d_MLD <- gt_3d_MLD %>% 
  arrange(dep) %>% 
  group_by(date_time, rho_lim) %>% 
  mutate(d_rho = rho - first(rho)) %>% 
  filter(d_rho > rho_lim) %>% 
  summarise(MLD = min(dep)) %>% 
  ungroup() %>% 
  mutate(rho_lim = as.factor(rho_lim))

2.2.3 Time series

gt_2d_daily_long <- gt_2d_daily %>% 
  pivot_longer(4:8, names_to = "var", values_to = "value")

p_MLD_gt <- gt_2d_daily_long %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_rect(data = fixed_values, aes(xmin=start, xmax=end, ymin=-Inf, ymax=Inf), alpha=0.2)+
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0)+
  geom_line(aes(date_time, value, col=var))+
  scale_y_reverse(limits = c(25,0))+
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Set1", name="GETM variable")+
  labs(x="", y="MLD (m)")+
  theme(axis.title.x = element_blank())

p_MLD_recalc <- gt_3d_MLD %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_rect(data = fixed_values, aes(xmin=start, xmax=end, ymin=-Inf, ymax=Inf), alpha=0.2)+
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0)+
  geom_line(aes(date_time, MLD, col=rho_lim))+
  scale_y_reverse(limits = c(25,0))+
  scale_color_viridis_d(name="Rho lim")+
  labs(x="", y="MLD (m)")

p_MLD_gt / p_MLD_recalc

rm(p_MLD_gt, p_MLD_recalc)

3 Finnmaid

3.1 Read data

Finnmaid data, including reconstructed data during LICOS operation failure.

fm <-
 read_csv(here::here("Data/_summarized_data_files",
                      "Finnmaid.csv"))

fm <- fm %>% 
  filter(Area == "BS",
         date > start_date,
         date < end_date) %>% 
  select(-c(Lon, Lat, patm, Teq, xCO2, route, Area)) %>% 
  mutate(ID = as.factor(ID)) %>% 
  rename(tem=Tem,
         sal=Sal,
         date_time = date)

3.2 CT calculation

Calculate based on fixed AT and salinity mean values.

fm <- fm %>% 
  mutate(CT = carb(24,
                   var1=pCO2,
                   var2=fixed_values$AT*1e-6,
                   S=fixed_values$sal,
                   T=tem,
                   k1k2="m10", kf="dg", ks="d", gas="insitu")[,16]*1e6)

3.3 Timeseries

Calculate regional mean and sd values for each crossing of the area.

fm_ID <- fm %>% 
  pivot_longer(c(pCO2, sal, tem, cO2, CT), values_to = "value", names_to = "var") %>% 
  group_by(ID) %>% 
  mutate(date_time_ID = mean(date_time)) %>%
  select(-date_time) %>% 
  ungroup() %>% 
  group_by(ID, date_time_ID, sensor, var) %>% 
  summarise_all(list(~mean(.), ~sd(.), ~min(.), ~max(.)), na.rm=TRUE) %>%
  ungroup() %>% 
  rename(value=mean)

Read BloomSail profile data from 1-5m to fill observational gap of Finnmaid date in second half of June.

ts_profiles_ID_long <-
  read_csv(here::here("Data/_merged_data_files", "ts_profiles_ID_long_cum.csv"))

ts_profiles_ID_long_surface <- ts_profiles_ID_long %>% 
  filter(dep > 1, dep < 5) %>% 
  mutate(ID = as.factor(ID)) %>% 
  select(-c(sign, value_cum_sign)) %>% 
  group_by(ID, date_time_ID, var) %>% 
  summarise_all(list(~mean(.)), na.rm = TRUE) %>% 
  ungroup()
fm_ID %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_rect(data = fixed_values, aes(xmin=start, xmax=end, ymin=-Inf, ymax=Inf), alpha=0.2)+
  geom_path(aes(x=date_time_ID, y=value))+
  #geom_ribbon(aes(x=date_time, y=value, ymax=max, ymin=min, fill="Finnmaid"), alpha=0.3)+
  geom_ribbon(aes(x=date_time_ID, y=value, ymax=value+sd, ymin=value-sd, fill="Finnmaid"), alpha=0.3)+
  geom_ribbon(data = ts_profiles_ID_long_surface,
             aes(x=date_time_ID, ymin=value-sd, ymax=value+sd, fill="BloomSail"), alpha=0.3)+
  geom_point(aes(x=date_time_ID, y=value, col=sensor))+
  geom_point(data = ts_profiles_ID_long_surface,
             aes(x=date_time_ID, y=value, col="BloomSail"))+
  geom_line(data = ts_profiles_ID_long_surface,
             aes(x=date_time_ID, y=value, col="BloomSail"))+
  facet_grid(var~., scales = "free_y")+
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Set1")+
  scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set1", name="+/- SD")

3.4 Missing observations

The observational gaps in the Finnmaid SST and CT time series were filled with two BloomSail observations. The time series was restricted to the period where BloomSail observations are available.

ts_gap <- ts_profiles_ID_long_surface %>% 
  filter(ID %in% c("180718", "180723"),
         var %in% c("tem", "CT")) %>% 
  select(date_time_ID, ID, var, value = value) %>% 
  mutate(sensor = "BloomSail")

fm_ts_ID <- full_join(fm_ID, ts_gap) %>% 
  arrange(date_time_ID) %>% 
  select(-sd) %>% 
  filter(var %in% c("tem", "CT")) %>% 
  mutate(period = "BloomSail",
         period = if_else(date_time_ID < fixed_values$start, "pre-BloomSail", period),
         period = if_else(date_time_ID > fixed_values$end, "post-BloomSail", period))

fm_ts_ID %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_rect(data = fixed_values,
            aes(xmin=start, xmax=end, ymin=-Inf, ymax=Inf), alpha=0.2)+
  geom_path(aes(date_time_ID, value, col=period))+
  geom_point(aes(date_time_ID, value, col=period))+
  facet_grid(var~., scales = "free_y")+
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Set1")

fm_ts_ID <- fm_ts_ID %>% 
  filter(period == "BloomSail") %>% 
  select(-period)

rm(fm_ID, fm, ts_gap, ts_profiles_ID_long_surface)

4 iCT

4.1 MLD approach

Use dCT from Finnmaid and MLD from GETM and calculate iCT as their product.

iCT_MLD <- fm_ts_ID %>%
  select(date_time_ID, var, value) %>% 
  pivot_wider(values_from = value, names_from = var) %>% 
  rename(SST = tem)

iCT_MLD <- full_join(iCT_MLD,
                     gt_2d_daily %>% 
                       select(-c(SSS, SST, U_10)) %>% 
                       rename(date_time_ID = date_time))

iCT_MLD <- iCT_MLD %>% 
  pivot_longer(cols = 4:8, values_to = "MLD", names_to = "var") %>% 
  arrange(date_time_ID) %>%
  group_by(var) %>% 
  mutate(MLD = na.approx(MLD)) %>%
  ungroup()

iCT_MLD <- iCT_MLD %>% 
  drop_na() %>% 
  group_by(var) %>% 
  arrange(date_time_ID) %>% 
  mutate(date_time_ID_diff = as.numeric(date_time_ID - lag(date_time_ID)),
         date_time_ID_ref  = date_time_ID - (date_time_ID - lag(date_time_ID))/2,
         CT_diff = CT - lag(CT),
         SST_diff = SST - lag(SST),
         CT_i_diff = CT_diff * MLD / 1000,
         CT_i_cum = cumsum(replace_na(CT_i_diff, 0))) %>% 
  ungroup()

4.1.1 Incremental and cumulative timeseries

Total incremental and cumulative CT changes inbetween cruise dates were calculated.

iCT_MLD %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0)+
  geom_point(aes(date_time_ID,  0), shape=21)+
  geom_col(aes(date_time_ID_ref, CT_i_diff, fill= var),
           col="black", position = "dodge", alpha = 0.5)+
  geom_line(aes(date_time_ID,  CT_i_cum, 
             col= var))+
  scale_y_continuous(breaks = seq(-100, 100, 0.2))+
  scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set1", name="Incremental")+
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Set1", name="Cumulative")+
  labs(y="integrated CT changes [mol/m2]", x="date")

4.2 delta T appraoch

As primary production (negative changes in CT) and increase in seawater temperature have a common driver (light), the relation between both changes was investigated and will be used to reconstruct changes in CT throughout the water column.

The following analysis is restricted to the BloomSail period.

4.2.1 SST time series

fm_ts_ID %>% 
  filter(var == "tem") %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_rect(data = fixed_values, aes(xmin=start, xmax=end, ymin=-Inf, ymax=Inf), alpha=0.2)+
  geom_path(aes(x=date_time_ID, y=value, col="Finnmaid"))+
  geom_point(aes(x=date_time_ID, y=value, col="Finnmaid"))+
  geom_path(data = gt_2d, aes(x=date_time, y=SST, col="GETM 2d, 3h"))+
  geom_path(data = gt_2d_daily, aes(x=date_time, y=SST, col="GETM 2d, daily"))+
  geom_path(data = gt_3d %>% filter(dep == 3),
            aes(x=date_time, y=temp, col="GETM 3d, 3m"))+
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Set1", name="")+
  labs(x="", y="SST (°C)")

4.2.2 dCT vs dSST

To investigate the change of surface CT with SST, we merge daily mean 2d GETM and Finnmaid data. GETM observations were linearly interpolated to match the time of Finnmaid observations.

fm_ts_ID_wide <- fm_ts_ID %>% 
  filter(var %in% c("CT")) %>% 
  select(date_time_ID, var, value) %>% 
  pivot_wider(values_from = value, names_from = var)

fm_gt_3d <- expand_grid(fm_ts_ID_wide, dep = unique(gt_3d$dep))
rm(fm_ts_ID_wide)

fm_gt_3d <- full_join(gt_3d %>% select(date_time_ID = date_time, dep, tem = temp), 
                      fm_gt_3d)
fm_gt_3d <- fm_gt_3d %>% 
  arrange(date_time_ID) %>% 
  group_by(dep) %>% 
  mutate(tem = approxfun(date_time_ID, tem)(date_time_ID)) %>% 
  ungroup() %>% 
  arrange(dep) %>% 
  filter(!is.na(CT))
CT_tem <- CT_tem %>% 
  arrange(date_time_ID) %>%
  mutate(CT = na.approx(CT, na.rm = FALSE),
         FM = na.approx(FM, na.rm = FALSE)) %>% 
  drop_na()

rolling_mean <- rollify(~mean(.x, na.rm = TRUE), window = 3)

CT_tem <- CT_tem %>% 
  mutate(CT_rm = rolling_mean(CT) %>% lead(n = 1),
         FM_rm = rolling_mean(FM) %>% lead(n = 1),
         gt_rm = rolling_mean(gt) %>% lead(n = 1))
p_SST <- CT_tem %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_rect(data = fixed_values, aes(xmin=start, xmax=end, ymin=-Inf, ymax=Inf), alpha=0.2)+
  geom_point(aes(date_time_ID, FM, col="FM"))+
  geom_path(aes(date_time_ID, FM_rm, col="FM"))+
  geom_point(aes(date_time_ID, gt, col="gt"))+
  geom_path(aes(date_time_ID, gt_rm, col="gt"))+
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Set1", name="")+
  theme(axis.title.x = element_blank(),
        axis.text.x = element_blank())

p_CT <- CT_tem %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_rect(data = fixed_values, aes(xmin=start, xmax=end, ymin=-Inf, ymax=Inf), alpha=0.2)+
  geom_point(aes(date_time_ID, CT, col="FM"))+
  geom_path(aes(date_time_ID, CT_rm, col="FM"))+
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Set1", name="")+
  theme(axis.title.x = element_blank())

p_SST / p_CT

CT_tem <- CT_tem %>% 
  select(-c(CT, FM, gt)) %>% 
  rename(CT = CT_rm,
         FM = FM_rm,
         gt = gt_rm)
CT_tem <- fm_gt_3d %>% 
  filter(dep == 3) %>% 
  arrange(date_time_ID) %>% 
  mutate(CT_diff = CT - lag(CT),
         SST_diff = tem - lag(tem)) %>% 
  select(-tem)


CT_tem %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0)+
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0)+
  geom_smooth(aes(SST_diff, CT_diff), method = "lm", se=FALSE)+
  geom_point(aes(SST_diff, CT_diff, fill=date_time_ID), shape=21)+
  scale_fill_viridis_c(trans = "time", name="Date")

CT_tem <- CT_tem %>% 
  mutate(factor = CT_diff/SST_diff,
         factor = if_else(is.na(factor), 0, factor))

Time series of incremental changes in CT and SST help to identify measurement days during which changes in both parameters deviate from the expected correlation (factor).

CT_tem_long <- CT_tem %>% 
  pivot_longer(c(CT_diff, SST_diff, factor), values_to = "value", names_to = "var")#

CT_tem_long %>% 
  ggplot(aes(date_time_ID, value))+
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0)+
  geom_point()+
  geom_line()+
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Set1")+
  facet_grid(var~., scales = "free_y")+
  theme(axis.title.x = element_blank())

The ratio of surface changes in CT with SST based on GETM SST was used.

CT_tem <- expand_grid(CT_tem %>% select(date_time_ID, factor),
                      dep = unique(fm_gt_3d$dep))

fm_gt_3d <- full_join(fm_gt_3d %>% select(date_time_ID, dep, tem), 
                      CT_tem %>%  select(date_time_ID, dep, factor))
fm_gt_3d <- fm_gt_3d %>% 
  group_by(dep) %>% 
  arrange(date_time_ID) %>% 
  mutate(tem_diff = tem - lag(tem)) %>% 
  ungroup() %>% 
  mutate(CT_diff = tem_diff * factor) %>% 
  select(-factor)

The reconstructed incremental changes are added up to derive cummulative CT changes throughout the water column.

fm_gt_3d <- fm_gt_3d %>% 
  group_by(dep) %>% 
  arrange(date_time_ID) %>% 
  mutate(date_time_ID_diff = as.numeric(date_time_ID - lag(date_time_ID)),
         date_time_ID_ref  = date_time_ID - (date_time_ID - lag(date_time_ID))/2,
         CT_diff_daily = CT_diff / date_time_ID_diff,
         CT_cum = cumsum(replace_na(CT_diff, 0))) %>% 
  ungroup()

4.2.3 Profiles of incremental changes

Changes of seawater parameters at each depth were reconstructed from one cruise day to the next and divided by the number of days inbetween.

fm_gt_3d %>% 
  arrange(dep) %>% 
  ggplot(aes(CT_diff_daily, dep, col=date_time_ID, group=date_time_ID))+
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0)+
  geom_point()+
  geom_path()+
  scale_y_reverse()+
  scale_color_viridis_c(trans = "time")+
  labs(x="Change of CT inbetween cruises per day")

fm_gt_3d %>% 
  arrange(dep) %>% 
  ggplot(aes(tem_diff, dep, col=date_time_ID, group=date_time_ID))+
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0)+
  geom_point()+
  geom_path()+
  scale_y_reverse()+
  scale_color_viridis_c(trans = "time")+
  labs(x="Change of temperature inbetween cruises per day")

4.2.4 Profiles of cumulative changes

Cumulative changes of seawater parameters were calculated at each depth relative to the first cruise day on July 5.

fm_gt_3d %>% 
  arrange(dep) %>% 
  ggplot(aes(CT_cum, dep, col=date_time_ID, group=date_time_ID))+
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0)+
  geom_point()+
  geom_path()+
  scale_y_reverse()+
  scale_color_viridis_c(trans = "time")+
  labs(x="Cumulative change of CT")

4.2.5 Hovmoeller daily changes

Hoevmoeller plots were generated for the reconstructed daily and cumulative changes in CT. Absolute values are not reproducible with this approach.

bin_tem <- 0.25

fm_gt_3d %>%
  filter(dep < 26) %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_contour_fill(aes(x=date_time_ID_ref, y=dep, z=tem_diff),
                    breaks = MakeBreaks(bin_tem),
                    col="black")+
  geom_point(aes(x=date_time_ID, y=c(25)), size=3, shape=24, fill="white")+
  scale_fill_divergent(breaks = MakeBreaks(bin_tem),
                       guide = "colorstrip",
                       name="Tem (°C)")+
  scale_y_reverse()+
  theme_bw()+
  labs(y="Depth (m)")+
  coord_cartesian(expand = 0)+
  theme(axis.title.x = element_blank(),
        axis.text.x = element_blank())
Hovmoeller plots of modelled daily changes in temperature.

Hovmoeller plots of modelled daily changes in temperature.

rm(bin_tem)
bin_CT <- 10

fm_gt_3d %>%
  filter(dep < 15) %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_contour_fill(aes(x=date_time_ID_ref, y=dep, z=CT_diff_daily),
                    breaks = MakeBreaks(bin_CT),
                    col="black")+
  geom_point(aes(x=date_time_ID, y=c(14)), size=3, shape=24, fill="white")+
  scale_fill_divergent(breaks = MakeBreaks(bin_CT),
                       guide = "colorstrip",
                       name="CT (µmol/kg)")+
  scale_y_reverse()+
  theme_bw()+
  labs(y="Depth (m)")+
  coord_cartesian(expand = 0)+
  theme(axis.title.x = element_blank(),
        axis.text.x = element_blank())
Hovmoeller plots of daily reconstructed changes in C~T~.

Hovmoeller plots of daily reconstructed changes in CT.

rm(bin_CT)

4.2.6 Hovmoeller cumulative changes

bin_CT <- 30

fm_gt_3d %>%
  filter(dep < 15) %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_contour_fill(aes(x=date_time_ID, y=dep, z=CT_cum),
                    breaks = MakeBreaks(bin_CT),
                    col="black")+
  geom_point(aes(x=date_time_ID, y=c(14)), size=3, shape=24, fill="white")+
  scale_fill_divergent(breaks = MakeBreaks(bin_CT),
                       guide = "colorstrip",
                       name="CT (µmol/kg)")+
  scale_y_reverse()+
  theme_bw()+
  labs(y="Depth (m)")+
  coord_cartesian(expand = 0)+
  theme(axis.title.x = element_blank(),
        axis.text.x = element_blank())
Hovmoeller plots of cumulative reconstructed changes in C~T~.

Hovmoeller plots of cumulative reconstructed changes in CT.

rm(bin_CT)

4.2.7 Heat penetration depth

As an alternative approach to the integration over the MLD or the reconstruction of CT profiles, we can estimate the mean penetration depth of the warming signal, which was defined the surface change in temperature devided by the integrated change in seawater temperature across depth.

tem_diff_surface <- fm_gt_3d %>% 
  filter(dep < 6) %>% 
  select(date_time_ID, tem_diff_surface=tem_diff) %>% 
  group_by(date_time_ID) %>% 
  summarise_all(mean, na.rm=TRUE) %>% 
  ungroup()

fm_gt_3d <- full_join(fm_gt_3d, tem_diff_surface) 
rm(tem_diff_surface)

tem_depth <- fm_gt_3d %>%
  filter(dep < 18) %>% 
  group_by(date_time_ID) %>% 
  summarise(tem_diff_int = sum(tem_diff),
            tem_diff_surface = mean(tem_diff_surface),
            tem_depth = tem_diff_int/tem_diff_surface) %>% 
  ungroup()

tem_depth %>% 
  ggplot(aes(date_time_ID, tem_depth))+
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0)+
  geom_line()+
  geom_point()+
  scale_y_reverse()

4.3 iCT time series

Total incremental and cumulative CT changes inbetween cruise dates were calculated for the upper 10 m of the water body.

iCT_dT <- fm_gt_3d %>% 
  filter(dep < 10) %>% 
  group_by(date_time_ID, date_time_ID_ref) %>%
  summarise(CT_i_diff = sum(CT_diff)/1000,
            CT_i_cum = sum(CT_cum)/1000) %>% 
  ungroup()


iCT_dT %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0)+
  geom_point(aes(date_time_ID,  0), shape=21)+
  geom_col(aes(date_time_ID_ref, CT_i_diff),
           position = "dodge", alpha=0.3)+
  geom_line(aes(date_time_ID, CT_i_cum))+
  scale_color_viridis_d(name="Depth limit (m)")+
  scale_fill_viridis_d(name="Depth limit (m)")+
  labs(y="iCT [mol/m2]", x="")+
  theme_bw()

5 GETM Windspeed

gt_2d %>% 
  ggplot()+
  geom_rect(data = fixed_values, aes(xmin=start, xmax=end, ymin=-Inf, ymax=Inf), alpha=0.2)+
  geom_line(aes(x= date_time, y = U_10, col="3-hourly"))+
  geom_line(data = gt_2d_daily,
            aes(x= date_time, y = U_10, col="Daily mean"))+
  labs(y="U (m/s)", x = "Date")+
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Set1", name="", direction = -1)+
  theme_bw()

6 Open tasks / questions

  • Can delta T approach be improved by:
    • Using a mean CT/SST factor -> not meaningful, because it assumes steady relation between dCT and dT
    • Using the cumulative values at iCT min
  • Plot cumulative changes in GETM temperature: Profile + Hovmoeller

sessionInfo()
R version 3.6.3 (2020-02-29)
Platform: i386-w64-mingw32/i386 (32-bit)
Running under: Windows 10 x64 (build 18363)

Matrix products: default

locale:
[1] LC_COLLATE=English_Germany.1252  LC_CTYPE=English_Germany.1252   
[3] LC_MONETARY=English_Germany.1252 LC_NUMERIC=C                    
[5] LC_TIME=English_Germany.1252    

attached base packages:
[1] stats     graphics  grDevices utils     datasets  methods   base     

other attached packages:
 [1] metR_0.6.0      zoo_1.8-7       patchwork_1.0.0 seacarb_3.2.13 
 [5] oce_1.2-0       gsw_1.0-5       testthat_2.3.2  here_0.1       
 [9] lubridate_1.7.4 vroom_1.2.0     ncdf4_1.17      forcats_0.5.0  
[13] stringr_1.4.0   dplyr_0.8.5     purrr_0.3.3     readr_1.3.1    
[17] tidyr_1.0.2     tibble_3.0.0    ggplot2_3.3.0   tidyverse_1.3.0
[21] workflowr_1.6.1

loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
 [1] Rcpp_1.0.4         whisker_0.4        knitr_1.28         xml2_1.3.0        
 [5] magrittr_1.5       splines_3.6.3      hms_0.5.3          rvest_0.3.5       
 [9] tidyselect_1.0.0   bit_1.1-15.2       viridisLite_0.3.0  colorspace_1.4-1  
[13] lattice_0.20-41    R6_2.4.1           rlang_0.4.5        fansi_0.4.1       
[17] broom_0.5.5        xfun_0.12          dbplyr_1.4.2       modelr_0.1.6      
[21] withr_2.1.2        git2r_0.26.1       ellipsis_0.3.0     htmltools_0.4.0   
[25] assertthat_0.2.1   bit64_0.9-7        rprojroot_1.3-2    digest_0.6.25     
[29] lifecycle_0.2.0    Matrix_1.2-18      haven_2.2.0        rmarkdown_2.1     
[33] sp_1.4-1           compiler_3.6.3     cellranger_1.1.0   pillar_1.4.3      
[37] scales_1.1.0       backports_1.1.5    generics_0.0.2     jsonlite_1.6.1    
[41] httpuv_1.5.2       pkgconfig_2.0.3    rstudioapi_0.11    munsell_0.5.0     
[45] plyr_1.8.6         highr_0.8          httr_1.4.1         tools_3.6.3       
[49] grid_3.6.3         nlme_3.1-145       data.table_1.12.8  gtable_0.3.0      
[53] checkmate_2.0.0    mgcv_1.8-31        DBI_1.1.0          cli_2.0.2         
[57] readxl_1.3.1       yaml_2.2.1         crayon_1.3.4       RColorBrewer_1.1-2
[61] farver_2.0.3       later_1.0.0        promises_1.1.0     fs_1.4.0          
[65] vctrs_0.2.4        memoise_1.1.0      glue_1.3.2         evaluate_0.14     
[69] labeling_0.3       reprex_0.3.0       stringi_1.4.6