Last updated: 2021-03-12
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Rmd | d441b69 | lukeholman | 2020-12-04 | Luke metabolites analysis |
Rmd | c8feb2d | lukeholman | 2020-11-30 | Same page with Martin |
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# it was slightly harder to install the showtext package. On Mac, I did this:
# installed 'homebrew' using Terminal: ruby -e "$(curl -fsSL https://raw.githubusercontent.com/Homebrew/install/master/install)"
# installed 'libpng' using Terminal: brew install libpng
# installed 'showtext' in R using: devtools::install_github("yixuan/showtext")
library(tidyverse)
library(GGally)
library(gridExtra)
library(ggridges)
library(brms)
library(tidybayes)
library(DT)
library(kableExtra)
library(knitrhooks) # install with devtools::install_github("nathaneastwood/knitrhooks")
library(showtext)
output_max_height() # a knitrhook option
# set up nice font for figure
nice_font <- "Lora"
font_add_google(name = nice_font, family = nice_font, regular.wt = 400, bold.wt = 700)
showtext_auto()
options(stringsAsFactors = FALSE)
This analysis set out to test whether sexual selection treatment had an effect on macro-metabolite composition of flies. We measured fresh and dry fly weight in milligrams, plus the concentrations of five metabolites. These are:
Lipid_conc
(i.e. the weight of the hexane fraction, divided by the full dry weight),Carbohydrate_conc
(i.e. the weight of the aqueous fraction, divided by the full dry weight),Protein_conc
(i.e. \(\mu\)g of protein per milligram as measured by the bicinchoninic acid protein assay),Glycogen_conc
(i.e. \(\mu\)g of glycogen per milligram as measured by the hexokinase assay), andChitin_conc
(estimated as the difference between the initial and final dry weights)We expect body weight to vary between the sexes and potentially between treatments. In turn, we expect body weight might co-vary with the five metabolite concentrations, e.g. because flies might become heavier by sequestering proportionally more of particular metabolites. There might also be weight-independent effects of sex and selection treatment on metabolite composition.
metabolites <- read_csv('data/3.metabolite_data.csv') %>%
mutate(sex = ifelse(sex == "m", "Male", "Female"),
line = paste(treatment, line, sep = ""),
treatment = ifelse(treatment == "M", "Monogamy", "Polyandry")) %>%
# log transform glycogen since it shows a long tail (others are reasonably normal-looking)
mutate(Glycogen_ug_mg = log(Glycogen_ug_mg)) %>%
# There was a technical error with flies collected on day 1,
# so they are excluded from the whole paper. All the measurements analysed are of 3d-old flies
filter(time == '2') %>%
select(-time)
scaled_metabolites <- metabolites %>%
# Find proportional metabolites as a proportion of total dry weight
mutate(
Dry_weight = dwt_mg,
Lipid_conc = Hex_frac / Dry_weight,
Carbohydrate_conc = Aq_frac / Dry_weight,
Protein_conc = Protein_ug_mg,
Glycogen_conc = Glycogen_ug_mg,
Chitin_conc = Chitin_mg_mg) %>%
select(sex, treatment, line, Dry_weight, ends_with("conc")) %>%
mutate_at(vars(ends_with("conc")), ~ as.numeric(scale(.x))) %>%
mutate(Dry_weight = as.numeric(scale(Dry_weight))) %>%
mutate(sextreat = paste(sex, treatment),
sextreat = replace(sextreat, sextreat == "Male Monogamy", "M males"),
sextreat = replace(sextreat, sextreat == "Male Polyandry", "E males"),
sextreat = replace(sextreat, sextreat == "Female Monogamy", "M females"),
sextreat = replace(sextreat, sextreat == "Female Polyandry", "E females"),
sextreat = factor(sextreat, c("M males", "E males", "M females", "E females")))
All variables are shown in standard units (i.e. mean = 0, SD = 1).
my_data_table <- function(df){
datatable(
df, rownames=FALSE,
autoHideNavigation = TRUE,
extensions = c("Scroller", "Buttons"),
options = list(
dom = 'Bfrtip',
deferRender=TRUE,
scrollX=TRUE, scrollY=400,
scrollCollapse=TRUE,
buttons =
list('csv', list(
extend = 'pdf',
pageSize = 'A4',
orientation = 'landscape',
filename = 'Dpseudo_metabolites')),
pageLength = 50
)
)
}
scaled_metabolites %>%
select(-sextreat) %>%
mutate_if(is.numeric, ~ format(round(.x, 3), nsmall = 3)) %>%
my_data_table()
The following plot shows how each metabolite varies between sexes and treatments, and how the concentration of each metabolite co-varies with dry weight across individuals.
levels <- c("Carbohydrate", "Chitin", "Glycogen", "Lipid", "Protein", "Dry weight")
cols <- c("M females" = "pink",
"E females" = "red",
"M males" = "skyblue",
"E males" = "blue")
grid.arrange(
scaled_metabolites %>%
rename_all(~ str_remove_all(.x, "_conc")) %>%
rename(`Dry weight` = Dry_weight) %>%
mutate(sex = factor(sex, c("Male", "Female"))) %>%
reshape2::melt(id.vars = c('sex', 'treatment', 'sextreat', 'line')) %>%
mutate(variable = factor(variable, levels)) %>%
ggplot(aes(x = sex, y = value, fill = sextreat)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = 2) +
geom_boxplot() +
facet_grid( ~ variable) +
theme_bw() +
xlab("Sex") + ylab("Concentration") +
theme(legend.position = 'top',
text = element_text(family = nice_font)) +
scale_fill_manual(values = cols, name = ""),
arrangeGrob(
scaled_metabolites %>%
rename_all(~ str_remove_all(.x, "_conc")) %>%
reshape2::melt(id.vars = c('sex', 'treatment', 'sextreat', 'line', 'Dry_weight')) %>%
mutate(variable = factor(variable, levels)) %>%
ggplot(aes(x = Dry_weight, y = value, colour = sextreat, fill = sextreat)) +
geom_smooth(method = 'lm', se = TRUE, aes(colour = NULL, fill = NULL), colour = "grey20", size = .4) +
geom_point(pch = 21, colour = "grey20") +
facet_grid( ~ variable) +
theme_bw() +
xlab("Dry weight") + ylab("Concentration") +
theme(legend.position = 'none',
text = element_text(family = nice_font),) +
scale_colour_manual(values = cols, name = "") +
scale_fill_manual(values = cols, name = ""),
scaled_metabolites %>%
rename_all(~ str_remove_all(.x, "_conc")) %>%
reshape2::melt(id.vars = c('sex', 'treatment', 'sextreat', 'line', 'Dry_weight')) %>%
mutate(variable = factor(variable, levels)) %>%
ggplot(aes(x = Dry_weight, y = value, colour = sextreat, fill = sextreat)) +
theme_void() + ylab(NULL), nrow = 1, widths = c(0.84, 0.16)),
heights = c(0.55, 0.45)
)
Some of the metabolites, especially lipid concentration, are correlated with dry weight. There is also a large difference in dry weight between sexes (and treatments, to a lesser extent), and sex and treatment effects are evident for some of the metabolites in the raw data. Some of the metabolites are weakly correlated with other metabolites, e.g. lipid and glycogen concentration.
modified_densityDiag <- function(data, mapping, ...) {
ggally_densityDiag(data, mapping, colour = "grey10", ...) +
scale_fill_manual(values = cols) +
scale_x_continuous(guide = guide_axis(check.overlap = TRUE))
}
modified_points <- function(data, mapping, ...) {
ggally_points(data, mapping, pch = 21, colour = "grey10", ...) +
scale_fill_manual(values = cols) +
scale_x_continuous(guide = guide_axis(check.overlap = TRUE))
}
modified_facetdensity <- function(data, mapping, ...) {
ggally_facetdensity(data, mapping, ...) +
scale_colour_manual(values = cols)
}
modified_box_no_facet <- function(data, mapping, ...) {
ggally_box_no_facet(data, mapping, colour = "grey10", ...) +
scale_fill_manual(values = cols)
}
metabolite_pairs_plot <- scaled_metabolites %>%
arrange(sex, treatment) %>%
select(-line, -sex, -treatment) %>%
rename(`Sex and treatment` = sextreat) %>%
rename_all(~ str_replace_all(.x, "_", " ")) %>%
ggpairs(aes(colour = `Sex and treatment`, fill = `Sex and treatment`),
diag = list(continuous = wrap(modified_densityDiag, alpha = 0.7),
discrete = wrap("blank")),
lower = list(continuous = wrap(modified_points, alpha = 0.7, size = 1.1),
discrete = wrap("blank"),
combo = wrap(modified_box_no_facet, alpha = 0.7)),
upper = list(continuous = wrap(modified_points, alpha = 0.7, size = 1.1),
discrete = wrap("blank"),
combo = wrap(modified_box_no_facet, alpha = 0.7, size = 0.5)))
#metabolite_pairs_plot %>% ggsave(filename = "figures/metabolite_pairs_plot.pdf", height = 10, width = 10)
metabolite_pairs_plot
se <- function(x) sd(x) / sqrt(length(x))
metabolites %>%
group_by(sex, treatment) %>%
summarise(mean_dwt = mean(dwt_mg),
SE = se(dwt_mg),
n = n()) %>%
kable(digits = 3) %>% kable_styling(full_width = FALSE)
sex | treatment | mean_dwt | SE | n |
---|---|---|---|---|
Female | Monogamy | 0.562 | 0.019 | 12 |
Female | Polyandry | 0.644 | 0.017 | 12 |
Male | Monogamy | 0.330 | 0.009 | 12 |
Male | Polyandry | 0.353 | 0.009 | 12 |
This directed acyclic graph (DAG) illustrates the causal pathways that we observed between the experimental or measured variables (square boxes) and latent variables (ovals). We hypothesise that sex and mating system potentially influence dry weight as well as the metabolite composition (which we assessed by estimating the concentrations of carbohydrates, chitin, glycogen, lipids and protein). Additionally, dry weight is likely correlated with metabolite composition, and so dry weight acts as a ‘mediator variable’ between metabolite composition, and sex and treatment. The structural equation model below is built with this DAG in mind.
DiagrammeR::grViz('digraph {
graph [layout = dot, rankdir = LR]
# define the global styles of the nodes. We can override these in box if we wish
node [shape = rectangle, style = filled, fillcolor = Linen]
"Metabolite\ncomposition" [shape = oval, fillcolor = Beige]
# edge definitions with the node IDs
"Mating system\ntreatment (E vs M)" -> {"Dry weight"}
"Mating system\ntreatment (E vs M)" -> {"Metabolite\ncomposition"}
"Sex\n(Female vs Male)" -> {"Dry weight"} -> {"Metabolite\ncomposition"}
"Sex\n(Female vs Male)" -> {"Metabolite\ncomposition"}
{"Metabolite\ncomposition"} -> "Carbohydrates"
{"Metabolite\ncomposition"} -> "Chitin"
{"Metabolite\ncomposition"} -> "Glycogen"
{"Metabolite\ncomposition"} -> "Lipids"
{"Metabolite\ncomposition"} -> "Protein"
}')
brms
structural equation modelHere we fit a model of the five metabolites, which includes dry body weight as a mediator variable. That is, our model estimates the effect of treatment, sex and line (and all the 2- and 3-way interactions) on dry weight, and then estimates the effect of those some predictors (plus dry weight) on the five metabolites. The model assumes that although the different sexes, treatment groups, and lines may differ in their dry weight, the relationship between dry weight and the metabolites does not vary by sex/treatment/line. This assumption was made to constrain the number of parameters in the model, and to reflect out prior beliefs about allometric scaling of metabolites.
We set fairly tight Normal priors on all fixed effect parameters, which ‘regularises’ the estimates towards zero – this is conservative (because it ensures that a stronger signal in the data is needed to produce a given posterior effect size estimate), and it also helps the model to converge. Similarly, we set a somewhat conservative half-cauchy prior (mean 0, scale 0.01) on the random effects for line
(i.e. we consider large differences between lines – in terms of means and treatment effects – to be possible but improbable). We leave all other priors at the defaults used by brms
. Note that the Normal priors are slightly wider in the model of dry weight, because we expect larger effect sizes of sex and treatment on dry weight than on the metabolite composition.
prior1 <- c(set_prior("normal(0, 0.5)", class = "b", resp = 'Lipid'),
set_prior("normal(0, 0.5)", class = "b", resp = 'Carbohydrate'),
set_prior("normal(0, 0.5)", class = "b", resp = 'Protein'),
set_prior("normal(0, 0.5)", class = "b", resp = 'Glycogen'),
set_prior("normal(0, 0.5)", class = "b", resp = 'Chitin'),
set_prior("normal(0, 1)", class = "b", resp = 'Dryweight'),
set_prior("cauchy(0, 0.01)", class = "sd", resp = 'Lipid', group = "line"),
set_prior("cauchy(0, 0.01)", class = "sd", resp = 'Carbohydrate', group = "line"),
set_prior("cauchy(0, 0.01)", class = "sd", resp = 'Protein', group = "line"),
set_prior("cauchy(0, 0.01)", class = "sd", resp = 'Glycogen', group = "line"),
set_prior("cauchy(0, 0.01)", class = "sd", resp = 'Chitin', group = "line"),
set_prior("cauchy(0, 0.01)", class = "sd", resp = 'Dryweight', group = "line"))
prior1
prior class coef group resp dpar nlpar bound source normal(0, 0.5) b Lipid user normal(0, 0.5) b Carbohydrate user normal(0, 0.5) b Protein user normal(0, 0.5) b Glycogen user normal(0, 0.5) b Chitin user normal(0, 1) b Dryweight user cauchy(0, 0.01) sd line Lipid user cauchy(0, 0.01) sd line Carbohydrate user cauchy(0, 0.01) sd line Protein user cauchy(0, 0.01) sd line Glycogen user cauchy(0, 0.01) sd line Chitin user cauchy(0, 0.01) sd line Dryweight user
The fixed effects formula is sex * treatment + Dryweight
(or sex * treatment
in the case of the model of dry weight). The random effects part of the formula indicates that the 8 independent selection lines may differ in their means, and that the treatment effect may vary in sign/magnitude between lines. The notation | p |
means that the model estimates the correlations in line effects (both slopes and intercepts) between the 6 response variables. Finally, the notation set_rescor(TRUE)
means that the model should estimate the residual correlations between the response variables.
brms_formula <-
# Sub-models of the 5 metabolites
bf(mvbind(Lipid, Carbohydrate, Protein, Glycogen, Chitin) ~
sex*treatment + Dryweight + (treatment | p | line)) +
# dry weight sub-model
bf(Dryweight ~ sex*treatment + (treatment | p | line)) +
# Allow for (and estimate) covariance between the residuals of the difference response variables
set_rescor(TRUE)
brms_formula
Lipid ~ sex * treatment + Dryweight + (treatment | p | line) Carbohydrate ~ sex * treatment + Dryweight + (treatment | p | line) Protein ~ sex * treatment + Dryweight + (treatment | p | line) Glycogen ~ sex * treatment + Dryweight + (treatment | p | line) Chitin ~ sex * treatment + Dryweight + (treatment | p | line) Dryweight ~ sex * treatment + (treatment | p | line)
The model is run over 4 chains with 5000 iterations each (with the first 2500 discarded as burn-in), for a total of 2500*4 = 10,000 posterior samples.
if(!file.exists("output/brms_metabolite_SEM.rds")){
brms_metabolite_SEM <- brm(
brms_formula,
data = scaled_metabolites %>% # brms does not like underscores in variable names
rename(Dryweight = Dry_weight) %>%
rename_all(~ gsub("_conc", "", .x)),
iter = 5000, chains = 4, cores = 1,
prior = prior1,
control = list(max_treedepth = 20,
adapt_delta = 0.99)
)
saveRDS(brms_metabolite_SEM, "output/brms_metabolite_SEM.rds")
} else {
brms_metabolite_SEM <- readRDS('output/brms_metabolite_SEM.rds')
}
The plot below shows that the fitted model is able to produce posterior predictions that have a similar distribution to the original data, for each of the response variables, which is a necessary condition for the model to be used for statistical inference.
grid.arrange(
pp_check(brms_metabolite_SEM, resp = "Dryweight") +
ggtitle("Dry weight") + theme(legend.position = "none"),
pp_check(brms_metabolite_SEM, resp = "Lipid") +
ggtitle("Lipid") + theme(legend.position = "none"),
pp_check(brms_metabolite_SEM, resp = "Carbohydrate") +
ggtitle("Carbohydrate") + theme(legend.position = "none"),
pp_check(brms_metabolite_SEM, resp = "Protein") +
ggtitle("Protein") + theme(legend.position = "none"),
pp_check(brms_metabolite_SEM, resp = "Glycogen") +
ggtitle("Glycogen") + theme(legend.position = "none"),
pp_check(brms_metabolite_SEM, resp = "Chitin") +
ggtitle("Chitin") + theme(legend.position = "none"),
nrow = 2
)
This tables shows the fixed effects estimates for treatment, sex, their interaction, as well as the slope associated with dry weight (where relevant), for each of the six response variables. The p
column shows 1 - minus the “probability of direction”, i.e. the posterior probability that the reported sign of the estimate is correct given the data and the prior; subtracting this value from one gives a Bayesian equivalent of a one-sided p-value. For brevity, we have omitted all the parameter estimates involving the predictor variable line
, as well as the estimates of residual (co)variance. Click the next tab to see a complete summary of the model and its output.
vars <- c("Lipid", "Carbohydrate", "Glycogen", "Protein", "Chitin")
tests <- c('_Dryweight', '_sexMale',
'_sexMale:treatmentPolyandry',
'_treatmentPolyandry')
hypSEM <- data.frame(expand_grid(vars, tests) %>%
mutate(est = NA,
err = NA,
lwr = NA,
upr = NA) %>%
# bind body weight on the end
rbind(data.frame(
vars = rep('Dryweight', 3),
tests = c('_sexMale',
'_treatmentPolyandry',
'_sexMale:treatmentPolyandry'),
est = NA,
err = NA,
lwr = NA,
upr = NA)))
for(i in 1:nrow(hypSEM)) {
result = hypothesis(brms_metabolite_SEM,
paste0(hypSEM[i, 1], hypSEM[i, 2], ' = 0'))$hypothesis
hypSEM[i, 3] = round(result$Estimate, 3)
hypSEM[i, 4] = round(result$Est.Error, 3)
hypSEM[i, 5] = round(result$CI.Lower, 3)
hypSEM[i, 6] = round(result$CI.Upper, 3)
}
pvals <- bayestestR::p_direction(brms_metabolite_SEM) %>%
as.data.frame() %>%
mutate(vars = map_chr(str_split(Parameter, "_"), ~ .x[2]),
tests = map_chr(str_split(Parameter, "_"), ~ .x[3]),
tests = str_c("_", str_remove_all(tests, "[.]")),
tests = replace(tests, tests == "_sexMaletreatmentPolyandry", "_sexMale:treatmentPolyandry")) %>%
filter(!str_detect(tests, "line")) %>%
mutate(p_val = 1 - pd, star = ifelse(p_val < 0.05, "\\*", "")) %>%
select(vars, tests, p_val, star)
hypSEM <- hypSEM %>% left_join(pvals, by = c("vars", "tests"))
hypSEM %>%
mutate(Parameter = c(rep(c('Dry weight', 'Sex (M)',
'Sex (M) x Treatment (E)',
'Treatment (E)'), 5),
'Sex (M)', 'Treatment (E)', 'Sex (M) x Treatment (E)')) %>%
mutate(Parameter = factor(Parameter, c("Dry weight", "Sex (M)", "Treatment (E)", "Sex (M) x Treatment (E)")),
vars = factor(vars, c("Carbohydrate", "Chitin", "Glycogen", "Lipid", "Protein", "Dryweight"))) %>%
arrange(vars, Parameter) %>%
select(Parameter, Estimate = est, `Est. error` = err,
`CI lower` = lwr, `CI upper` = upr, `p` = p_val, star) %>%
rename(` ` = star) %>%
kable() %>%
kable_styling(full_width = FALSE) %>%
group_rows("Carbohydrates", 1, 4) %>%
group_rows("Chitin", 5, 8) %>%
group_rows("Glycogen", 9, 12) %>%
group_rows("Lipids", 13, 16) %>%
group_rows("Protein", 17, 20) %>%
group_rows("Dry weight", 21, 23)
Parameter | Estimate | Est. error | CI lower | CI upper | p | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carbohydrates | ||||||
Dry weight | 0.105 | 0.269 | -0.419 | 0.622 | 0.3516 | |
Sex (M) | 0.024 | 0.427 | -0.812 | 0.864 | 0.4771 | |
Treatment (E) | -0.246 | 0.302 | -0.832 | 0.348 | 0.2074 | |
Sex (M) x Treatment (E) | -0.414 | 0.347 | -1.090 | 0.263 | 0.1172 | |
Chitin | ||||||
Dry weight | -0.486 | 0.260 | -0.995 | 0.023 | 0.0314 | * |
Sex (M) | 0.399 | 0.420 | -0.435 | 1.206 | 0.1699 | |
Treatment (E) | -0.113 | 0.285 | -0.673 | 0.453 | 0.3405 | |
Sex (M) x Treatment (E) | -0.317 | 0.328 | -0.957 | 0.320 | 0.1663 | |
Glycogen | ||||||
Dry weight | 0.332 | 0.267 | -0.180 | 0.850 | 0.1096 | |
Sex (M) | -0.267 | 0.427 | -1.096 | 0.567 | 0.2652 | |
Treatment (E) | 0.220 | 0.296 | -0.367 | 0.787 | 0.2244 | |
Sex (M) x Treatment (E) | 0.387 | 0.351 | -0.297 | 1.066 | 0.1395 | |
Lipids | ||||||
Dry weight | 0.539 | 0.254 | 0.041 | 1.029 | 0.0171 | * |
Sex (M) | -0.119 | 0.411 | -0.926 | 0.680 | 0.3825 | |
Treatment (E) | 0.389 | 0.276 | -0.156 | 0.919 | 0.0774 | |
Sex (M) x Treatment (E) | -0.050 | 0.313 | -0.672 | 0.555 | 0.4372 | |
Protein | ||||||
Dry weight | -0.206 | 0.275 | -0.742 | 0.340 | 0.2252 | |
Sex (M) | -0.011 | 0.435 | -0.858 | 0.850 | 0.4844 | |
Treatment (E) | -0.216 | 0.306 | -0.818 | 0.378 | 0.2414 | |
Sex (M) x Treatment (E) | 0.352 | 0.361 | -0.347 | 1.057 | 0.1667 | |
Dry weight | ||||||
Sex (M) | -1.614 | 0.143 | -1.895 | -1.334 | 0.0000 | * |
Treatment (E) | 0.525 | 0.155 | 0.218 | 0.827 | 0.0006 | * |
Sex (M) x Treatment (E) | -0.354 | 0.196 | -0.733 | 0.035 | 0.0378 | * |
summary.brmsfit()
sd(Lipid_Intercept)
) and slopes (e.g. sd(Dryweight_treatmentPolyandry)
), as well as the correlations between these effects (e.g. cor(Lipid_Intercept,Protein_Intercept)
is the correlation in line effects on lipids and proteins)Note that the model has converged (Rhat = 1) and the posterior is adequately samples (high ESS values).
brms_metabolite_SEM
Family: MV(gaussian, gaussian, gaussian, gaussian, gaussian, gaussian) Links: mu = identity; sigma = identity mu = identity; sigma = identity mu = identity; sigma = identity mu = identity; sigma = identity mu = identity; sigma = identity mu = identity; sigma = identity Formula: Lipid ~ sex * treatment + Dryweight + (treatment | p | line) Carbohydrate ~ sex * treatment + Dryweight + (treatment | p | line) Protein ~ sex * treatment + Dryweight + (treatment | p | line) Glycogen ~ sex * treatment + Dryweight + (treatment | p | line) Chitin ~ sex * treatment + Dryweight + (treatment | p | line) Dryweight ~ sex * treatment + (treatment | p | line) Data: scaled_metabolites %>% rename(Dryweight = Dry_weig (Number of observations: 48) Samples: 4 chains, each with iter = 5000; warmup = 2500; thin = 1; total post-warmup samples = 10000 Group-Level Effects: ~line (Number of levels: 8) Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS sd(Lipid_Intercept) 0.09 0.15 0.00 0.52 1.00 1855 2733 sd(Lipid_treatmentPolyandry) 0.03 0.07 0.00 0.24 1.00 8128 4958 sd(Carbohydrate_Intercept) 0.07 0.14 0.00 0.49 1.00 3043 2670 sd(Carbohydrate_treatmentPolyandry) 0.05 0.13 0.00 0.43 1.00 5937 3170 sd(Protein_Intercept) 0.05 0.11 0.00 0.43 1.00 4709 2722 sd(Protein_treatmentPolyandry) 0.03 0.07 0.00 0.20 1.00 11030 5733 sd(Glycogen_Intercept) 0.03 0.07 0.00 0.22 1.00 8668 4932 sd(Glycogen_treatmentPolyandry) 0.03 0.06 0.00 0.18 1.00 10665 4948 sd(Chitin_Intercept) 0.07 0.12 0.00 0.44 1.00 3539 3474 sd(Chitin_treatmentPolyandry) 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.35 1.00 6341 3872 sd(Dryweight_Intercept) 0.05 0.07 0.00 0.25 1.00 2761 4938 sd(Dryweight_treatmentPolyandry) 0.03 0.05 0.00 0.17 1.00 8009 5976 cor(Lipid_Intercept,Lipid_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.52 1.00 13085 6894 cor(Lipid_Intercept,Carbohydrate_Intercept) 0.01 0.27 -0.52 0.54 1.00 13834 6815 cor(Lipid_treatmentPolyandry,Carbohydrate_Intercept) 0.00 0.27 -0.52 0.53 1.00 9816 7196 cor(Lipid_Intercept,Carbohydrate_treatmentPolyandry) -0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 13922 7281 cor(Lipid_treatmentPolyandry,Carbohydrate_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.55 1.00 12566 7569 cor(Carbohydrate_Intercept,Carbohydrate_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.54 0.53 1.00 11563 7714 cor(Lipid_Intercept,Protein_Intercept) 0.00 0.28 -0.52 0.54 1.00 13637 6712 cor(Lipid_treatmentPolyandry,Protein_Intercept) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 11022 7065 cor(Carbohydrate_Intercept,Protein_Intercept) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 10145 7426 cor(Carbohydrate_treatmentPolyandry,Protein_Intercept) -0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 9156 6841 cor(Lipid_Intercept,Protein_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.54 1.00 15294 6636 cor(Lipid_treatmentPolyandry,Protein_treatmentPolyandry) -0.00 0.27 -0.53 0.52 1.00 12057 6512 cor(Carbohydrate_Intercept,Protein_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 10481 7316 cor(Carbohydrate_treatmentPolyandry,Protein_treatmentPolyandry) -0.01 0.28 -0.54 0.53 1.00 9051 7446 cor(Protein_Intercept,Protein_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.54 1.00 8856 7479 cor(Lipid_Intercept,Glycogen_Intercept) 0.01 0.28 -0.52 0.54 1.00 14706 7112 cor(Lipid_treatmentPolyandry,Glycogen_Intercept) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.54 1.00 12127 7024 cor(Carbohydrate_Intercept,Glycogen_Intercept) 0.00 0.27 -0.52 0.54 1.00 11292 6363 cor(Carbohydrate_treatmentPolyandry,Glycogen_Intercept) -0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 9910 7085 cor(Protein_Intercept,Glycogen_Intercept) -0.00 0.28 -0.54 0.54 1.00 8748 7275 cor(Protein_treatmentPolyandry,Glycogen_Intercept) -0.00 0.28 -0.54 0.52 1.00 7251 7812 cor(Lipid_Intercept,Glycogen_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.54 1.00 15138 7138 cor(Lipid_treatmentPolyandry,Glycogen_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.27 -0.51 0.53 1.00 12441 7367 cor(Carbohydrate_Intercept,Glycogen_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.27 -0.52 0.54 1.00 10449 7529 cor(Carbohydrate_treatmentPolyandry,Glycogen_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.54 1.00 9418 7092 cor(Protein_Intercept,Glycogen_treatmentPolyandry) -0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.54 1.00 8620 7282 cor(Protein_treatmentPolyandry,Glycogen_treatmentPolyandry) -0.00 0.27 -0.53 0.52 1.00 7272 6969 cor(Glycogen_Intercept,Glycogen_treatmentPolyandry) -0.00 0.28 -0.54 0.53 1.00 6255 7043 cor(Lipid_Intercept,Chitin_Intercept) -0.00 0.28 -0.54 0.54 1.00 13268 7280 cor(Lipid_treatmentPolyandry,Chitin_Intercept) -0.00 0.27 -0.53 0.52 1.00 11731 7629 cor(Carbohydrate_Intercept,Chitin_Intercept) -0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.54 1.00 10469 7643 cor(Carbohydrate_treatmentPolyandry,Chitin_Intercept) -0.01 0.28 -0.54 0.52 1.00 8100 7306 cor(Protein_Intercept,Chitin_Intercept) 0.00 0.28 -0.52 0.54 1.00 8134 8168 cor(Protein_treatmentPolyandry,Chitin_Intercept) -0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 8115 7497 cor(Glycogen_Intercept,Chitin_Intercept) 0.01 0.28 -0.53 0.54 1.00 7361 8201 cor(Glycogen_treatmentPolyandry,Chitin_Intercept) -0.01 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 6437 8302 cor(Lipid_Intercept,Chitin_treatmentPolyandry) -0.01 0.28 -0.54 0.53 1.00 13334 7468 cor(Lipid_treatmentPolyandry,Chitin_treatmentPolyandry) -0.00 0.27 -0.52 0.53 1.00 13046 7663 cor(Carbohydrate_Intercept,Chitin_treatmentPolyandry) -0.00 0.28 -0.54 0.53 1.00 10428 7286 cor(Carbohydrate_treatmentPolyandry,Chitin_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.54 1.00 9408 7132 cor(Protein_Intercept,Chitin_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 8664 7507 cor(Protein_treatmentPolyandry,Chitin_treatmentPolyandry) -0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 8111 7681 cor(Glycogen_Intercept,Chitin_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.54 0.53 1.00 6966 8175 cor(Glycogen_treatmentPolyandry,Chitin_treatmentPolyandry) -0.00 0.28 -0.54 0.54 1.00 6497 7897 cor(Chitin_Intercept,Chitin_treatmentPolyandry) -0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.54 1.00 6219 7985 cor(Lipid_Intercept,Dryweight_Intercept) -0.01 0.28 -0.52 0.52 1.00 13442 7316 cor(Lipid_treatmentPolyandry,Dryweight_Intercept) -0.00 0.28 -0.54 0.54 1.00 10824 7108 cor(Carbohydrate_Intercept,Dryweight_Intercept) 0.00 0.28 -0.52 0.52 1.00 9437 6945 cor(Carbohydrate_treatmentPolyandry,Dryweight_Intercept) 0.01 0.27 -0.51 0.53 1.00 8050 8002 cor(Protein_Intercept,Dryweight_Intercept) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 8664 7933 cor(Protein_treatmentPolyandry,Dryweight_Intercept) -0.00 0.28 -0.54 0.52 1.00 7988 7892 cor(Glycogen_Intercept,Dryweight_Intercept) -0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 7131 8108 cor(Glycogen_treatmentPolyandry,Dryweight_Intercept) -0.01 0.28 -0.54 0.53 1.00 6788 7768 cor(Chitin_Intercept,Dryweight_Intercept) -0.01 0.28 -0.55 0.52 1.00 6101 7577 cor(Chitin_treatmentPolyandry,Dryweight_Intercept) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.54 1.00 5527 7602 cor(Lipid_Intercept,Dryweight_treatmentPolyandry) 0.01 0.28 -0.53 0.55 1.00 12880 7422 cor(Lipid_treatmentPolyandry,Dryweight_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.27 -0.53 0.52 1.00 12106 7046 cor(Carbohydrate_Intercept,Dryweight_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 10910 7333 cor(Carbohydrate_treatmentPolyandry,Dryweight_treatmentPolyandry) 0.01 0.28 -0.52 0.54 1.00 8704 7439 cor(Protein_Intercept,Dryweight_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.54 0.54 1.00 8369 7795 cor(Protein_treatmentPolyandry,Dryweight_treatmentPolyandry) -0.00 0.28 -0.52 0.53 1.00 7772 7856 cor(Glycogen_Intercept,Dryweight_treatmentPolyandry) -0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 7041 7735 cor(Glycogen_treatmentPolyandry,Dryweight_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.53 0.53 1.00 6473 7736 cor(Chitin_Intercept,Dryweight_treatmentPolyandry) -0.01 0.28 -0.53 0.54 1.00 6425 7813 cor(Chitin_treatmentPolyandry,Dryweight_treatmentPolyandry) -0.00 0.27 -0.53 0.52 1.00 5625 7451 cor(Dryweight_Intercept,Dryweight_treatmentPolyandry) 0.00 0.28 -0.54 0.54 1.00 5710 7350 Population-Level Effects: Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS Lipid_Intercept -0.12 0.24 -0.59 0.36 1.00 6932 7152 Carbohydrate_Intercept 0.22 0.27 -0.32 0.76 1.00 8961 7440 Protein_Intercept 0.02 0.28 -0.53 0.56 1.00 9467 8065 Glycogen_Intercept -0.07 0.26 -0.58 0.45 1.00 9134 7728 Chitin_Intercept -0.06 0.25 -0.55 0.44 1.00 7653 8105 Dryweight_Intercept 0.63 0.11 0.42 0.85 1.00 7256 7086 Lipid_sexMale -0.12 0.41 -0.93 0.68 1.00 5583 6918 Lipid_treatmentPolyandry 0.39 0.28 -0.16 0.92 1.00 6242 6327 Lipid_Dryweight 0.54 0.25 0.04 1.03 1.00 4680 6226 Lipid_sexMale:treatmentPolyandry -0.05 0.31 -0.67 0.55 1.00 7546 6786 Carbohydrate_sexMale 0.02 0.43 -0.81 0.86 1.00 7608 7494 Carbohydrate_treatmentPolyandry -0.25 0.30 -0.83 0.35 1.00 8609 7096 Carbohydrate_Dryweight 0.10 0.27 -0.42 0.62 1.00 6376 6979 Carbohydrate_sexMale:treatmentPolyandry -0.41 0.35 -1.09 0.26 1.00 8926 7472 Protein_sexMale -0.01 0.44 -0.86 0.85 1.00 6467 7640 Protein_treatmentPolyandry -0.22 0.31 -0.82 0.38 1.00 8496 7777 Protein_Dryweight -0.21 0.27 -0.74 0.34 1.00 5492 7121 Protein_sexMale:treatmentPolyandry 0.35 0.36 -0.35 1.06 1.00 9640 7873 Glycogen_sexMale -0.27 0.43 -1.10 0.57 1.00 6445 7335 Glycogen_treatmentPolyandry 0.22 0.30 -0.37 0.79 1.00 8260 7660 Glycogen_Dryweight 0.33 0.27 -0.18 0.85 1.00 5430 6925 Glycogen_sexMale:treatmentPolyandry 0.39 0.35 -0.30 1.07 1.00 9674 8182 Chitin_sexMale 0.40 0.42 -0.43 1.21 1.00 5956 7056 Chitin_treatmentPolyandry -0.11 0.28 -0.67 0.45 1.00 7677 7040 Chitin_Dryweight -0.49 0.26 -1.00 0.02 1.00 5296 6576 Chitin_sexMale:treatmentPolyandry -0.32 0.33 -0.96 0.32 1.00 8787 7616 Dryweight_sexMale -1.61 0.14 -1.90 -1.33 1.00 6937 6906 Dryweight_treatmentPolyandry 0.53 0.16 0.22 0.83 1.00 6826 6910 Dryweight_sexMale:treatmentPolyandry -0.35 0.20 -0.73 0.03 1.00 6057 6748 Family Specific Parameters: Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS sigma_Lipid 0.74 0.09 0.58 0.94 1.00 6443 7012 sigma_Carbohydrate 1.00 0.11 0.80 1.25 1.00 8636 7372 sigma_Protein 1.02 0.12 0.82 1.29 1.00 9523 6888 sigma_Glycogen 0.95 0.11 0.76 1.19 1.00 11707 7446 sigma_Chitin 0.84 0.10 0.67 1.06 1.00 7464 7642 sigma_Dryweight 0.36 0.04 0.29 0.46 1.00 9207 7629 Residual Correlations: Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS rescor(Lipid,Carbohydrate) -0.33 0.14 -0.59 -0.04 1.00 5091 6469 rescor(Lipid,Protein) -0.06 0.15 -0.35 0.23 1.00 9533 7092 rescor(Carbohydrate,Protein) 0.04 0.15 -0.25 0.32 1.00 10144 7494 rescor(Lipid,Glycogen) 0.04 0.15 -0.26 0.32 1.00 6330 6923 rescor(Carbohydrate,Glycogen) -0.01 0.15 -0.30 0.28 1.00 10140 6808 rescor(Protein,Glycogen) -0.14 0.14 -0.41 0.15 1.00 8731 7742 rescor(Lipid,Chitin) -0.06 0.15 -0.35 0.23 1.00 7493 7682 rescor(Carbohydrate,Chitin) -0.42 0.13 -0.64 -0.15 1.00 9009 6900 rescor(Protein,Chitin) 0.07 0.15 -0.22 0.35 1.00 8593 7175 rescor(Glycogen,Chitin) -0.03 0.15 -0.32 0.26 1.00 8371 7499 rescor(Lipid,Dryweight) 0.16 0.18 -0.21 0.49 1.00 5252 6335 rescor(Carbohydrate,Dryweight) -0.00 0.18 -0.35 0.34 1.00 6169 7470 rescor(Protein,Dryweight) -0.04 0.17 -0.38 0.30 1.00 5852 7018 rescor(Glycogen,Dryweight) 0.01 0.18 -0.33 0.35 1.00 5373 6886 rescor(Chitin,Dryweight) 0.26 0.18 -0.10 0.58 1.00 4795 7120 Samples were drawn using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).
Here, we use the model to predict the mean concentration of each metabolite (in standard units) in each treatment and sex (averaged across the eight replicate selection lines). We then calculate the effect size of treatment by subtracting the (sex-specific) mean for the M treatment from the mean for the E treatment; thus a value of 1 would mean that the E treatment has a mean that is larger by 1 standard deviation. Thus, the y-axis in the following graphs essentially shows the posterior estimate of standardised effect size (Cohen’s d), from the model shown above.
Because the model contains dry weight as a mediator variable, we created these predictions two different ways, and display the answer for both using tabs in the following figures/tables. Firstly, we predicted the means controlling for differences in dry weight between sexes and treatments; this was done by deriving the predictions with dry weight set to its global mean, for both sexes and treatments. Secondly, we derived predictions without controlling for dry weight. This was done by deriving the predictions with dry weight set to its average value for the appropriate treatment-sex combination.
By clicking the tabs and comparing, one can see that the estimates of the treatment effect hardly change when differences in dry weight are controlled for. This indicates that dry mass does not have an important role in mediating the effect of treatment on metabolite composition, even though body size differs between treatments. Thus, we conclude that the M vs E treatments caused metabolite composition to evolve, through mechanisms other than the evolution of dry weight.
new <- expand_grid(sex = c("Male", "Female"),
treatment = c("Monogamy", "Polyandry"),
Dryweight = NA, line = NA) %>%
mutate(type = 1:n())
levels <- c("Carbohydrate", "Chitin", "Glycogen", "Lipid", "Protein", "Dryweight")
# Estimate mean dry weight for each of the 4 sex/treatment combinations
evolved_mean_dryweights <- data.frame(
new[,1:2],
fitted(brms_metabolite_SEM, re_formula = NA,
newdata = new %>% select(-Dryweight),
summary = TRUE, resp = "Dryweight")) %>%
as_tibble()
# Find the mean dry weight for males and females (across treatments)
male_dryweight <- mean(evolved_mean_dryweights$Estimate[1:2])
female_dryweight <- mean(evolved_mean_dryweights$Estimate[3:4])
new_metabolites <- bind_rows(
expand_grid(sex = c("Male", "Female"),
treatment = c("Monogamy", "Polyandry"),
Dryweight = c(male_dryweight, female_dryweight), line = NA) %>%
filter(sex == "Male" & Dryweight == male_dryweight |
sex == "Female" & Dryweight == female_dryweight) %>%
mutate(type = 1:4),
evolved_mean_dryweights %>% select(sex, treatment, Dryweight = Estimate) %>%
mutate(line = NA, type = 5:8)
)
# Predict data from the SEM of metabolites...
# Because we use sum contrasts for "line" and line=NA in the new data,
# this function predicts at the global means across the 4 lines (see ?posterior_epred)
fitted_values <- posterior_epred(
brms_metabolite_SEM, newdata = new_metabolites, re_formula = NA,
summary = FALSE, resp = c("Carbohydrate", "Chitin", "Glycogen", "Lipid", "Protein")) %>%
reshape2::melt() %>% rename(draw = Var1, type = Var2, variable = Var3) %>%
as_tibble() %>%
left_join(new_metabolites, by = "type") %>%
select(draw, variable, value, sex, treatment, Dryweight) %>%
mutate(variable = factor(variable, levels))
treat_diff_standard_dryweight <- fitted_values %>%
filter(Dryweight %in% c(male_dryweight, female_dryweight)) %>%
spread(treatment, value) %>%
mutate(`Difference in means (Poly - Mono)` = Polyandry - Monogamy)
treat_diff_actual_dryweight <- fitted_values %>%
filter(!(Dryweight %in% c(male_dryweight, female_dryweight))) %>%
select(-Dryweight) %>%
spread(treatment, value) %>%
mutate(`Difference in means (Poly - Mono)` = Polyandry - Monogamy)
summary_dat1 <- treat_diff_actual_dryweight %>%
filter(variable != 'Dryweight') %>%
rename(x = `Difference in means (Poly - Mono)`) %>%
group_by(variable, sex) %>%
summarise(`Difference in means (Poly - Mono)` = median(x),
`Lower 95% CI` = quantile(x, probs = 0.025),
`Upper 95% CI` = quantile(x, probs = 0.975),
p = 1 - as.numeric(bayestestR::p_direction(x)),
` ` = ifelse(p < 0.05, "\\*", ""),
.groups = "drop")
summary_dat2 <- treat_diff_standard_dryweight %>%
filter(variable != 'Dryweight') %>%
rename(x = `Difference in means (Poly - Mono)`) %>%
group_by(variable, sex) %>%
summarise(`Difference in means (Poly - Mono)` = median(x),
`Lower 95% CI` = quantile(x, probs = 0.025),
`Upper 95% CI` = quantile(x, probs = 0.975),
p = 1 - as.numeric(bayestestR::p_direction(x)),
` ` = ifelse(p < 0.05, "\\*", ""),
.groups = "drop")
sampled_draws <- sample(unique(fitted_values$draw), 100)
ylims <- c(-1.8, 1.8)
p1 <- treat_diff_actual_dryweight %>%
filter(variable != 'Dryweight') %>%
ggplot(aes(x = sex, y = `Difference in means (Poly - Mono)`,fill = sex)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = 2) +
stat_halfeye() +
geom_line(data = treat_diff_actual_dryweight %>%
filter(draw %in% sampled_draws) %>%
filter(variable != 'Dryweight'),
alpha = 0.8, size = 0.12, colour = "black", aes(group = draw)) +
geom_point(data = summary_dat1, pch = 21, colour = "black", size = 3.1) +
scale_fill_brewer(palette = 'Pastel1', direction = 1, name = "") +
scale_colour_brewer(palette = 'Pastel1', direction = 1, name = "") +
facet_wrap( ~ variable, nrow = 1) +
theme_bw() +
theme(legend.position = 'none',
strip.background = element_blank(),
text = element_text(family = nice_font),
panel.grid.major.x = element_blank()) +
coord_cartesian(ylim = ylims) +
ylab("Difference in means between\nselection treatments (E - M)") + xlab("Sex") +
#ggsave("figures/metabolite_plot.pdf", height=3, width=6) +
NULL
p1
Figure XX: Posterior estimates of the treatment effect size for both sexes, for each of the five metabolites. A positive value means that the mean metabolite concentration is higher in the E treatment than the M treatment, while a negative effects denotes M > E. A strongly supported treatment effect is implied by the majority of the posterior lying to one side of zero. The error bars summarise the 66% and 95% quantiles of the posterior. This plot was created used posterior predictions of the means that were not adjusted for differences in dry weight between treatments.
treat_diff_standard_dryweight %>%
filter(variable != 'Dryweight') %>%
ggplot(aes(x = sex, y = `Difference in means (Poly - Mono)`, fill = sex)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = 2) +
stat_halfeye() +
geom_line(data = treat_diff_standard_dryweight %>%
filter(draw %in% sampled_draws) %>%
filter(variable != 'Dryweight'),
alpha = 0.8, size = 0.12, colour = "black", aes(group = draw)) +
geom_point(data = summary_dat2, pch = 21, colour = "black", size = 3.1) +
scale_fill_brewer(palette = 'Pastel1', direction = 1, name = "") +
scale_colour_brewer(palette = 'Pastel1', direction = 1, name = "") +
facet_wrap( ~ variable, nrow = 1) +
theme_bw() +
theme(legend.position = 'none',
strip.background = element_blank(),
text = element_text(family = nice_font),
panel.grid.major.x = element_blank()) +
coord_cartesian(ylim = ylims) +
ylab("Difference in means between\nselection treatments (E - M)") + xlab("Sex") +
#ggsave('figures/metabolite_plotCONTROLLED.pdf', height=3, width=6) +
NULL
Figure XX: Posterior estimates of the treatment effect size for both sexes, for each of the five metabolites. A positive value means that the mean metabolite concentration is higher in the P treatment than the M treatment, while a negative effects denotes M > E. A strongly supported treatment effect is implied by the majority of the posterior lying to one side of zero. The error bars summarise the 66% and 95% quantiles of the posterior. This plot was created used posterior predictions of the means that were adjusted for differences in dry weight between treatments.
summary_dat1 %>%
kable(digits = 3) %>%
kable_styling(full_width = FALSE)
variable | sex | Difference in means (Poly - Mono) | Lower 95% CI | Upper 95% CI | p | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carbohydrate | Female | -0.192 | -0.743 | 0.359 | 0.249 | |
Carbohydrate | Male | -0.647 | -1.303 | 0.028 | 0.031 | * |
Chitin | Female | -0.366 | -0.874 | 0.141 | 0.077 | |
Chitin | Male | -0.515 | -1.106 | 0.095 | 0.044 | * |
Glycogen | Female | 0.398 | -0.150 | 0.934 | 0.077 | |
Glycogen | Male | 0.669 | 0.018 | 1.278 | 0.022 | * |
Lipid | Female | 0.679 | 0.157 | 1.152 | 0.006 | * |
Lipid | Male | 0.434 | -0.142 | 0.976 | 0.063 | |
Protein | Female | -0.323 | -0.891 | 0.242 | 0.128 | |
Protein | Male | 0.100 | -0.563 | 0.781 | 0.385 |
summary_dat2 %>%
kable(digits = 3) %>%
kable_styling(full_width = FALSE)
variable | sex | Difference in means (Poly - Mono) | Lower 95% CI | Upper 95% CI | p | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carbohydrate | Female | -0.251 | -0.832 | 0.348 | 0.207 | |
Carbohydrate | Male | -0.666 | -1.317 | 0.019 | 0.028 | * |
Chitin | Female | -0.113 | -0.673 | 0.453 | 0.340 | |
Chitin | Male | -0.435 | -1.020 | 0.179 | 0.078 | |
Glycogen | Female | 0.224 | -0.367 | 0.787 | 0.224 | |
Glycogen | Male | 0.613 | -0.040 | 1.222 | 0.033 | * |
Lipid | Female | 0.390 | -0.156 | 0.919 | 0.077 | |
Lipid | Male | 0.339 | -0.226 | 0.885 | 0.110 | |
Protein | Female | -0.215 | -0.818 | 0.378 | 0.241 | |
Protein | Male | 0.136 | -0.526 | 0.810 | 0.344 |
This section essentially examines the treatment \(\times\) sex interaction term, by calculating the difference in the effect size of the E/M treatment between sexes, for each of the five metabolites. We find no strong evidence for a treatment \(\times\) sex interaction, i.e. the treatment effects did not differ detectably between sexes.
treatsex_interaction_data1 <- treat_diff_actual_dryweight %>%
select(draw, variable, sex, d = `Difference in means (Poly - Mono)`) %>%
arrange(draw, variable, sex) %>%
group_by(draw, variable) %>%
summarise(`Difference in effect size between sexes (male - female)` = d[2] - d[1],
.groups = "drop") # males - females
p2 <- treatsex_interaction_data1 %>%
filter(variable != 'Dryweight') %>%
ggplot(aes(x = `Difference in effect size between sexes (male - female)`, y = 1, fill = stat(x < 0))) +
geom_vline(xintercept = 0, linetype = 2) +
stat_halfeye() +
facet_wrap( ~ variable) +
scale_fill_brewer(palette = 'Pastel2', direction = 1, name = "") +
theme_bw() +
theme(legend.position = 'none',
text = element_text(family = nice_font),
strip.background = element_blank()) +
ylab("Posterior density") +
#ggsave("figures/metabolite_interaction_plot.pdf", height=4, width=6) +
NULL
p2
Figure XX: Posterior estimates of the difference in the treatment effect size (i.e. mean of E minus mean of M) between males and females, for each of the five metabolites. A positive value means that the effect size is more positive in males, and negative means it is more positive in females. A strongly supported sex difference in effect size would be implied by the majority of the posterior lying to one side of zero. The error bars summarise the 66% and 95% quantiles of the posterior. This plot was created used posterior predictions of the means that were not adjusted for differences in dry weight between treatments.
treatsex_interaction_data2 <- treat_diff_standard_dryweight %>%
select(draw, variable, sex, d = `Difference in means (Poly - Mono)`) %>%
arrange(draw, variable, sex) %>%
group_by(draw, variable) %>%
summarise(`Difference in effect size between sexes (male - female)` = d[2] - d[1],
.groups = "drop") # males - females
treatsex_interaction_data2 %>%
filter(variable != 'Dryweight') %>%
ggplot(aes(x = `Difference in effect size between sexes (male - female)`, y = 1, fill = stat(x < 0))) +
geom_vline(xintercept = 0, linetype = 2) +
stat_halfeye() +
facet_wrap( ~ variable) +
scale_fill_brewer(palette = 'Pastel2', direction = 1, name = "") +
theme_bw() +
theme(legend.position = 'none',
text = element_text(family = nice_font),
strip.background = element_blank()) +
ylab("Posterior density")
Figure XX: Posterior estimates of the difference in the treatment effect size (i.e. mean of E minus mean of M) between males and females, for each of the five metabolites. A positive value means that the effect size is more positive in males, and negative means it is more positive in females. A strongly supported sex difference in effect size would be implied by the majority of the posterior lying to one side of zero. The error bars summarise the 66% and 95% quantiles of the posterior. This plot was created used posterior predictions of the means that were adjusted for differences in dry weight between treatments.
treatsex_interaction_data1 %>%
filter(variable != 'Dryweight') %>%
rename(x = `Difference in effect size between sexes (male - female)`) %>%
group_by(variable) %>%
summarise(`Difference in effect size between sexes (male - female)` = median(x),
`Lower 95% CI` = quantile(x, probs = 0.025),
`Upper 95% CI` = quantile(x, probs = 0.975),
p = 1 - as.numeric(bayestestR::p_direction(x)),
` ` = ifelse(p < 0.05, "\\*", ""),
.groups = "drop") %>%
kable(digits=3) %>%
kable_styling(full_width = FALSE)
variable | Difference in effect size between sexes (male - female) | Lower 95% CI | Upper 95% CI | p | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carbohydrate | -0.452 | -1.092 | 0.203 | 0.091 | |
Chitin | -0.145 | -0.756 | 0.463 | 0.321 | |
Glycogen | 0.269 | -0.379 | 0.911 | 0.212 | |
Lipid | -0.240 | -0.821 | 0.338 | 0.208 | |
Protein | 0.421 | -0.244 | 1.099 | 0.111 |
treatsex_interaction_data2 %>%
filter(variable != 'Dryweight') %>%
rename(x = `Difference in effect size between sexes (male - female)`) %>%
group_by(variable) %>%
summarise(`Difference in effect size between sexes (male - female)` = median(x),
`Lower 95% CI` = quantile(x, probs = 0.025),
`Upper 95% CI` = quantile(x, probs = 0.975),
p = 1 - as.numeric(bayestestR::p_direction(x)),
` ` = ifelse(p < 0.05, "\\*", ""),
.groups = "drop") %>%
kable(digits=3) %>%
kable_styling(full_width = FALSE)
variable | Difference in effect size between sexes (male - female) | Lower 95% CI | Upper 95% CI | p | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carbohydrate | -0.416 | -1.090 | 0.263 | 0.117 | |
Chitin | -0.316 | -0.957 | 0.320 | 0.166 | |
Glycogen | 0.388 | -0.297 | 1.066 | 0.139 | |
Lipid | -0.050 | -0.672 | 0.555 | 0.437 | |
Protein | 0.348 | -0.347 | 1.057 | 0.167 |
Similar to above, in this section we calculate the effect size of sex for each metabolite by subtracting the (treatment-specific) mean for males from the mean for females.
sex_diff_actual_dryweight <- fitted_values %>%
filter(!(Dryweight %in% c(male_dryweight, female_dryweight))) %>%
select(-Dryweight) %>%
pivot_wider(names_from = sex,
values_from = c(value)) %>%
mutate(`Difference in means (Female - Male)` = Female - Male)
We find that most metabolites differ between the sexes and as the previous analysis looking at the treatment x sex interaction shows, this is largely the same across treatments. Males have more chitin and females have more lipids in both treatments, E females have more carbohydrates and E males, M females have more glycogen than M males,and E males have more protein than E females.
summary_dat4 <- sex_diff_actual_dryweight %>%
rename(x = `Difference in means (Female - Male)`) %>%
group_by(variable, treatment) %>%
summarise(`Difference in means (Female - Male)` = median(x),
`Lower 95% CI` = quantile(x, probs = 0.025),
`Upper 95% CI` = quantile(x, probs = 0.975),
p = 1 - as.numeric(bayestestR::p_direction(x)),
` ` = ifelse(p < 0.05, "\\*", ""),
.groups = "drop")
sex_diff_actual_dryweight %>%
ggplot(aes(x = treatment, y = `Difference in means (Female - Male)`, fill = treatment)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = 2) +
stat_halfeye() +
geom_line(data = sex_diff_actual_dryweight %>%
filter(draw %in% sampled_draws) %>%
filter(variable != 'Dryweight'),
alpha = 0.8, size = 0.12, colour = "black", aes(group = draw)) +
geom_point(data = summary_dat4, pch = 21, colour = "black", size = 3.1) +
scale_fill_brewer(palette = 'Pastel1', direction = 1, name = "") +
scale_colour_brewer(palette = 'Pastel1', direction = 1, name = "") +
facet_wrap( ~ variable, nrow = 1) +
theme_bw() +
theme(legend.position = 'none',
strip.background = element_blank(),
text = element_text(family = nice_font),
panel.grid.major.x = element_blank()) +
coord_cartesian(ylim = c(-2, 2)) +
ylab("Difference in means between\nsexes (Female - Male)") + xlab("Treatment") +
#ggsave('figures/metabolite_plotCONTROLLED.pdf', height=3, width=6) +
NULL
summary_dat4 %>%
kable(digits = 3) %>%
kable_styling(full_width = FALSE)
variable | treatment | Difference in means (Female - Male) | Lower 95% CI | Upper 95% CI | p | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carbohydrate | Monogamy | 0.142 | -0.430 | 0.732 | 0.310 | |
Carbohydrate | Polyandry | 0.603 | -0.096 | 1.252 | 0.043 | * |
Chitin | Monogamy | -1.181 | -1.698 | -0.671 | 0.000 | * |
Chitin | Polyandry | -1.040 | -1.635 | -0.452 | 0.000 | * |
Glycogen | Monogamy | 0.807 | 0.222 | 1.368 | 0.003 | * |
Glycogen | Polyandry | 0.532 | -0.134 | 1.177 | 0.055 | |
Lipid | Monogamy | 0.993 | 0.512 | 1.452 | 0.000 | * |
Lipid | Polyandry | 1.234 | 0.690 | 1.750 | 0.000 | * |
Protein | Monogamy | -0.322 | -0.918 | 0.284 | 0.146 | |
Protein | Polyandry | -0.746 | -1.424 | -0.054 | 0.018 | * |
sessionInfo()
R version 4.0.3 (2020-10-10) Platform: x86_64-apple-darwin17.0 (64-bit) Running under: macOS Big Sur 10.16 Matrix products: default BLAS: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/4.0/Resources/lib/libRblas.dylib LAPACK: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/4.0/Resources/lib/libRlapack.dylib locale: [1] en_GB.UTF-8/en_GB.UTF-8/en_GB.UTF-8/C/en_GB.UTF-8/en_GB.UTF-8 attached base packages: [1] stats graphics grDevices utils datasets methods base other attached packages: [1] showtext_0.9-2 showtextdb_3.0 sysfonts_0.8.3 knitrhooks_0.0.4 knitr_1.31 kableExtra_1.3.1 DT_0.17 tidybayes_2.3.1 brms_2.14.4 [10] Rcpp_1.0.6 ggridges_0.5.3 gridExtra_2.3 GGally_2.1.0 forcats_0.5.1 stringr_1.4.0 dplyr_1.0.3 purrr_0.3.4 readr_1.4.0 [19] tidyr_1.1.2 tibble_3.0.5 ggplot2_3.3.3 tidyverse_1.3.0 workflowr_1.6.2 loaded via a namespace (and not attached): [1] readxl_1.3.1 backports_1.2.1 plyr_1.8.6 igraph_1.2.6 splines_4.0.3 svUnit_1.0.3 crosstalk_1.1.1 [8] rstantools_2.1.1 inline_0.3.17 digest_0.6.27 htmltools_0.5.1.1 rsconnect_0.8.16 fansi_0.4.2 magrittr_2.0.1 [15] modelr_0.1.8 RcppParallel_5.0.2 matrixStats_0.57.0 xts_0.12.1 prettyunits_1.1.1 colorspace_2.0-0 rvest_0.3.6 [22] ggdist_2.4.0 haven_2.3.1 xfun_0.20 callr_3.5.1 crayon_1.3.4 jsonlite_1.7.2 lme4_1.1-26 [29] zoo_1.8-8 glue_1.4.2 gtable_0.3.0 webshot_0.5.2 V8_3.4.0 distributional_0.2.1 pkgbuild_1.2.0 [36] rstan_2.21.1 abind_1.4-5 scales_1.1.1 mvtnorm_1.1-1 DBI_1.1.1 miniUI_0.1.1.1 viridisLite_0.3.0 [43] xtable_1.8-4 stats4_4.0.3 StanHeaders_2.21.0-7 htmlwidgets_1.5.3 httr_1.4.2 DiagrammeR_1.0.6.1 threejs_0.3.3 [50] arrayhelpers_1.1-0 RColorBrewer_1.1-2 ellipsis_0.3.1 pkgconfig_2.0.3 reshape_0.8.8 loo_2.4.1 farver_2.0.3 [57] dbplyr_2.0.0 labeling_0.4.2 tidyselect_1.1.0 rlang_0.4.10 reshape2_1.4.4 later_1.1.0.1 visNetwork_2.0.9 [64] munsell_0.5.0 cellranger_1.1.0 tools_4.0.3 cli_2.2.0 generics_0.1.0 broom_0.7.3 evaluate_0.14 [71] fastmap_1.1.0 yaml_2.2.1 processx_3.4.5 fs_1.5.0 nlme_3.1-151 whisker_0.4 mime_0.9 [78] projpred_2.0.2 xml2_1.3.2 compiler_4.0.3 bayesplot_1.8.0 shinythemes_1.2.0 rstudioapi_0.13 gamm4_0.2-6 [85] curl_4.3 reprex_1.0.0 statmod_1.4.35 stringi_1.5.3 highr_0.8 ps_1.5.0 Brobdingnag_1.2-6 [92] lattice_0.20-41 Matrix_1.3-2 nloptr_1.2.2.2 markdown_1.1 shinyjs_2.0.0 vctrs_0.3.6 pillar_1.4.7 [99] lifecycle_0.2.0 bridgesampling_1.0-0 insight_0.12.0 httpuv_1.5.5 R6_2.5.0 promises_1.1.1 codetools_0.2-18 [106] boot_1.3-26 colourpicker_1.1.0 MASS_7.3-53 gtools_3.8.2 assertthat_0.2.1 rprojroot_2.0.2 withr_2.4.1 [113] shinystan_2.5.0 bayestestR_0.8.2 mgcv_1.8-33 parallel_4.0.3 hms_1.0.0 grid_4.0.3 coda_0.19-4 [120] minqa_1.2.4 rmarkdown_2.6 git2r_0.28.0 shiny_1.6.0 lubridate_1.7.9.2 base64enc_0.1-3 dygraphs_1.1.1.6