Last updated: 2020-04-21

Checks: 6 1

Knit directory: social_immunity/

This reproducible R Markdown analysis was created with workflowr (version 1.6.0). The Checks tab describes the reproducibility checks that were applied when the results were created. The Past versions tab lists the development history.


The R Markdown file has unstaged changes. To know which version of the R Markdown file created these results, you’ll want to first commit it to the Git repo. If you’re still working on the analysis, you can ignore this warning. When you’re finished, you can run wflow_publish to commit the R Markdown file and build the HTML.

Great job! The global environment was empty. Objects defined in the global environment can affect the analysis in your R Markdown file in unknown ways. For reproduciblity it’s best to always run the code in an empty environment.

The command set.seed(20191017) was run prior to running the code in the R Markdown file. Setting a seed ensures that any results that rely on randomness, e.g. subsampling or permutations, are reproducible.

Great job! Recording the operating system, R version, and package versions is critical for reproducibility.

Nice! There were no cached chunks for this analysis, so you can be confident that you successfully produced the results during this run.

Great job! Using relative paths to the files within your workflowr project makes it easier to run your code on other machines.

Great! You are using Git for version control. Tracking code development and connecting the code version to the results is critical for reproducibility. The version displayed above was the version of the Git repository at the time these results were generated.

Note that you need to be careful to ensure that all relevant files for the analysis have been committed to Git prior to generating the results (you can use wflow_publish or wflow_git_commit). workflowr only checks the R Markdown file, but you know if there are other scripts or data files that it depends on. Below is the status of the Git repository when the results were generated:


Ignored files:
    Ignored:    .DS_Store
    Ignored:    .Rhistory
    Ignored:    .Rproj.user/
    Ignored:    data/.DS_Store
    Ignored:    output/exp1_model.rds
    Ignored:    output/exp1_post_prob.rds
    Ignored:    output/exp2_model.rds
    Ignored:    output/exp2_post_prob.rds
    Ignored:    output/exp3_model.rds
    Ignored:    output/exp3_post_prob.rds

Untracked files:
    Untracked:  data/Zoology 2.csv
    Untracked:  figures/

Unstaged changes:
    Modified:   .gitignore
    Modified:   analysis/data_cleaning.Rmd
    Modified:   analysis/experiment1.Rmd
    Modified:   analysis/experiment2.Rmd
    Modified:   analysis/experiment3.Rmd
    Modified:   code/helper_functions.R
    Modified:   data/clean_data/experiment_1.csv
    Modified:   data/clean_data/experiment_1_outcome_tally.csv
    Modified:   data/data_collection_sheets/experiment_1.csv
    Modified:   data/data_collection_sheets/experiment_durations.csv

Note that any generated files, e.g. HTML, png, CSS, etc., are not included in this status report because it is ok for generated content to have uncommitted changes.


These are the previous versions of the R Markdown and HTML files. If you’ve configured a remote Git repository (see ?wflow_git_remote), click on the hyperlinks in the table below to view them.

File Version Author Date Message
Rmd aae65cf lukeholman 2019-10-17 First commit
html aae65cf lukeholman 2019-10-17 First commit

Load data and R packages

# All but 1 of these packages can be easily installed from CRAN.
# However it was harder to install the showtext package. On Mac, I did this:
# installed 'homebrew' using Terminal: ruby -e "$(curl -fsSL https://raw.githubusercontent.com/Homebrew/install/master/install)" 
# installed 'libpng' using Terminal: brew install libpng
# installed 'showtext' in R using: devtools::install_github("yixuan/showtext")  
library(showtext)

library(brms)
library(bayesplot)
library(tidyverse)
library(gridExtra)
library(kableExtra)
library(bayestestR)
library(tidybayes)
library(cowplot)
source("code/helper_functions.R")

# set up nice font for figure
nice_font <- "PT Serif"
font_add_google(name = nice_font, family = nice_font, regular.wt = 400, bold.wt = 700)
showtext_auto()

exp1_treatments <- c("Intact control", "Ringers", "Heat-treated LPS", "LPS")

durations <- read_csv("data/data_collection_sheets/experiment_durations.csv") %>%
  filter(experiment == 1) %>% select(-experiment)

outcome_tally <- read_csv(file = "data/clean_data/experiment_1_outcome_tally.csv") %>%
  mutate(outcome = replace(outcome, outcome == "Left of own volition", "Left voluntarily")) %>%
  mutate(outcome   = factor(outcome, levels = c("Stayed inside the hive", "Left voluntarily", "Forced out")),
         treatment = factor(treatment, levels = exp1_treatments)) 

# Re-formatted version of the same data, where each row is an individual bee. We need this format to run the brms model.
data_for_categorical_model <- outcome_tally %>%
  mutate(id = 1:n()) %>%
  split(.$id) %>%
  map(function(x){
    if(x$n[1] == 0) return(NULL)
    data.frame(
      treatment = x$treatment[1],
      hive = x$hive[1],
      colour = x$colour[1],
      outcome = rep(x$outcome[1], x$n))
  }) %>% do.call("rbind", .) %>% as_tibble() %>%
  arrange(hive, treatment) %>%
  mutate(outcome_numeric = as.numeric(outcome),
         hive = as.character(hive),
         treatment = factor(treatment, levels = exp1_treatments)) %>%
  left_join(durations, by = "hive") %>%
  mutate(hive = C(factor(hive), sum)) # use sum coding for the factor levels of "hive"

Inspect the raw data

Sample sizes by treatment

data_for_categorical_model %>%
  group_by(treatment) %>%
  summarise(n = n()) %>%
  kable() %>% kable_styling(full_width = FALSE)
treatment n
Intact control 321
Ringers 153
Heat-treated LPS 186
LPS 182

Sample sizes by treatment and hive

data_for_categorical_model %>%
  group_by(hive, treatment) %>%
  summarise(n = n()) %>%
  kable() %>% kable_styling(full_width = FALSE)
hive treatment n
Garden Intact control 77
Garden Ringers 41
Garden Heat-treated LPS 34
Garden LPS 37
SkyLab Intact control 105
SkyLab Heat-treated LPS 58
SkyLab LPS 43
Zoology Intact control 106
Zoology Ringers 80
Zoology Heat-treated LPS 67
Zoology LPS 67
Zoology_2 Intact control 33
Zoology_2 Ringers 32
Zoology_2 Heat-treated LPS 27
Zoology_2 LPS 35

Inspect the results

outcome_tally %>%
  select(-colour) %>% 
  kable(digits = 3) %>% kable_styling(full_width = FALSE) %>%
  scroll_box(height = "380px")
hive treatment outcome n
Garden Heat-treated LPS Stayed inside the hive 34
Garden Heat-treated LPS Left voluntarily 0
Garden Heat-treated LPS Forced out 0
Garden Intact control Stayed inside the hive 75
Garden Intact control Left voluntarily 0
Garden Intact control Forced out 2
Garden LPS Stayed inside the hive 37
Garden LPS Left voluntarily 0
Garden LPS Forced out 0
Garden Ringers Stayed inside the hive 41
Garden Ringers Left voluntarily 0
Garden Ringers Forced out 0
SkyLab Heat-treated LPS Stayed inside the hive 47
SkyLab Heat-treated LPS Left voluntarily 6
SkyLab Heat-treated LPS Forced out 5
SkyLab Intact control Stayed inside the hive 102
SkyLab Intact control Left voluntarily 3
SkyLab Intact control Forced out 0
SkyLab LPS Stayed inside the hive 35
SkyLab LPS Left voluntarily 6
SkyLab LPS Forced out 2
Zoology Heat-treated LPS Stayed inside the hive 59
Zoology Heat-treated LPS Left voluntarily 1
Zoology Heat-treated LPS Forced out 7
Zoology Intact control Stayed inside the hive 105
Zoology Intact control Left voluntarily 0
Zoology Intact control Forced out 1
Zoology LPS Stayed inside the hive 60
Zoology LPS Left voluntarily 2
Zoology LPS Forced out 5
Zoology Ringers Stayed inside the hive 74
Zoology Ringers Left voluntarily 1
Zoology Ringers Forced out 5
Zoology_2 Heat-treated LPS Stayed inside the hive 16
Zoology_2 Heat-treated LPS Left voluntarily 1
Zoology_2 Heat-treated LPS Forced out 10
Zoology_2 Intact control Stayed inside the hive 24
Zoology_2 Intact control Left voluntarily 1
Zoology_2 Intact control Forced out 8
Zoology_2 LPS Stayed inside the hive 21
Zoology_2 LPS Left voluntarily 2
Zoology_2 LPS Forced out 12
Zoology_2 Ringers Stayed inside the hive 23
Zoology_2 Ringers Left voluntarily 1
Zoology_2 Ringers Forced out 8

Raw results as a bar chart

all_hives <- outcome_tally %>%
  group_by(treatment, outcome) %>%
  summarise(n = sum(n)) %>%
  ungroup() %>% mutate(hive = "All hives")

outcome_tally %>%
  group_by(treatment, hive, outcome, .drop = FALSE) %>%
  summarise(n = sum(n)) %>%
  ungroup() %>%
  mutate(hive = paste(hive, "hive")) %>%
  full_join(all_hives, by = c("treatment", "hive", "outcome", "n")) %>%
  split(paste(.$treatment, .$hive)) %>%
  map(~ .x %>% mutate(percent = 100 * n / sum(n))) %>%
  bind_rows() 
# A tibble: 57 x 5
   treatment        hive         outcome                    n percent
   <fct>            <chr>        <fct>                  <dbl>   <dbl>
 1 Heat-treated LPS All hives    Stayed inside the hive   156   83.9 
 2 Heat-treated LPS All hives    Left voluntarily           8    4.30
 3 Heat-treated LPS All hives    Forced out                22   11.8 
 4 Heat-treated LPS Garden hive  Stayed inside the hive    34  100   
 5 Heat-treated LPS Garden hive  Left voluntarily           0    0   
 6 Heat-treated LPS Garden hive  Forced out                 0    0   
 7 Heat-treated LPS SkyLab hive  Stayed inside the hive    47   81.0 
 8 Heat-treated LPS SkyLab hive  Left voluntarily           6   10.3 
 9 Heat-treated LPS SkyLab hive  Forced out                 5    8.62
10 Heat-treated LPS Zoology hive Stayed inside the hive    59   88.1 
# … with 47 more rows
pd <- position_dodge(.3)
outcome_tally %>%
  group_by(treatment, outcome) %>%
  summarise(n = sum(n)) %>% mutate() %>%
  group_by(treatment) %>%
  mutate(total_n = sum(n),
         percent = 100 * n / sum(n),
         SE = sqrt(total_n * (percent/100) * (1-(percent/100)))) %>% 
  ungroup() %>%
  mutate(lowerCI = map_dbl(1:n(), ~ 100 * binom.test(n[.x], total_n[.x])$conf.int[1]),
         upperCI = map_dbl(1:n(), ~ 100 * binom.test(n[.x], total_n[.x])$conf.int[2])) %>%
  filter(outcome != "Stayed inside the hive") %>%
  ggplot(aes(treatment, percent, fill = outcome)) + 
  geom_errorbar(aes(ymin=lowerCI, ymax=upperCI), position = pd, width = 0) + 
  geom_point(stat = "identity", position = pd, colour = "grey15", pch = 21, size = 4) + 
  scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Pastel1", name = "Outcome", direction = -1) + 
  xlab("Treatment") + ylab("% bees (+95% CIs)") + 
  theme(legend.position = "top") + 
  coord_flip()

Multinomial model of outcome

Run the models

Fit a multinomial logisitic model, with 3 possible outcomes describing what happened to each bee introduced to the hive: stayed inside, left of its own volition, or forced out by the other workers. To assess the effects of our predictor variables, we compare 5 models with different fixed factors, ranking them by posterior model probability.

if(!file.exists("output/exp1_model.rds")){
  
  exp1_model_v1 <- brm(
    outcome_numeric ~ treatment * hive + observation_time_minutes, 
    data = data_for_categorical_model, 
    prior = c(set_prior("normal(0, 3)", class = "b", dpar = "mu2"),
              set_prior("normal(0, 3)", class = "b", dpar = "mu3")),
    family = "categorical", save_all_pars = TRUE, sample_prior = TRUE,
    chains = 4, cores = 1, iter = 5000, seed = 1)
  
  exp1_model_v2 <- brm(
    outcome_numeric ~ treatment + hive + observation_time_minutes, 
    data = data_for_categorical_model, 
    prior = c(set_prior("normal(0, 3)", class = "b", dpar = "mu2"),
              set_prior("normal(0, 3)", class = "b", dpar = "mu3")),
    family = "categorical", save_all_pars = TRUE, sample_prior = TRUE,
    chains = 4, cores = 1, iter = 5000, seed = 1)
  
  exp1_model_v3 <- brm(
    outcome_numeric ~ hive + observation_time_minutes, 
    data = data_for_categorical_model, 
    prior = c(set_prior("normal(0, 3)", class = "b", dpar = "mu2"),
              set_prior("normal(0, 3)", class = "b", dpar = "mu3")),
    family = "categorical",  save_all_pars = TRUE, sample_prior = TRUE,
    chains = 4, cores = 1, iter = 5000, seed = 1)
  
  posterior_model_probabilities <- tibble(
    Model = c("treatment * hive + observation_time_minutes",
              "treatment + hive + observation_time_minutes",
              "hive + observation_time_minutes"),
    post_prob = as.numeric(post_prob(exp1_model_v1,
                                     exp1_model_v2,
                                     exp1_model_v3))) %>%
    arrange(-post_prob)
  
  saveRDS(exp1_model_v2, "output/exp1_model.rds") # save the top model, treatment + hive
  saveRDS(posterior_model_probabilities, "output/exp1_post_prob.rds")
}

exp1_model <- readRDS("output/exp1_model.rds")
posterior_model_probabilities <- readRDS("output/exp1_post_prob.rds")

Fixed effects from the full model

The code chunk below wrangles the raw output of the summary() functions for brms models into a more readable table of results, and also adds ‘Bayesian p-values’ (i.e. the posterior probability that the true effect size has the same sign as the reported effect).

tableS1 <- get_fixed_effects_with_p_values(exp1_model) %>% 
  mutate(mu = map_chr(str_extract_all(Parameter, "mu[:digit:]"), ~ .x[1]),
         Parameter = str_remove_all(Parameter, "mu[:digit:]_"),
         Parameter = str_replace_all(Parameter, "treatment", "Treatment: "),
         Parameter = str_replace_all(Parameter, "HeatMtreatedLPS", "Heat-treated LPS"),
         Parameter = str_replace_all(Parameter, "observation_time_minutes", "Observation duration (minutes)")) %>%
  arrange(mu) %>%
  select(-mu, -Rhat, -Bulk_ESS, -Tail_ESS) 

names(tableS1)[3:5] <- c("Est. Error", "Lower 95% CI", "Upper 95% CI")

saveRDS(tableS1, file = "figures/tableS1.rds")

tableS1 %>%
  kable(digits = 3) %>% 
  kable_styling(full_width = FALSE) %>%
  pack_rows("% bees leaving voluntarily", 1, 8) %>%
  pack_rows("% bees forced out", 9, 16)
Parameter Estimate Est. Error Lower 95% CI Upper 95% CI p
% bees leaving voluntarily
Intercept -14.866 9.431 -35.346 2.072 0.045 *
Treatment: Ringers 0.658 0.970 -1.395 2.433 0.232
Treatment: Heat-treated LPS 1.298 0.612 0.126 2.530 0.015 *
Treatment: LPS 1.681 0.602 0.532 2.902 0.002 **
hive1 -1.514 2.617 -6.596 3.576 0.281
hive2 3.127 1.480 0.836 6.624 0.001 **
hive3 -1.520 1.602 -4.785 1.564 0.172
Observation duration (minutes) 0.091 0.090 -0.073 0.284 0.148
% bees forced out
Intercept -7.403 6.705 -20.821 5.738 0.134
Treatment: Ringers 0.552 0.453 -0.341 1.445 0.114
Treatment: Heat-treated LPS 1.298 0.406 0.520 2.097 0.000 ***
Treatment: LPS 0.965 0.419 0.161 1.797 0.011 *
hive1 -0.394 2.523 -5.315 4.675 0.437
hive2 -0.115 0.654 -1.392 1.160 0.431
hive3 -0.762 1.518 -3.826 2.200 0.309
Observation duration (minutes) 0.038 0.068 -0.095 0.176 0.288

Table S1: Table summarising the posterior estimates of each fixed effect in the best-fitting model of Experiment 1. This was a multinomial model with three possible outcomes (stay inside, leave voluntarily, be forced out), and so there are two parameter estimates for the intercept and for each predictor in the model. ‘Treatment’ is a fixed factor with four levels, and the effects shown here are expressed relative to the ‘Intact control’ group. ‘Hive’ was also a fixed factor with four levels; unlike for treatment, we modelled hive using deviation coding, such that the intercept term represents the mean across all hives (in the intact control treatment), and the three hive terms represent the deviation from this mean for three of the four hives. Lastly, observation duration was a continuous variable expressed to the nearest minute. The \(p\) column gives the posterior probability that the true effect size is opposite in sign to what is reported in the Estimate column, similarly to a p-value.

Plotting estimates from the model

Derive prediction from the posterior

new <- expand.grid(treatment = levels(data_for_categorical_model$treatment), 
                   hive = NA,
                   observation_time_minutes = 120)

preds <- fitted(exp1_model, newdata = new, summary = FALSE)
dimnames(preds) <- list(NULL, new[,1], NULL)

plotting_data <- rbind(
  as.data.frame(preds[,, 1]) %>% mutate(outcome = "Stayed inside the hive", posterior_sample = 1:n()),
  as.data.frame(preds[,, 2]) %>% mutate(outcome = "Left voluntarily", posterior_sample = 1:n()),
  as.data.frame(preds[,, 3]) %>% mutate(outcome = "Forced out", posterior_sample = 1:n())) %>%
  gather(treatment, prop, `Intact control`, Ringers, `Heat-treated LPS`, LPS) %>% 
  mutate(outcome = factor(outcome, c("Stayed inside the hive", "Left voluntarily", "Forced out"))) %>%
  as_tibble() %>% arrange(treatment, outcome) 

stats_data <- plotting_data
plotting_data$treatment <- factor(plotting_data$treatment, c("Intact control", "Ringers", "Heat-treated LPS", "LPS"))

Make Figure 1

cols <- c("#34558b", "#4ec5a5", "#ffaf12")

dot_plot <- plotting_data %>%
  mutate(outcome = str_replace_all(outcome, "Stayed inside the hive", "Stayed inside"),
         outcome = factor(outcome, c("Stayed inside", "Left voluntarily", "Forced out"))) %>% 
  ggplot(aes(100 * prop, treatment)) + 
  stat_dotsh(quantiles = 100, fill = "grey40", colour = "grey40") + # aes(fill = treatment), 
  stat_pointintervalh(aes(colour = outcome, fill = outcome), 
                      .width = c(0.5, 0.95),
                      position = position_nudge(y = -0.07), 
                      point_colour = "grey26", pch = 21, stroke = 0.4) + 
  scale_colour_manual(values = cols) + 
  scale_fill_manual(values = cols) + 
  facet_wrap( ~ outcome, scales = "free_x") + 
  xlab("% bees (posterior estimate)") + ylab("Treatment") + 
  theme_bw() + 
  coord_cartesian(ylim=c(1.4, 4)) + 
  theme(
    text = element_text(family = nice_font),
    strip.background = element_rect(fill = "#eff0f1"),
    panel.grid.major.y = element_blank(),
    legend.position = "none"
  ) 
  

get_log_odds <- function(trt1, trt2){ # positive effect = odds of this outcome are higher for trt2 than trt1 (put control as trt1)
  log((trt2 / (1 - trt2) / (trt1 / (1 - trt1))))
}

LOR <- stats_data %>%
  spread(treatment, prop) %>%
  mutate(LOR_intact_Ringers = get_log_odds(`Intact control`, Ringers),
         LOR_intact_heat = get_log_odds(`Intact control`, `Heat-treated LPS`),
         LOR_intact_LPS = get_log_odds(`Intact control`, LPS),
         LOR_Ringers_heat = get_log_odds(Ringers, `Heat-treated LPS`),
         LOR_Ringers_LPS = get_log_odds(Ringers, LPS), 
         LOR_heat_LPS = get_log_odds(`Heat-treated LPS`, LPS)) %>%
  select(posterior_sample, outcome, starts_with("LOR")) %>%
  gather(LOR, comparison, starts_with("LOR")) %>%
  mutate(LOR = str_remove_all(LOR, "LOR_"), 
         LOR = str_replace_all(LOR, "heat_LPS", "LPS\n(Heat-treated LPS)"),
         LOR = str_replace_all(LOR, "Ringers_LPS", "LPS\n(Ringers)"),
         LOR = str_replace_all(LOR, "Ringers_heat", "Heat-treated LPS\n(Ringers)"),
         LOR = str_replace_all(LOR, "intact_Ringers", "Ringers\n(Intact control)"),
         LOR = str_replace_all(LOR, "intact_heat", "Heat-treated LPS\n(Intact control)"),
         LOR = str_replace_all(LOR, "intact_LPS", "LPS\n(Intact control)"))

levs <- LOR$LOR %>% unique() %>% sort()
LOR$LOR <- factor(LOR$LOR, rev(levs[c(3,5,4,2,1,6)]))

LOR_plot <- LOR %>%
  mutate(outcome = str_replace_all(outcome, "Stayed inside the hive", "Stayed inside"),
         outcome = factor(outcome, levels = rev(c("Forced out", "Left voluntarily", "Stayed inside")))) %>%
  # filter(outcome != "Stayed inside the hive") %>%
  ggplot(aes(comparison, y = LOR, colour = outcome)) + 
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0, linetype = 2) + 
  geom_vline(xintercept = 0.6931472, linetype = 2, colour = "pink") +
  geom_vline(xintercept = -0.6931472, linetype = 2, colour = "pink") +
  stat_pointintervalh(aes(colour = outcome, fill = outcome), 
                      .width = c(0.5, 0.95),
                      position = position_dodge(0.5), 
                      point_colour = "grey26", pch = 21, stroke = 0.4) + 
  scale_colour_manual(values = cols) + 
  scale_fill_manual(values = cols) + 
  xlab("Effect size (posterior log odds ratio)") + ylab("Treatment (reference)") + 
  theme_bw() +
  theme(
    text = element_text(family = nice_font),
    panel.grid.major.y = element_blank(),
    legend.position = "none"
  ) 


p <- cowplot::plot_grid(plotlist = list(dot_plot, LOR_plot), labels = c("A", "B"),
                   nrow = 2, align = 'v', axis = 'l', rel_heights = c(1.4, 1))
ggsave(plot = p, filename = "figures/fig1.pdf", height = 7, width = 4.7)
p



Figure 1: Panel A shows the posterior estimate of the mean % bees staying inside the hive (left), leaving voluntarily (middle), or being forced out (right), in each of the four treatments. The quantile dot plot shows 100 approximately equally likely estimates of the true % bees, and the bars mark the median and the 50% and 95% credible intervals. Panel B gives the posterior estimates of the effect size of each treatment, relative to one of the ‘controls’ (the name of which appears in parentheses), and expressed as a log odds ratio (LOR). Positive LOR indicates that the % bees showing this particular outcome is higher in the treatment than the control, while negative LOR indicates higer % bees in the control. For example, we see that a higher % bees left voluntarily (green) or were forced out (orange) in the LPS treatment relative to the intact control, while the controls were more likely to stay inside the hive (blue). Estimates of LOR for which the 95% credible intervals do not overlap zero are statistically significant in the conventional sense. The dashed red lines indicate LOR = log(\(\pm\) 2), i.e. the point at which the odds are twice as high in one treatment as the other. The model used to derive this figure is described in Tables XX-XX.

Hypothesis testing and effect sizes

This section calculates the posterior difference in treatment group means, in order to perform some null hypothesis testing, calculate effect size, and calculate the 95% credible intervals on the effect size.

We regard both the “Intact control” treatment, and the “Ringers injection” treatment as control groups. The heat-treated LPS group was intended as a control, but post-hoc inspection of the results suggests that the heat-treated LPS had a similar effect on behaviour as did regular LPS (this might explain why heat-treated LPS is very seldom used as a control in insect studies). Therefore, we computed the effect sizes and “Bayesian p-values” (i.e. the fraction of the posterior difference in means that lies on the opposite side of zero from the median) for comparisons between each control and each LPS treatment. We do this three times, once for each of the 3 possible outcomes.

% bees exiting the hive

my_summary <- function(df, columns) {
  lapply(columns, function(x){

    p <- 1 - (df %>% pull(!! x) %>%
                bayestestR::p_direction() %>% as.numeric())

    df %>% pull(!! x) %>% posterior_summary() %>% as_tibble() %>%
      mutate(p=p) %>% mutate(Metric = x) %>% select(Metric, everything()) %>%
      mutate(` ` = ifelse(p < 0.1, "~", ""),
             ` ` = replace(` `, p < 0.05, "\\*"),
             ` ` = replace(` `, p < 0.01, "**"),
             ` ` = replace(` `, p < 0.001, "***"),
             ` ` = replace(` `, p == " ", ""))
  }) %>% do.call("rbind", .)
}


make_stats_table <- function(
  dat, groupA, groupB, comparison, 
  metric = "Absolute difference in % bees exiting the hive"){
  
  output <- dat %>%
    spread(treatment, prop) %>%
    mutate(
      metric_here = 100 * (!! enquo(groupA) - !! enquo(groupB)), 
      `Log odds ratio` = get_log_odds(!! enquo(groupB), !! enquo(groupA))) %>%   
    my_summary(c("metric_here", "Log odds ratio")) %>%
    mutate(p = c(" ", format(round(p[2], 4), nsmall = 4)),
           ` ` = c(" ", ` `[2]),
           Comparison = comparison) %>%
    select(Comparison, everything()) %>%
    mutate(Metric = replace(Metric, Metric == "metric_here", metric))
  
  names(output)[names(output) == "metric_here"] <- metric
  output 
}

stats_table <- rbind(
  stats_data %>%
    filter(outcome == "Stayed inside the hive") %>%
    make_stats_table(`Intact control`, `Heat-treated LPS`, "Heat-treated LPS (Intact control)"),
  
  stats_data %>%
    filter(outcome == "Stayed inside the hive") %>%
    make_stats_table(`Ringers`, `Heat-treated LPS`, "Heat-treated LPS (Ringers)"),
  
  stats_data %>%
    filter(outcome == "Stayed inside the hive") %>%
    make_stats_table(`Intact control`, `LPS`, "LPS (Intact control)"),
  
  stats_data %>%
    filter(outcome == "Stayed inside the hive") %>%
    make_stats_table(`Ringers`, `LPS`, "LPS (Ringers control)")
) %>% as_tibble()

stats_table[c(2,4,6,8), 1] <- " "

stats_table %>%
  kable(digits = 3) %>% kable_styling(full_width = FALSE) %>% 
  row_spec(c(0,2,4,6,8), extra_css = "border-bottom: solid;")
Comparison Metric Estimate Est.Error Q2.5 Q97.5 p
Heat-treated LPS (Intact control) Absolute difference in % bees exiting the hive 18.252 10.719 2.128 40.405
Log odds ratio 1.286 0.405 0.495 2.091 0.0021 **
Heat-treated LPS (Ringers) Absolute difference in % bees exiting the hive 10.520 9.660 -5.765 31.873
Log odds ratio 0.677 0.512 -0.370 1.685 0.0840 ~
LPS (Intact control) Absolute difference in % bees exiting the hive 17.269 10.862 1.887 42.029
Log odds ratio 1.233 0.458 0.377 2.205 0.0021 **
LPS (Ringers control) Absolute difference in % bees exiting the hive 9.538 9.871 -5.345 33.805
Log odds ratio 0.624 0.542 -0.328 1.823 0.1047

% bees that were forced out

stats_table2 <- rbind(
  stats_data %>%
    filter(outcome == "Forced out") %>%
    make_stats_table(`Intact control`, `Heat-treated LPS`, 
                     "Heat-treated LPS (Intact control)", 
                     metric = "Absolute difference in % bees that were forced out"),
  
  stats_data %>%
    filter(outcome == "Forced out") %>%
    make_stats_table(`Ringers`, `Heat-treated LPS`, 
                     "Heat-treated LPS (Ringers)", 
                     metric = "Absolute difference in % bees that were forced out"),
  
  stats_data %>%
    filter(outcome == "Forced out") %>%
    make_stats_table(`Intact control`, `LPS`, 
                     "LPS (Intact control)", 
                     metric = "Absolute difference in % bees that were forced out"),
  
  stats_data %>%
    filter(outcome == "Forced out") %>%
    make_stats_table(`Ringers`, `LPS`, 
                     "LPS (Ringers)", 
                     metric = "Absolute difference in % bees that were forced out")
) %>% as_tibble()

stats_table2[c(2,4,6,8), 1] <- " "

stats_table2 %>%
  kable(digits = 3) %>% kable_styling(full_width = FALSE) %>% 
  row_spec(c(0,2,4,6,8), extra_css = "border-bottom: solid;")
Comparison Metric Estimate Est.Error Q2.5 Q97.5 p
Heat-treated LPS (Intact control) Absolute difference in % bees that were forced out -12.381 10.494 -36.953 -0.321
Log odds ratio -1.185 0.445 -2.031 -0.285 0.0078 **
Heat-treated LPS (Ringers) Absolute difference in % bees that were forced out -7.884 7.865 -27.155 1.338
Log odds ratio -0.689 0.438 -1.534 0.183 0.0556 ~
LPS (Intact control) Absolute difference in % bees that were forced out -7.762 8.266 -28.688 0.831
Log odds ratio -0.795 0.484 -1.707 0.213 0.0535 ~
LPS (Ringers) Absolute difference in % bees that were forced out -3.265 6.309 -19.169 7.385
Log odds ratio -0.299 0.460 -1.175 0.643 0.2446

% bees that left voluntarily

stats_table3 <- rbind(
  stats_data %>%
    filter(outcome == "Left voluntarily") %>%
    make_stats_table(`Intact control`, `Heat-treated LPS`, 
                     "Heat-treated LPS (Intact control)", 
                     metric = "Absolute difference in % bees that left voluntarily"),
  
  stats_data %>%
    filter(outcome == "Left voluntarily") %>%
    make_stats_table(`Ringers`, `Heat-treated LPS`, 
                     "Heat-treated LPS (Ringers control)", 
                     metric = "Absolute difference in % bees that left voluntarily"),
  
  stats_data %>%
    filter(outcome == "Left voluntarily") %>%
    make_stats_table(`Intact control`, `LPS`, 
                     "LPS (Intact control)", 
                     metric = "Absolute difference in % bees that left voluntarily"),
  
  stats_data %>%
    filter(outcome == "Left voluntarily") %>%
    make_stats_table(`Ringers`, `LPS`, 
                     "LPS (Ringers)", 
                     metric = "Absolute difference in % bees that left voluntarily")
) %>% as_tibble()

stats_table3[c(2,4,6,8), 1] <- " "

stats_table3 %>%
  kable(digits = 3) %>% kable_styling(full_width = FALSE) %>% 
  row_spec(c(0,2,4,6,8), extra_css = "border-bottom: solid;")
Comparison Metric Estimate Est.Error Q2.5 Q97.5 p
Heat-treated LPS (Intact control) Absolute difference in % bees that left voluntarily -5.870 8.330 -30.993 0.477
Log odds ratio -1.068 0.665 -2.384 0.245 0.0546 ~
Heat-treated LPS (Ringers control) Absolute difference in % bees that left voluntarily -2.636 8.405 -25.565 11.877
Log odds ratio -0.487 0.941 -2.461 1.201 0.3086
LPS (Intact control) Absolute difference in % bees that left voluntarily -9.507 11.023 -40.613 -0.130
Log odds ratio -1.528 0.632 -2.771 -0.278 0.0091 **
LPS (Ringers) Absolute difference in % bees that left voluntarily -6.273 10.014 -35.002 5.239
Log odds ratio -0.947 0.905 -2.822 0.645 0.1396

sessionInfo()
R version 3.6.3 (2020-02-29)
Platform: x86_64-apple-darwin15.6.0 (64-bit)
Running under: macOS Catalina 10.15.4

Matrix products: default
BLAS:   /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/3.6/Resources/lib/libRblas.0.dylib
LAPACK: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/3.6/Resources/lib/libRlapack.dylib

locale:
[1] en_AU.UTF-8/en_AU.UTF-8/en_AU.UTF-8/C/en_AU.UTF-8/en_AU.UTF-8

attached base packages:
[1] stats     graphics  grDevices utils     datasets  methods   base     

other attached packages:
 [1] cowplot_1.0.0    tidybayes_2.0.1  bayestestR_0.5.1 kableExtra_1.1.0
 [5] gridExtra_2.3    forcats_0.5.0    stringr_1.4.0    dplyr_0.8.5     
 [9] purrr_0.3.3      readr_1.3.1      tidyr_1.0.2      tibble_3.0.0    
[13] ggplot2_3.3.0    tidyverse_1.3.0  bayesplot_1.7.1  brms_2.12.0     
[17] Rcpp_1.0.3       showtext_0.7-1   showtextdb_2.0   sysfonts_0.8    
[21] workflowr_1.6.0 

loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
  [1] colorspace_1.4-1     ellipsis_0.3.0       ggridges_0.5.2      
  [4] rsconnect_0.8.16     rprojroot_1.3-2      markdown_1.1        
  [7] base64enc_0.1-3      fs_1.3.1             rstudioapi_0.11     
 [10] farver_2.0.3         rstan_2.19.3         svUnit_0.7-12       
 [13] DT_0.13              fansi_0.4.1          mvtnorm_1.1-0       
 [16] lubridate_1.7.8      xml2_1.3.1           bridgesampling_1.0-0
 [19] knitr_1.28           shinythemes_1.1.2    jsonlite_1.6.1      
 [22] broom_0.5.4          dbplyr_1.4.2         shiny_1.4.0         
 [25] compiler_3.6.3       httr_1.4.1           backports_1.1.6     
 [28] assertthat_0.2.1     Matrix_1.2-18        fastmap_1.0.1       
 [31] cli_2.0.2            later_1.0.0          htmltools_0.4.0     
 [34] prettyunits_1.1.1    tools_3.6.3          igraph_1.2.5        
 [37] coda_0.19-3          gtable_0.3.0         glue_1.4.0          
 [40] reshape2_1.4.4       cellranger_1.1.0     vctrs_0.2.4         
 [43] nlme_3.1-147         crosstalk_1.1.0.1    insight_0.8.1       
 [46] xfun_0.13            ps_1.3.0             rvest_0.3.5         
 [49] mime_0.9             miniUI_0.1.1.1       lifecycle_0.2.0     
 [52] gtools_3.8.2         zoo_1.8-7            scales_1.1.0        
 [55] colourpicker_1.0     hms_0.5.3            promises_1.1.0      
 [58] Brobdingnag_1.2-6    parallel_3.6.3       inline_0.3.15       
 [61] RColorBrewer_1.1-2   shinystan_2.5.0      curl_4.3            
 [64] yaml_2.2.1           loo_2.2.0            StanHeaders_2.19.2  
 [67] stringi_1.4.6        highr_0.8            dygraphs_1.1.1.6    
 [70] pkgbuild_1.0.6       rlang_0.4.5          pkgconfig_2.0.3     
 [73] matrixStats_0.56.0   evaluate_0.14        lattice_0.20-41     
 [76] labeling_0.3         rstantools_2.0.0     htmlwidgets_1.5.1   
 [79] processx_3.4.2       tidyselect_1.0.0     plyr_1.8.6          
 [82] magrittr_1.5         R6_2.4.1             generics_0.0.2      
 [85] DBI_1.1.0            pillar_1.4.3         haven_2.2.0         
 [88] whisker_0.4          withr_2.1.2          xts_0.12-0          
 [91] abind_1.4-5          modelr_0.1.5         crayon_1.3.4        
 [94] arrayhelpers_1.1-0   utf8_1.1.4           rmarkdown_2.1       
 [97] grid_3.6.3           readxl_1.3.1         callr_3.4.3         
[100] git2r_0.26.1         threejs_0.3.3        reprex_0.3.0        
[103] digest_0.6.25        webshot_0.5.2        xtable_1.8-4        
[106] httpuv_1.5.2         stats4_3.6.3         munsell_0.5.0       
[109] viridisLite_0.3.0    shinyjs_1.1