Budgets

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Last updated: 2022-06-26

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Knit directory: emlr_obs_analysis/analysis/

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File	Version	Author	Date	Message
html	09b0780	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-05-24	Build site.
html	25da2fb	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-05-24	Build site.
html	e09320d	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12	Build site.
html	8dca96a	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12	Build site.
Rmd	e5e9288	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12	3 data adjustment procedures implemented

---

version_id_pattern <- "d"
config <- "MLR_basins"

1 Read files

# identify required version IDs

Version_IDs_1 <- list.files(path = "/nfs/kryo/work/jenmueller/emlr_cant/observations",
                            pattern = paste0("v_1", "d"))

Version_IDs_2 <- list.files(path = "/nfs/kryo/work/jenmueller/emlr_cant/observations",
                            pattern = paste0("v_2", "d"))

Version_IDs_3 <- list.files(path = "/nfs/kryo/work/jenmueller/emlr_cant/observations",
                            pattern = paste0("v_3", "d"))

Version_IDs <- c(Version_IDs_1, Version_IDs_2, Version_IDs_3)

print(Version_IDs)

 [1] "v_1d01" "v_1d02" "v_1d03" "v_1d04" "v_1d05" "v_1d06" "v_2d01" "v_2d02"
 [9] "v_2d03" "v_2d04" "v_2d05" "v_2d06" "v_3d01" "v_3d02" "v_3d03" "v_3d04"
[17] "v_3d05" "v_3d06"

1.1 Global

for (i_Version_IDs in Version_IDs) {
  # i_Version_IDs <- Version_IDs[1]
  
  print(i_Version_IDs)
  
  path_version_data     <-
    paste(path_observations,
          i_Version_IDs,
          "/data/",
          sep = "")
  
  # load and join data files
  
  dcant_budget_global <-
    read_csv(paste(path_version_data,
                   "dcant_budget_global.csv",
                   sep = ""))
  
  dcant_budget_global_mod_truth <-
    read_csv(paste(
      path_version_data,
      "dcant_budget_global_mod_truth.csv",
      sep = ""
    ))
  
  dcant_budget_global_bias <-
    read_csv(paste(path_version_data,
                   "dcant_budget_global_bias.csv",
                   sep = ""))
  
  lm_best_predictor_counts <-
    read_csv(paste(path_version_data,
                   "lm_best_predictor_counts.csv",
                   sep = ""))
  
  lm_best_dcant <-
    read_csv(paste(path_version_data,
                   "lm_best_dcant.csv",
                   sep = ""))
  
  dcant_budget_global <- bind_rows(dcant_budget_global,
                                      dcant_budget_global_mod_truth)
  
  dcant_budget_global <- dcant_budget_global %>%
    mutate(Version_ID = i_Version_IDs)
  
  dcant_budget_global_bias <- dcant_budget_global_bias %>%
    mutate(Version_ID = i_Version_IDs)
  
  lm_best_predictor_counts <- lm_best_predictor_counts %>%
    mutate(Version_ID = i_Version_IDs)
  
  lm_best_dcant <- lm_best_dcant %>%
    mutate(Version_ID = i_Version_IDs)

  params_local <-
    read_rds(paste(path_version_data,
                   "params_local.rds",
                   sep = ""))
  
  params_local <- bind_cols(
    Version_ID = i_Version_IDs,
    MLR_basins := str_c(params_local$MLR_basins, collapse = "|"),
    tref1 = params_local$tref1,
    tref2 = params_local$tref2)
  
  tref <- read_csv(paste(path_version_data,
                         "tref.csv",
                         sep = ""))
  
  params_local <- params_local %>%
    mutate(
      median_year_1 = sort(tref$median_year)[1],
      median_year_2 = sort(tref$median_year)[2],
      duration = median_year_2 - median_year_1,
      period = paste(median_year_1, "-", median_year_2)
    )
  
  if (exists("dcant_budget_global_all")) {
    dcant_budget_global_all <-
      bind_rows(dcant_budget_global_all, dcant_budget_global)
  }
  
  if (!exists("dcant_budget_global_all")) {
    dcant_budget_global_all <- dcant_budget_global
  }
  
  if (exists("dcant_budget_global_bias_all")) {
    dcant_budget_global_bias_all <-
      bind_rows(dcant_budget_global_bias_all,
                dcant_budget_global_bias)
  }

  if (!exists("dcant_budget_global_bias_all")) {
    dcant_budget_global_bias_all <- dcant_budget_global_bias
  }
  
    
  if (exists("lm_best_predictor_counts_all")) {
    lm_best_predictor_counts_all <-
      bind_rows(lm_best_predictor_counts_all, lm_best_predictor_counts)
  }
  
  if (!exists("lm_best_predictor_counts_all")) {
    lm_best_predictor_counts_all <- lm_best_predictor_counts
  }
    
  if (exists("lm_best_dcant_all")) {
    lm_best_dcant_all <-
      bind_rows(lm_best_dcant_all, lm_best_dcant)
  }
  
  if (!exists("lm_best_dcant_all")) {
    lm_best_dcant_all <- lm_best_dcant
  }
  
  if (exists("params_local_all")) {
    params_local_all <- bind_rows(params_local_all, params_local)
  }
  
  if (!exists("params_local_all")) {
    params_local_all <- params_local
  }
  
  
}

[1] "v_1d01"
[1] "v_1d02"
[1] "v_1d03"
[1] "v_1d04"
[1] "v_1d05"
[1] "v_1d06"
[1] "v_2d01"
[1] "v_2d02"
[1] "v_2d03"
[1] "v_2d04"
[1] "v_2d05"
[1] "v_2d06"
[1] "v_3d01"
[1] "v_3d02"
[1] "v_3d03"
[1] "v_3d04"
[1] "v_3d05"
[1] "v_3d06"

rm(
  dcant_budget_global,
  dcant_budget_global_bias,
  dcant_budget_global_mod_truth,
  lm_best_predictor_counts,
  lm_best_dcant,
  params_local,
  tref
)

1.2 Basins

# Version_IDs <- Version_IDs[1:length(Version_IDs)-1]

for (i_Version_IDs in Version_IDs) {
  # i_Version_IDs <- Version_IDs[1]
  
  print(i_Version_IDs)
  
  path_version_data     <-
    paste(path_observations,
          i_Version_IDs,
          "/data/",
          sep = "")
  
  # load and join data files
  
  dcant_budget_basin_AIP <-
    read_csv(paste(path_version_data,
                   "dcant_budget_basin_AIP.csv",
                   sep = ""))
  
  dcant_budget_basin_AIP_mod_truth <-
    read_csv(paste(
      path_version_data,
      "dcant_budget_basin_AIP_mod_truth.csv",
      sep = ""
    ))
  
    
  dcant_budget_basin_AIP <- bind_rows(dcant_budget_basin_AIP,
                                      dcant_budget_basin_AIP_mod_truth)
  
  dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias <-
    read_csv(paste(path_version_data,
                   "dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias.csv",
                   sep = ""))
  
  dcant_slab_budget_bias <-
    read_csv(paste0(path_version_data,
                    "dcant_slab_budget_bias.csv"))

  dcant_slab_budget <-
    read_csv(paste0(path_version_data,
                    "dcant_slab_budget.csv"))

  dcant_budget_basin_AIP <- dcant_budget_basin_AIP %>%
    mutate(Version_ID = i_Version_IDs)
  
  dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias <- dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias %>%
    mutate(Version_ID = i_Version_IDs)
  
  dcant_slab_budget <- dcant_slab_budget %>%
    mutate(Version_ID = i_Version_IDs)
  
  dcant_slab_budget_bias <- dcant_slab_budget_bias %>%
    mutate(Version_ID = i_Version_IDs)
  
  if (exists("dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all")) {
    dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all <-
      bind_rows(dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all, dcant_budget_basin_AIP)
  }
  
  if (!exists("dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all")) {
    dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all <- dcant_budget_basin_AIP
  }
  
  if (exists("dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all")) {
    dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all <-
      bind_rows(dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all,
                dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias)
  }
  
  if (!exists("dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all")) {
    dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all <- dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias
  }
  
  if (exists("dcant_slab_budget_all")) {
    dcant_slab_budget_all <-
      bind_rows(dcant_slab_budget_all, dcant_slab_budget)
  }
  
  if (!exists("dcant_slab_budget_all")) {
    dcant_slab_budget_all <- dcant_slab_budget
  }
  
  if (exists("dcant_slab_budget_bias_all")) {
    dcant_slab_budget_bias_all <-
      bind_rows(dcant_slab_budget_bias_all,
                dcant_slab_budget_bias)
  }
  
  if (!exists("dcant_slab_budget_bias_all")) {
    dcant_slab_budget_bias_all <- dcant_slab_budget_bias
  }
  
}

[1] "v_1d01"
[1] "v_1d02"
[1] "v_1d03"
[1] "v_1d04"
[1] "v_1d05"
[1] "v_1d06"
[1] "v_2d01"
[1] "v_2d02"
[1] "v_2d03"
[1] "v_2d04"
[1] "v_2d05"
[1] "v_2d06"
[1] "v_3d01"
[1] "v_3d02"
[1] "v_3d03"
[1] "v_3d04"
[1] "v_3d05"
[1] "v_3d06"

rm(
  dcant_budget_basin_AIP,
  dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias,
  dcant_budget_basin_AIP_mod_truth,
  dcant_slab_budget,
  dcant_slab_budget_bias
)

1.3 Basins hemisphere

# Version_IDs <- Version_IDs[1:length(Version_IDs)-1]

for (i_Version_IDs in Version_IDs) {
  # i_Version_IDs <- Version_IDs[1]
  
  print(i_Version_IDs)
  
  path_version_data     <-
    paste(path_observations,
          i_Version_IDs,
          "/data/",
          sep = "")
  
  # load and join data files
  
  dcant_budget_basin_MLR <-
    read_csv(paste(path_version_data,
                   "dcant_budget_basin_MLR.csv",
                   sep = ""))
  
  dcant_budget_basin_MLR_mod_truth <-
    read_csv(paste(
      path_version_data,
      "dcant_budget_basin_MLR_mod_truth.csv",
      sep = ""
    ))
  
    
  dcant_budget_basin_MLR <- bind_rows(dcant_budget_basin_MLR,
                                      dcant_budget_basin_MLR_mod_truth)
  
  # dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias <-
  #   read_csv(paste(path_version_data,
  #                  "dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias.csv",
  #                  sep = ""))
  
  dcant_budget_basin_MLR <- dcant_budget_basin_MLR %>%
    mutate(Version_ID = i_Version_IDs)
  
  # dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias <- dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias %>%
  #   mutate(Version_ID = i_Version_IDs)

  if (exists("dcant_budget_basin_MLR_all")) {
    dcant_budget_basin_MLR_all <-
      bind_rows(dcant_budget_basin_MLR_all, dcant_budget_basin_MLR)
  }
  
  if (!exists("dcant_budget_basin_MLR_all")) {
    dcant_budget_basin_MLR_all <- dcant_budget_basin_MLR
  }
  
  # if (exists("dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias_all")) {
  #   dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias_all <-
  #     bind_rows(dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias_all,
  #               dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias)
  # }
  # 
  # if (!exists("dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias_all")) {
  #   dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias_all <- dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias
  # }
  
}

[1] "v_1d01"
[1] "v_1d02"
[1] "v_1d03"
[1] "v_1d04"
[1] "v_1d05"
[1] "v_1d06"
[1] "v_2d01"
[1] "v_2d02"
[1] "v_2d03"
[1] "v_2d04"
[1] "v_2d05"
[1] "v_2d06"
[1] "v_3d01"
[1] "v_3d02"
[1] "v_3d03"
[1] "v_3d04"
[1] "v_3d05"
[1] "v_3d06"

rm(
  dcant_budget_basin_MLR,
  # dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias,
  dcant_budget_basin_MLR_mod_truth
)

1.4 Steady state

for (i_Version_IDs in Version_IDs) {
  # i_Version_IDs <- Version_IDs[1]
  
  print(i_Version_IDs)
  
  path_version_data     <-
    paste(path_observations,
          i_Version_IDs,
          "/data/",
          sep = "")
  
  # load and join data files
  
  dcant_obs_budget <-
    read_csv(paste0(path_version_data,
                    "anom_dcant_obs_budget.csv"))
  
  dcant_obs_budget <- dcant_obs_budget %>%
    mutate(Version_ID = i_Version_IDs)
  
  if (exists("dcant_obs_budget_all")) {
    dcant_obs_budget_all <-
      bind_rows(dcant_obs_budget_all, dcant_obs_budget)
  }
  
  if (!exists("dcant_obs_budget_all")) {
    dcant_obs_budget_all <- dcant_obs_budget
  }
  
}

[1] "v_1d01"
[1] "v_1d02"
[1] "v_1d03"
[1] "v_1d04"
[1] "v_1d05"
[1] "v_1d06"
[1] "v_2d01"
[1] "v_2d02"
[1] "v_2d03"
[1] "v_2d04"
[1] "v_2d05"
[1] "v_2d06"
[1] "v_3d01"
[1] "v_3d02"
[1] "v_3d03"
[1] "v_3d04"
[1] "v_3d05"
[1] "v_3d06"

rm(dcant_obs_budget)

1.5 Atm CO2

co2_atm <-
  read_csv(paste(path_preprocessing,
                 "co2_atm.csv",
                 sep = ""))

all_predictors <- c("saltempaouoxygenphosphatenitratesilicate")

params_local_all <- params_local_all %>%
  mutate(MLR_predictors = str_remove_all(all_predictors,
                                         MLR_predictors))

dcant_budget_global_all <- dcant_budget_global_all %>%
  filter(estimate == "dcant", 
         method == "total") %>% 
  select(-c(estimate, method)) %>% 
  rename(dcant = value)

dcant_budget_global_all_depth <- dcant_budget_global_all

dcant_budget_global_all <- dcant_budget_global_all %>%
  filter(inv_depth == params_global$inventory_depth_standard)

dcant_budget_global_bias_all <- dcant_budget_global_bias_all %>%
  filter(estimate == "dcant") %>%
  select(-c(estimate))

dcant_budget_global_bias_all_depth <- dcant_budget_global_bias_all

dcant_budget_global_bias_all <- dcant_budget_global_bias_all %>%
  filter(inv_depth == params_global$inventory_depth_standard)

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all <- dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all %>%
  filter(estimate == "dcant", 
         method == "total") %>% 
  select(-c(estimate, method)) %>% 
  rename(dcant = value)

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all_depth <- dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all <- dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all %>%
  filter(inv_depth == params_global$inventory_depth_standard)

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all <- dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all %>%
  filter(estimate == "dcant") %>% 
  select(-c(estimate))

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all_depth <- dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all <- dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all %>%
  filter(inv_depth == params_global$inventory_depth_standard)

dcant_budget_basin_MLR_all <- dcant_budget_basin_MLR_all %>%
  filter(estimate == "dcant", 
         method == "total") %>% 
  select(-c(estimate, method)) %>% 
  rename(dcant = value)

# dcant_budget_basin_MLR_all_depth <- dcant_budget_basin_MLR_all

dcant_budget_basin_MLR_all <- dcant_budget_basin_MLR_all %>%
  filter(inv_depth == params_global$inventory_depth_standard)

# dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias_all <- dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias_all %>%
#   filter(estimate == "dcant") %>% 
#   select(-c(estimate))
# 
# dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias_all_depth <- dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias_all
# 
# dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias_all <- dcant_budget_basin_MLR_bias_all %>%
#   filter(inv_depth == params_global$inventory_depth_standard)

2 Bias thresholds

global_bias_rel_max <- 12.5
global_bias_rel_max

[1] 12.5

regional_bias_rel_max <- 30
regional_bias_rel_max

[1] 30

3 Global

3.1 Individual cases

3.1.1 Absoulte values

legend_title = expression(atop(Delta * C[ant],
                               (mu * mol ~ kg ^ {
                                 -1
                               })))

dcant_budget_global_all %>%
  ggplot(aes(period, dcant, col = MLR_basins)) +
  geom_jitter(width = 0.05, height = 0) +
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  facet_grid(. ~ data_source) +
  ylim(0,NA) +
  theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 45, hjust=1),
        axis.title.x = element_blank())

Past versions of cases_absolute_global-1.png

Version	Author	Date
8dca96a	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12

3.1.2 Biases

dcant_budget_global_bias_all %>%
  ggplot(aes(period, dcant_bias, col = MLR_basins)) +
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0) +
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  labs(y = expression(atop(Delta * C[ant] ~ bias,
                               (mu * mol ~ kg ^ {-1})))) +
  geom_point()

Past versions of cases_bias_global-1.png

Version	Author	Date
8dca96a	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12

p_global_bias <- 
  dcant_budget_global_bias_all %>%
  ggplot() +
  geom_hline(yintercept = global_bias_rel_max * c(-1,1),
             linetype = 2) +
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0) +
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  labs(y = expression(Delta * C[ant] ~ bias ~ ("%")),
       title = "Model-based assesment") +
  theme(axis.title.x = element_blank()) +
  geom_point(aes(period, dcant_bias_rel, col = MLR_basins),
             alpha = 0.7) +
    theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 45, hjust=1),
        axis.title.x = element_blank())

p_global_bias

Warning: Removed 36 rows containing missing values (geom_point).

Past versions of cases_bias_global-2.png

Version	Author	Date
8dca96a	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12

4 Basins

4.1 Individual cases

4.1.1 Absoulte values

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all %>%
  ggplot(aes(period, dcant, col = MLR_basins)) +
  geom_jitter(width = 0.05, height = 0) +
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  facet_grid(basin_AIP ~ data_source) +
  ylim(0,NA) +
  theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 45, hjust=1),
        axis.title.x = element_blank())

Past versions of cases_absolute-1.png

Version	Author	Date
8dca96a	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12

4.1.2 Biases

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all %>%
  ggplot(aes(period, dcant_bias, col=MLR_basins)) +
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0) +
  geom_point() +
  facet_grid(basin_AIP ~ .)

Past versions of cases_bias-1.png

Version	Author	Date
8dca96a	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all %>%
  ggplot() +
  geom_tile(aes(y = 0, height = regional_bias_rel_max * 2,
                x = "2004 - 2014", width = Inf,
                fill = "bias\nthreshold"), alpha = 0.5) +
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0) +
  scale_fill_manual(values = "grey70", name = "") +
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  labs(y = expression(Delta ~ C[ant] ~ bias)) +
  theme(axis.title.x = element_blank()) +
  geom_jitter(aes(period, dcant_bias_rel, col = MLR_basins),
              width = 0.05, height = 0) +
  facet_grid(. ~ basin_AIP)

Warning: Removed 108 rows containing missing values (geom_point).

Past versions of cases_bias-2.png

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p_regional_bias <- 
  dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all %>%
  ggplot() +
  geom_hline(yintercept = regional_bias_rel_max * c(-1,1),
             linetype = 2) +
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0) +
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  labs(y = expression(Delta * C[ant] ~ bias ~ ("%")),
       title = "Model-based assesment") +
  theme(axis.title.x = element_blank()) +
  geom_point(aes(period, dcant_bias_rel, col = MLR_basins),
             alpha = 0.7) +
    theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 45, hjust=1),
        axis.title.x = element_blank()) +
  facet_grid(. ~ basin_AIP) +
  theme(
  strip.background = element_blank(),
  strip.text.x = element_blank()
)

p_regional_bias

Warning: Removed 108 rows containing missing values (geom_point).

Past versions of cases_bias-3.png

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4.2 Slab budgets

4.2.1 Absolute values

dcant_slab_budget_all %>%
  filter(data_source == "obs",
         period != "1994 - 2014") %>% 
  ggplot(aes(MLR_basins, dcant, fill = gamma_slab)) +
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0, col = "red") +
  geom_col() +
  scale_fill_scico_d(direction = -1) +
  facet_grid(basin_AIP ~ period)

Past versions of slab_budgets-1.png

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dcant_slab_budget_all %>%
  filter(data_source == "obs",
         period != "1994 - 2014") %>%
  group_by(basin_AIP) %>%
  group_split() %>%
  map(
    ~ ggplot(data = .x,
             aes(MLR_basins, dcant, fill = gamma_slab)) +
      geom_hline(yintercept = 0) +
      geom_col() +
      scale_fill_scico_d(direction = -1) +
      labs(title = paste("data_source:", unique(.x$basin_AIP))) +
      facet_grid(gamma_slab ~ period)
  )

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4.2.2 Bias

dcant_slab_budget_bias_all %>%
  filter(period != "1994 - 2014") %>%
  group_by(basin_AIP) %>%
  group_split() %>%
  # head(1) %>% 
  map(
    ~ ggplot(data = .x,
             aes(gamma_slab, dcant_bias, fill = gamma_slab)) +
      geom_col() +
      coord_flip() +
      scale_x_discrete(limits = rev) +
      scale_fill_scico_d(direction = -1) +
      facet_grid(period ~ MLR_basins) +
      labs(title = paste("data_source:", unique(.x$basin_AIP)))
    )

[[1]]

Warning: Removed 48 rows containing missing values (position_stack).

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[[2]]

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[[3]]

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Past versions of slab_budgets_bias-3.png

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4.2.3 Spread

dcant_slab_budget_all %>%
  filter(period != "1994 - 2014",
         data_source != "mod_truth") %>%
  group_by(data_source, basin_AIP, gamma_slab, period) %>%
  summarise(dcant_range = max(dcant) - min(dcant)) %>%
  ungroup() %>%
  group_split(basin_AIP) %>%
  # head(1) %>%
  map(
    ~ ggplot(data = .x,
             aes(gamma_slab, dcant_range, fill = gamma_slab)) +
      geom_col() +
      coord_flip() +
      scale_x_discrete(limits = rev) +
      scale_fill_scico_d(direction = -1) +
      facet_grid(period ~ data_source) +
      labs(title = paste("data_source:", unique(.x$basin_AIP)))
  )

`summarise()` has grouped output by 'data_source', 'basin_AIP', 'gamma_slab'.
You can override using the `.groups` argument.

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5 Basins hemisphere

5.1 Individual cases

5.1.1 Absoulte values

dcant_budget_basin_MLR_all %>%
  ggplot(aes(period, dcant, col = MLR_basins)) +
  geom_jitter(width = 0.05, height = 0) +
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  facet_grid(basin ~ data_source) +
  ylim(0,NA) +
  theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 45, hjust=1),
        axis.title.x = element_blank())

Past versions of cases_absolute_basins_hemisphere-1.png

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6 Ensemble

6.1 Global

dcant_budget_global_all_in <- dcant_budget_global_all %>% 
  filter(data_source %in% c("mod", "obs"))

dcant_budget_global_ensemble <- dcant_budget_global_all_in %>% 
  group_by(data_source, period, tref2) %>% 
  summarise(dcant_mean = mean(dcant),
            dcant_sd = sd(dcant),
            dcant_range = max(dcant)- min(dcant)) %>% 
  ungroup()

`summarise()` has grouped output by 'data_source', 'period'. You can override
using the `.groups` argument.

6.1.1 Mean

legend_title = expression(Delta * C[ant]~(PgC))

ggplot() +
  geom_col(data = dcant_budget_global_ensemble,
           aes(x = period,
               y = dcant_mean),
           fill = "darkgrey") +
  geom_errorbar(
    data = dcant_budget_global_ensemble,
    aes(
      x = period,
      y = dcant_mean,
      ymax = dcant_mean + dcant_sd,
      ymin = dcant_mean - dcant_sd
    ),
    width = 0.1
  ) +
  geom_point(
    data = dcant_budget_global_all,
    aes(period, dcant, col = MLR_basins),
    alpha = 0.7,
    position = position_jitter(width = 0.2, height = 0)
  ) +
  scale_y_continuous(limits = c(0,70), expand = c(0,0)) +
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  facet_grid(. ~ data_source) +
  labs(y = legend_title) +
  theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 45, hjust=1),
        axis.title.x = element_blank())

Past versions of ensemble_mean_global-1.png

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p_global_dcant <- ggplot() +
  geom_col(data = dcant_budget_global_ensemble %>% 
             filter(data_source == "obs"),
           aes(x = period,
               y = dcant_mean),
           fill = "darkgrey") +
    geom_point(
    data = dcant_budget_global_all %>% 
             filter(data_source == "obs"),
    aes(period, dcant, col = MLR_basins),
    alpha = 0.7,
    position = position_jitter(width = 0.1, height = 0)
  ) +
  geom_errorbar(
    data = dcant_budget_global_ensemble %>% 
             filter(data_source == "obs"),
    aes(
      x = period,
      y = dcant_mean,
      ymax = dcant_mean + dcant_sd,
      ymin = dcant_mean - dcant_sd
    ),
    width = 0.1
  ) +
  scale_y_continuous(limits = c(0,70), expand = c(0,0)) +
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  labs(y = legend_title,
       title = "Observation-based results") +
  theme(axis.text.x = element_blank(),
        axis.title.x = element_blank())

p_global_dcant_bias <-
p_global_dcant / p_global_bias +
  plot_layout(guides = 'collect',
              heights = c(2,1))

p_global_dcant_bias

Warning: Removed 36 rows containing missing values (geom_point).

Past versions of ensemble_mean_global-2.png

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# ggsave(plot = p_global_dcant_bias,
#        path = here::here("output/publication"),
#        filename = "Fig_global_dcant_budget.png",
#        height = 5,
#        width = 5)

rm(p_global_bias, p_global_dcant, p_global_dcant_bias)

6.1.2 Mean vs atm CO2

dcant_ensemble <- dcant_budget_global_ensemble %>% 
  filter(data_source == "obs",
         period != "1994 - 2014") %>% 
  select(year = tref2, dcant_mean, dcant_sd)

tcant_S04 <- bind_cols(year = 1994, dcant_mean = 118, dcant_sd = 19)

tcant_ensemble <- full_join(dcant_ensemble, tcant_S04)

Joining, by = c("year", "dcant_mean", "dcant_sd")

tcant_ensemble <- left_join(tcant_ensemble, co2_atm)

Joining, by = "year"

co2_atm_pi <- bind_cols(pCO2 = 280, dcant_mean = 0, year = 1750, dcant_sd = 0)

tcant_ensemble <- full_join(tcant_ensemble, co2_atm_pi)

Joining, by = c("year", "dcant_mean", "dcant_sd", "pCO2")

tcant_ensemble <- tcant_ensemble %>% 
  arrange(year) %>% 
  mutate(tcant = cumsum(dcant_mean),
         tcant_sd = cumsum(dcant_sd))

tcant_ensemble %>% 
  ggplot(aes(pCO2, tcant, ymin = tcant - tcant_sd, ymax = tcant + tcant_sd)) +
  geom_ribbon(fill = "grey80") +
  geom_point() +
  geom_line() +
  scale_x_continuous(breaks = seq(280, 400, 30),
                     sec.axis = dup_axis(labels =  c(1750, 1940, 1980, 2000, 2015),
                                         name = "Year")) +
  geom_text(aes(label = year), nudge_x = -5, nudge_y = 5) +
  labs(x = expression(Atmospheric~pCO[2]~(µatm)),
       y = expression(Total~oceanic~C[ant]~(PgC)))

Past versions of mean_tcant_over_atm_co2-1.png

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# ggsave(path = "output/publication",
#        filename = "Fig_global_dcant_budget_vs_atm_pCO2.png",
#        height = 4,
#        width = 7)

6.1.3 Sum decades

dcant_budget_global_all_in_sum <-
  dcant_budget_global_all_in %>%
  filter(period != "1994 - 2014") %>%
  arrange(tref1) %>%
  group_by(data_source, MLR_basins) %>%
  mutate(dcant = dcant + lag(dcant)) %>% 
  ungroup() %>%
  drop_na() %>% 
  mutate(estimate = "sum")

dcant_budget_global_all_in_sum <-
  bind_rows(
    dcant_budget_global_all_in_sum,
    dcant_budget_global_all_in %>%
      filter(period == "1994 - 2014") %>%
      mutate(estimate = "direct")
  )

ggplot() +
  geom_point(
    data = dcant_budget_global_all_in_sum,
    aes(estimate, dcant, col = MLR_basins),
    alpha = 0.7,
    position = position_jitter(width = 0, height = 0)
  ) +
  scale_y_continuous(limits = c(0,70), expand = c(0,0)) +
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  facet_grid(. ~ data_source) +
  theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 45, hjust=1),
        axis.title.x = element_blank())

Past versions of summed_decades-1.png

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6.1.4 Mean bias

dcant_budget_global_ensemble_bias <- full_join(
  dcant_budget_global_ensemble %>%
    filter(data_source == "mod") %>% 
    select(period, dcant_mean, dcant_sd),
  dcant_budget_global_all %>%
    filter(data_source == "mod_truth",
           MLR_basins == unique(dcant_budget_global_all$MLR_basins)[1]) %>% 
    select(period, dcant)
)

Joining, by = "period"

dcant_budget_global_ensemble_bias <- dcant_budget_global_ensemble_bias %>% 
  mutate(dcant_mean_bias = dcant_mean - dcant,
         dcant_mean_bias_rel = 100 * dcant_mean_bias / dcant)

dcant_budget_global_ensemble_bias %>%
  ggplot(aes(period, dcant_mean_bias)) +
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0) +
  geom_point()

Past versions of ensemble_mean_bias_global-1.png

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dcant_budget_global_ensemble_bias %>%
  ggplot(aes(period, dcant_mean_bias_rel)) +
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0) +
  geom_point()

Past versions of ensemble_mean_bias_global-2.png

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6.1.5 Vertical patterns

6.1.5.1 Absoulte values

dcant_budget_global_all_depth %>%
  filter(data_source != "mod_truth") %>% 
  group_by(data_source) %>%
  group_split() %>%
  # head(1) %>%
  map(
    ~  ggplot(data = .x,
              aes(dcant, MLR_basins, fill=period)) +
      geom_vline(xintercept = 0) +
      geom_col(position = "dodge") +
      scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
      facet_grid(inv_depth ~ .) +
      labs(title = paste("data_source:", unique(.x$data_source)))
  )

[[1]]

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6.1.5.2 Biases

dcant_budget_global_bias_all_depth %>%
  ggplot(aes(dcant_bias, MLR_basins, fill = period)) +
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0) +
  geom_col(position = "dodge") +
  scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  facet_grid(inv_depth ~ .)

Past versions of cases_bias_depth_global-1.png

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dcant_budget_global_bias_all_depth %>%
  ggplot(aes(dcant_bias_rel, MLR_basins, fill = period)) +
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0) +
  geom_col(position = "dodge") +
  scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  facet_grid(inv_depth ~ .)

Warning: Removed 180 rows containing missing values (geom_col).

Past versions of cases_bias_rel_depth_global-1.png

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rm(dcant_budget_global_all,
   dcant_budget_global_all_depth,
   dcant_budget_global_bias_all,
   dcant_budget_global_bias_all_depth,
   dcant_budget_global_ensemble,
   dcant_budget_global_ensemble_bias)

6.2 Basins

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_ensemble <- dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all %>% 
  filter(data_source %in% c("mod", "obs")) %>% 
  group_by(basin_AIP, data_source, period) %>% 
  summarise(dcant_mean = mean(dcant),
            dcant_sd = sd(dcant),
            dcant_range = max(dcant)- min(dcant)) %>% 
  ungroup()

`summarise()` has grouped output by 'basin_AIP', 'data_source'. You can override
using the `.groups` argument.

6.2.1 Mean

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_ensemble %>%
  ggplot(aes(period, dcant_mean, col=basin_AIP)) +
  geom_pointrange(aes(ymax = dcant_mean + dcant_sd,
                      ymin = dcant_mean - dcant_sd),
                  shape = 21) +
  facet_grid(. ~ data_source)

Past versions of ensemble_mean-1.png

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p_regional_dcant <- ggplot() +
  geom_col(
    data = dcant_budget_basin_AIP_ensemble %>%
      filter(data_source == "obs"),
    aes(x = period,
        y = dcant_mean),
    fill = "darkgrey"
  ) +
  geom_point(
    data = dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all %>%
      filter(data_source == "obs"),
    aes(period, dcant, col = MLR_basins),
    position = position_jitter(width = 0.1, height = 0),
    alpha = 0.7
  ) +
  geom_errorbar(
    data = dcant_budget_basin_AIP_ensemble %>%
      filter(data_source == "obs"),
    aes(
      x = period,
      y = dcant_mean,
      ymax = dcant_mean + dcant_sd,
      ymin = dcant_mean - dcant_sd
    ),
    width = 0.1
  ) +
  scale_y_continuous(limits = c(0, 35), expand = c(0, 0)) +
  scale_color_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  labs(y = legend_title,
       title = "Observation-based results") +
  theme(axis.text.x = element_blank(),
        axis.title.x = element_blank()) +
  facet_grid(. ~ basin_AIP)

p_regional_dcant_bias <-
p_regional_dcant / p_regional_bias +
  plot_layout(guides = 'collect',
              heights = c(2,1))

p_regional_dcant_bias

Warning: Removed 108 rows containing missing values (geom_point).

Past versions of ensemble_mean-2.png

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# ggsave(plot = p_regional_dcant_bias,
#        path = "output/publication",
#        filename = "Fig_regional_dcant_budget.png",
#        height = 5,
#        width = 10)

rm(p_regional_bias, p_regional_dcant, p_regional_dcant_bias)

6.2.2 Mean bias

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_ensemble_bias <- full_join(
  dcant_budget_basin_AIP_ensemble %>%
    filter(data_source == "mod") %>% 
    select(basin_AIP, period, dcant_mean, dcant_sd),
  dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all %>%
    filter(data_source == "mod_truth",
           MLR_basins == unique(dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all$MLR_basins)[1]) %>% 
    select(basin_AIP, period, dcant)
)

Joining, by = c("basin_AIP", "period")

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_ensemble_bias <- dcant_budget_basin_AIP_ensemble_bias %>% 
  mutate(dcant_mean_bias = dcant_mean - dcant,
         dcant_mean_bias_rel = 100 * dcant_mean_bias / dcant)


dcant_budget_basin_AIP_ensemble_bias %>%
  ggplot(aes(period, dcant_mean_bias, col = basin_AIP)) +
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0) +
  geom_point()

Past versions of ensemble_mean_bias-1.png

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dcant_budget_basin_AIP_ensemble_bias %>%
  ggplot(aes(period, dcant_mean_bias_rel, col = basin_AIP)) +
  geom_hline(yintercept = 0) +
  geom_point()

Past versions of ensemble_mean_bias-2.png

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6.2.3 Vertical patterns

6.2.3.1 Absoulte values

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_all_depth %>%
  filter(data_source != "mod_truth") %>%
  group_by(data_source) %>%
  group_split() %>%
  # head(1) %>%
  map(
    ~  ggplot(data = .x,
              aes(dcant, MLR_basins, fill = basin_AIP)) +
      geom_vline(xintercept = 0) +
      geom_col() +
      scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
      facet_grid(inv_depth ~ period) +
      labs(title = paste("data_source:", unique(.x$data_source)))
  )

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6.2.3.2 Biases

dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all_depth %>%
  ggplot(aes(dcant_bias, MLR_basins, fill = basin_AIP)) +
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0) +
  geom_col() +
  scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  facet_grid(inv_depth ~ period)

Past versions of cases_bias_depth-1.png

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dcant_budget_basin_AIP_bias_all_depth %>%
  ggplot(aes(dcant_bias_rel, MLR_basins, fill = basin_AIP)) +
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0) +
  geom_col(position = "dodge") +
  scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
  facet_grid(inv_depth ~ period)

Warning: Removed 540 rows containing missing values (geom_col).

Past versions of cases_bias_rel_depth-1.png

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8dca96a	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12

7 Steady state

dcant_obs_budget_all %>%
  group_by(inv_depth) %>%
  group_split() %>%
  # head(1) %>% 
  map(
    ~ ggplot(data = .x,
             aes(estimate, dcant_pos, fill = basin_AIP)) +
      scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Dark2") +
      geom_col() +
      facet_grid(MLR_basins ~ period) +
      labs(title = paste("inventory depth:",unique(.x$inv_depth)))
  )

[[1]]

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8dca96a	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12

8 Predictor analysis

lm_best_predictor_counts_all <-
  full_join(lm_best_predictor_counts_all,
            params_local_all)

Joining, by = "Version_ID"

lm_best_predictor_counts_all <- lm_best_predictor_counts_all %>% 
  mutate(n_predictors_total = rowSums(across(aou:temp), na.rm = TRUE)/10)

lm_best_predictor_counts_all %>%
  ggplot(aes(x = MLR_basins, y = n_predictors_total)) +
  # ggdist::stat_halfeye(
  #   adjust = .5,
  #   width = .6,
  #   .width = 0,
  #   justification = -.2,
  #   point_colour = NA
  # ) +
  geom_boxplot(width = 0.5,
               outlier.shape = NA) +
  gghalves::geom_half_point(
    side = "l",
    range_scale = .4,
    alpha = .5,
    aes(col = gamma_slab)
  ) +
  scale_color_viridis_d() +
  facet_grid(basin ~ data_source)

Past versions of predictor_analysis-1.png

Version	Author	Date
8dca96a	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12

lm_best_predictor_counts_all %>%
  pivot_longer(aou:temp,
               names_to = "predictor",
               values_to = "count") %>%
  group_split(predictor) %>%
  # head(1) %>%
  map(
    ~ ggplot(data = .x,
             aes(MLR_basins, count, color = gamma_slab)) +
      geom_jitter(alpha = 0.5) +
      scale_color_viridis_d() +
      labs(title = paste0("predictor:", unique(.x$predictor))) +
      coord_cartesian(ylim = c(0, 10)) +
      facet_grid(basin ~ data_source)
  )

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Warning: Removed 2 rows containing missing values (geom_point).

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[[2]]

Warning: Removed 39 rows containing missing values (geom_point).

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[[3]]

Warning: Removed 1 rows containing missing values (geom_point).

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[[4]]

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[[5]]

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8dca96a	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12

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8dca96a	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12

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Past versions of predictor_analysis-8.png

Version	Author	Date
8dca96a	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12

lm_best_dcant_all <-
  full_join(lm_best_dcant_all,
            params_local_all)

Joining, by = "Version_ID"

lm_best_dcant_all %>%
  count(basin, data_source, gamma_slab, MLR_basins, period) %>%
  ggplot(aes(MLR_basins, n)) +
  geom_jitter(height = 0, alpha = 0.3) +
  facet_grid(basin ~ data_source)

Past versions of predictor_analysis-9.png

Version	Author	Date
8dca96a	jens-daniel-mueller	2022-04-12

Session information

sessionInfo()

R version 4.1.2 (2021-11-01)
Platform: x86_64-pc-linux-gnu (64-bit)
Running under: openSUSE Leap 15.3

Matrix products: default
BLAS:   /usr/local/R-4.1.2/lib64/R/lib/libRblas.so
LAPACK: /usr/local/R-4.1.2/lib64/R/lib/libRlapack.so

locale:
 [1] LC_CTYPE=en_US.UTF-8       LC_NUMERIC=C              
 [3] LC_TIME=en_US.UTF-8        LC_COLLATE=en_US.UTF-8    
 [5] LC_MONETARY=en_US.UTF-8    LC_MESSAGES=en_US.UTF-8   
 [7] LC_PAPER=en_US.UTF-8       LC_NAME=C                 
 [9] LC_ADDRESS=C               LC_TELEPHONE=C            
[11] LC_MEASUREMENT=en_US.UTF-8 LC_IDENTIFICATION=C       

attached base packages:
[1] stats     graphics  grDevices utils     datasets  methods   base     

other attached packages:
 [1] colorspace_2.0-2 marelac_2.1.10   shape_1.4.6      ggforce_0.3.3   
 [5] metR_0.11.0      scico_1.3.0      patchwork_1.1.1  collapse_1.7.0  
 [9] forcats_0.5.1    stringr_1.4.0    dplyr_1.0.7      purrr_0.3.4     
[13] readr_2.1.1      tidyr_1.1.4      tibble_3.1.6     ggplot2_3.3.5   
[17] tidyverse_1.3.1  workflowr_1.7.0 

loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
 [1] fs_1.5.2           gghalves_0.1.1     bit64_4.0.5        lubridate_1.8.0   
 [5] gsw_1.0-6          RColorBrewer_1.1-2 httr_1.4.2         rprojroot_2.0.2   
 [9] tools_4.1.2        backports_1.4.1    bslib_0.3.1        utf8_1.2.2        
[13] R6_2.5.1           DBI_1.1.2          withr_2.4.3        tidyselect_1.1.1  
[17] processx_3.5.2     bit_4.0.4          compiler_4.1.2     git2r_0.29.0      
[21] cli_3.1.1          rvest_1.0.2        xml2_1.3.3         labeling_0.4.2    
[25] sass_0.4.0         scales_1.1.1       checkmate_2.0.0    SolveSAPHE_2.1.0  
[29] callr_3.7.0        digest_0.6.29      rmarkdown_2.11     oce_1.5-0         
[33] pkgconfig_2.0.3    htmltools_0.5.2    highr_0.9          dbplyr_2.1.1      
[37] fastmap_1.1.0      rlang_1.0.2        readxl_1.3.1       rstudioapi_0.13   
[41] jquerylib_0.1.4    generics_0.1.1     farver_2.1.0       jsonlite_1.7.3    
[45] vroom_1.5.7        magrittr_2.0.1     Rcpp_1.0.8         munsell_0.5.0     
[49] fansi_1.0.2        lifecycle_1.0.1    stringi_1.7.6      whisker_0.4       
[53] yaml_2.2.1         MASS_7.3-55        grid_4.1.2         parallel_4.1.2    
[57] promises_1.2.0.1   crayon_1.4.2       haven_2.4.3        hms_1.1.1         
[61] seacarb_3.3.0      knitr_1.37         ps_1.6.0           pillar_1.6.4      
[65] reprex_2.0.1       glue_1.6.0         evaluate_0.14      getPass_0.2-2     
[69] data.table_1.14.2  modelr_0.1.8       vctrs_0.3.8        tzdb_0.2.0        
[73] tweenr_1.0.2       httpuv_1.6.5       cellranger_1.1.0   gtable_0.3.0      
[77] polyclip_1.10-0    assertthat_0.2.1   xfun_0.29          broom_0.7.11      
[81] later_1.3.0        viridisLite_0.4.0  ellipsis_0.3.2     here_1.0.1